PenitentTrader

DYOR as always. 😊

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

Trump's Taco Tell-
The 10 year yield was at 4.44% yesterday, 6 basis points away from the level that has forced Trump's hand four times already.
Ticker should be something like 10Ymain or 10Y1 to follow levels.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@tradingjutsu @ZaStocks You nailed it. 👌

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex Not over yet. I didn't like SPY close.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex Is 54% Long significant or should it be 65% + ???
No idea 😐

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex 👀 SