BREAKING: Microsoft exploring DeepSeek over OpenAI and Anthropic as Copilot Cowork moves to usage-based pricing
“We have users who do hundreds of tasks a week… the consequence is the costs can go very high...”
Jevons paradox
The French are doing God's work.
Every time I suggest Linux + OSS office apps to a client, they look at me like an alien, but realistically it's downright stupid that they don't do it.
https://t.co/mP0pcZAa6v
My family moved to the US when I was 8, but by the time I turned 20, my dad was still on an H1B (waiting to get processed for a green card).
Once I turned 21, I would age out as his dependent, despite the fact that I basically grew up in the US.
I thought I'd have to become a code monkey after college, and even that only if I was lucky enough to win the H1B lottery.
Otherwise, back to India.
I had become a huge fan of @paulg's essays in college. I was actually depressed that my desire to start a startup or do something entrepreneurial was basically hopeless.
Working on the promising podcast I was doing as a side project? A beyond impossible pipe dream.
Even after 9 years, my dad wasn't able to get a green card - and the lines were only getting longer over time. I figured I'd be an old man before I could quit some FANG job and build my own thing.
By some miracle, COVID travel restrictions cleared out the lines, and I got my green card literally months before I would have aged out.
If not for this unbelievable coincidence, I would not be hosting the podcast.
In the best case, I would be shifting pixels around in the 3rd sub-sub-menu of some big tech software.
I'm incredibly grateful I made it through.
But it's unconscionable that we put the kids of high skilled immigrants through all this anxiety, and in many cases make them repeat the nerve-racking indentured life trajectory that they had to watch their parents go through.
We've gone really quickly from "local models are dogshit" to "local models are good actually" (like, a 12 month window from A to B). I don't think they're actually good ENOUGH yet. We need an Opus 4.5 quality local model. When that happens, I think the world will spill over.
Opus 4.5 is/was amazing, and is more than good enough for almost all tasks still as long as you pair with a frontier-level planner/judge.
It'll still require a hugely expensive machine to run it, I'm sure, like a $5K or more laptop or mac studio. But, that's going to be pennies compared to the API costs plus all the benefits of guaranteed privacy and so on.
As of today, Hetzner has tripled their prices. Only existing instances are grandfathered in.
Good luck out there. Access to the future will not be free.