GM
There are plenty rumours going around on my involvement at some projects on various capacity with most of those assumptions being misplaced or misunderstood.
📊 Here is a breakdown, to clarify and show you clear difference between the type of work I do with the teams and projects:
1. Incubations - Extremely rare, my full attention and full public backing, very draining in terms of time and involvement, must meet the team irl, doxxing, legal entity, visionare or gigabrain CEO, I have the capacity to take it on. Last one $AVM, next one most likely $WATCH - Nothing in-between so far incubation wise
2. Strategic Scaling - Not always tied to public support, but usually is. I am not always doing the job alone on this front, it is often co-ordinated with in-house or external teams, with main goal to leverage what project has cooking already (so post launch, always), to help them achieve desired and deserved results - Examples here being $TAOBOT since May 2024, $EDGE (Edge Network) since November 2024, $AIP since January 2025
3. Consulting - This can take many shapes and forms (i.e. Strategic Consulting where teams get to pick my brain on any strategies whether launch, token, marketing, scaling related), often there is no public posts from my side, apart from some Journal posts or now Risk-ON channel. This is more of a background role which people often call "Advisory", but to me it's consulting work. I do not force teams here to follow my super strict rules on how they execute things, unless they are super savage and extractive, in which case I just choose not to work with them. This is more about guidance and sometimes connections - cause this is sometimes all it takes to go from low to high chances of making it past the launch week.
I hope above clarifies my stance - when someone drops you DM I'm involved somewhere - Do not trust, always verify. I've seen dozens of projects leveraging my name stating they "are in discussions with Dex" just because they dropped me a dm which often didn't even read.
Do not trust - verify - if you hear rumours, you can come straight to me and leave me a DM (pref on TG) to verify if I do hold a Consulting role in a project, or not.
I mostly decline working with projects on any capacity, so don't get played
Stay safe out there and may the markets play out in our favour 🙌
Here is a short explanation on what $AVM is 🤝
First of many tutorials that will be on the website in both video and text/visual form where developers will be able to have a quick look to help them get started.
It has to be as simple as possible, so they can save time with it.
Summary for the month of February 2025 (as of 04/03, it's lower now)
🔴%MoM change -26.66%
🔴% from ATH: -53%
🟢17M PF Change: x34.5
Thoughts --> Portfolio --> Strategy
___________
🧠Thoughts:
> Most of us did not expect this size of pullbacks to happen, as usual, the market has surprised most of its participants - if it was any other way, we wouldn't be experiencing this terrible sentiment right now - it is a mini-bear for sure on Altcoins
> Sentiment stays at ATL, and $BTC is separating bit by bit due to broader adoption, which causes a lot of speculators to drop their altcoin bags and run
> Memes by Trump and other celebrities have been taken by the market as mini-black swans that shifted more of the liquidity into the hands of malicious actors, below expectations SBR outcome just drove us lower
> I expect a lot more capital flocking into $BTC in general, and when the 'altcoin season' comes, it will be once again, as it was in 2024 - selective, don't kid yourself you will get a broad market pump, it's not happening, the fragmentation and dilution is too large
> Most likely outcome is that QT will stop and QE will start at some point this year, or in 2026, with a lot of positive news flowing in causing another strong leg up, when most of the people will not be looking. People will try to front-run it, but imo the best way is to just DCA into the positions you see as runners
> Altcoins/LowCaps with teams that show up, build something of value will prevail long-term, as long as they can keep up with marketing (proper backing) in parallel, or given great broad market adoption (if they just generate decent revenue for people to get their eyes back on them)
> Market needs time to heal after significant drops
> LowCaps sector will remain volatile - just because you think the project will survive, doesn't mean it will - look for those teams that show up and their product can actually be useful, if it won't, speculative capital is unlikely to return
___________
📘Portfolio:
- 60% - Stables & Off-Ramps (No changes apart from some $ETH changing into Stables)
- 30% - Altcoins (AI LowCaps mostly)
- 10% - Majors (ETH, SOL, TAO)
> Major pullbacks on LowCap holdings = Stables increase in % by default
> Goal is to secure x25 on portfolio by 24M (7M left), play with the rest, I am over-the-goal, but not stabled or offramped that type of money, so jobs not done
> I am here to make money and share my thoughts, if you roundtrip your gains on LowCaps being too greedy or unable to DCA-Out reasonably during uptrends, that's on you, but don't worry, we've all been there, and I still make that mistake sometimes
___________
🎯Strategy:
Focusing on over-sold, fundamentally strong projects with teams and leaders that show up every single day (preferrably doxxed), that are building products which can scale given right conditions in both web2 and web3 sector. Tracking the macro movements and how they affect the narratives to see when the tide can rise again in web3 on the AI sector.
I will do my best to keep my head open to new narratives, chains and shifts in the markets, but I still have strong conviction that AI is the narrative this 'cycle', so majority of my LowCap portfolio will stick to that.
Will try to do as little as possible in terms of shifting my capital unless I see clear asymmetries to do so. Reducing time spent on being a pure degen and shifting more towards business side as the months go by.
This might be the last entry for public MoM updates - no promises about next, but I intend to keep journaling for myself, as it helps me a great deal.
Thanks for reading and wishing you all the best
Summary for the month of January 2025
🔴Month - Nov %MoM change -36.66%
📈16M PF Change: x46.75
I'm going to keep this one short & to the point. Portfolio, broad outlook, strategies.
___________
📘Portfolio:
- 50% - Altcoins (Mostly LowCaps from AI Sector sub 100M MC & others)
- 41% - Stables & Off-Ramps (As per strategy, rotated a lot of majors)
- 9% - Majors (ETH, SOL, TAO)
> Stabled up a lot of $ETH above $3100, $TAO above $450
> Been taking small profits across board
> Rebalanced Alts
___________
🧠Thoughts:
> Market has been wild since pre-inauguration of Trump that included two memes launching and sucking gigantic amount of liquidity off the markets (a mini-black swan), it just continued this way along with the tariffs & other crazy acts like WLFI buying up tons of $ETH and other tokens
> Sentiment feels almost ATL, Altcoins have fell off a cliff in most cases, the dilution is strong so staying focused in lesser amount of projects that constantly deliver and have legit team feels the best choice for me
> Despite my large drawdown I feel fine with it, I have crossed my initial bull targets and so I have decreased my risk by stabling up significantly
___________
💡Broad Outlook & Reasoning:
> I am keeping my stable reserves for a good reason - if by any chance we experience flash-crashes, I want to have the buying power there, these often times provide with very quick +XX% flips, it makes a big difference with size
> Second reason I keep the stables reserves high is to sleep easy despite price action in the markets
> Why am I keeping such high Altcoin exposure?
- they have experienced 60-80% drawdowns from ATHs/Local Tops
- they are oversold on daily timeframes, holder base exchanged hands, average purchase price has risen
- every single one of these projects has good incoming catalysts
- they can bounce much harder than my majors holdings
- I support these teams and their projects, so I want to keep my exposure to them
> Passively keeping an eye out on interesting new utility launches and significant low-hanging fruits in supremely oversold projects that have good teams & catalysts coming shortly
___________
🎯Strategies:
These are my personal thoughts, and I strongly believe that Altcoin market is heavily diluted due to which there will be no broad general Altseason but rather niche-specific and spotlight-focused runs, my bet stays on AI related projects where I kept winning for the last 16 months (with some exceptions).
I could write about scenarios, but I really intend to play out what the market deals at the given time at this stage, as things move at a rapid pace, with all the curved balls being tossed like memes launched by Trump family, tariffs and other oddities I will stay on my toes.
I keep my focus on AI related projects and will likely co-incubate a project for launch in the next 30 days. Keep a look out on socials, it's going to be hard to miss which one it is.
If my Alts drop lower - tough luck, with proper catalysts and attention they can just as well soar within days back to their ATHs consuming all of the downtrend.
Cold, data & facts driven approach with a tint of madness
Thank you for sticking around
I’m impressed with the latest updates in @tradingterminal
What’s even more impressive is how fast the team keeps delivering new features. It feels like every update brings tools that solve real trading challenges and make the experience even more intuitive. Huge shoutout to the devs for their hard work!
If you’re serious about trading, this tool is a must-try. Can’t wait to see what’s coming next! 👀✨
Last week Padre team delivered:
Advanced Copy Trading Options
The newly introduced options offer incredible customization to tailor copy trading:
▪️ Set FDV Ranges – The ability to define minimum and maximum FDV for buy trades
▪️ Single Buy Mode – A simple toggle ensures I only replicate one buy per token
▪️ Flexible Trade Sizing – By scaling my copied trades as a percentage (e.g., doubling the size with 200%), my positions are adjusted dynamically while respecting my Max Buy limit.
Wallet Group Tracking
This feature is an absolute gem for tracking key market players:
▪️ Group Favorite Wallets – create custom groups for example "Whales" and "KOLs" to track their trades in one place
▪️ Real-Time Chart Tracking – Seeing wallet activity directly on the chart with custom icons is a visual treat
▪️ Telegram Notifications – Instant buy alerts from my tracked wallets/groups
And don’t forget to check out their token $PADRE and its price action – it’s worth keeping an eye on!
Are you worried frens? I actually feel so good, it's insane
Flush = Entry for chads that were waiting hard to get their entries
I can see how motivated the teams I work with are, nobody, absolutely nobody is worried, but overly excited at what's coming
These are tickers, that tingle me and keep me focused:
$NEURAL $VERTAI $KOL $TAOBOT $EAVE $PADRE $EDGE
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The strategic incubations, and my full-fledged assistance/consulting is always to teams that can really deliver, stay transparent and don't engage in shady stuff
I made sure to meet every single team in person, so I can feel at ease posting about them on regular basis
You can never be 100% sure, but to know these projects have established legal entities, knowing their names etc and connections, makes it easier to navigate this
It's not that hard for me right now to differentiate the teams that look for a quick $, from those that seek to add value and build something cool - each of the projects that approach me and make fine first impression get bombarded with questions to make sure they are actually fit for this market, have what it takes to build out a product they wish, and vision is not short-sighted
So far in the last 14 months I've only taken on 4 projects for full-fledged incubation and hands-on strategizing, consulting and advisory. Several more for just assistance basis, but that's it
Quality > Quantity
It doesn't mean all of them pump to valhalla on an instant, but it means I can sleep at ease knowing there is an actual team, with real vision and skillset to deliver it at some point - at least asymmetrical chances of doing so (not all startups succeed, no matter how good the idea)
These are the 4: $NEURAL $KOL $VERTAI $EAVE
All of these 4 launches had few things in common:
- Low FDV (all sub 100K starts)
- High Float (all above 50% circulating, and closing to over 80% in first month(s))
- No team bundling/sniping
- Leaders I've met in person
- Capable devs of delivery
- Great vision
- Ability to adapt & evolve with time
- Open to Web3 Marketing to ensure word gets out there about the project
I will not speculate on their value, where they are headed, as there is plenty of KOLs that can do just that for you, but I do hope each and every one of you that reads this benefits on this in their own way
We're all here to make money after all, but the place where you decide to enter a project is entirely up to you, based on your risk appetite, same goes to departure and taking profits
I might have up to 2 more incubations this cycle, but might keep them down-low for starters, as to limit people aping crazy into them at start looking to extract value at few X, or people getting themselves rekt in the process of attempting just that
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I am not surprised when I see $NEURAL, $KOL, $VERTAI, $TAOBOT, $EAVE, $EMP, $VIS prices going up - but I am surprised when I see @tradingterminal token moving up
Is this going to get actually ran up, and leave tremendous amount of people butt hurt in the process?
> It's been down only for 260 days,
> sits at less than 1.5M$ FDV,
> has giga operational trading terminal,
> now they FINALLY look to add more utilities to the token than just discount for trading 😅
> no unlocks remaining
> part of revenue from fees is used to buyback & burn the tokens
By no means I encourage the buys, just thinking out loud here,
Summary for the month of November 2024
🟢Month - Nov %MoM change +109.20%
📈14M PF Change: x36.4
I've been focused on supporting / scaling / strategizing with projects like @Protokols_io , @NeuralAI and @Build_Vertical , while degening hard on Solana, as well as learning BASE swings ending up x6 my smol portfolio there
___________
📘Portfolio (Rotations, New Positions):
- Stables are approx. 10% of my portfolio
- $ETH holdings at 15%~ of portfolio
- $TAO holdings at 10%~ of portfolio, will add more if it dips more
- $NEURAL, $VERTAI, $KOL, $EAVE, $TAOBOT, $VIS, $EMP make up over 60% of my holdings
- Solana + Base position make up roughly 5% of my holdings
- Remaining 5% of my portfolio are some old presales, nfts and other dust stuff
- Swung a lot on Solana, holding $SENSUS there currently and $SOL, made x8~ on entire portfolio there
- Off ramped some again, as I broke thru my initial target for bull significantly already
___________
🧠Thoughts:
We are experiencing PTSD after longest bear crypto has witnessed (afaik, I'm around since March 2021, what do I know, right?), and 75K has been broken on $BTC not so long ago, even though it feels like its been ages. Feel like large pumps are still ahead of us. I mean XRP pumping feels so odd, lol, not to mention ADA 🤣
The meta right now, and likely to remain for months is AI + AI Agents and any architecture that facilitates this. It just feels really right.
Memes will still run imo, just cooling off before next leg - I am not well positioned though. Moodeng has shown that all it takes is one good news, pumping hard after Coinbase announcement.
NeuralAI has been my biggest win so far, and there is no hiding that. It has hit over 160M$ ATH, and after SentiOS update, it feels that the glass roof has been raised significantly higher, considering Virtual has hit over 1.5B$
___________
💡Plans (Strategies):
> Month Ahead:
- Locked in to scale VerticalAI and ProtoKOLs
- Doing what I can to help with NeuralAI expansion
- Playing in trenches on solana and base (extra time only)
- Sitting on my hands with my $TAO bags, scooping more if it dips
- Looking into FTM as it soon goes into Sonic mode
- Slow de-risking towards Trump 'crowning' to be again risk on during these dips
- Working with @EaveAI and @taodotbot on next marketing steps, especially with features & products they have rolling out
We rallied past elections. Wouldn't be surprised with some
✅November Up,
⏳December likely Down (partially, not all narratives either tbh), Jan-March Up (after post Trump 'crowning' dip), April-May Down (cool-off)
Very thankful for where I am right now, and will just keep on working for the next months, so you are not getting rid of me so easily. 🙌
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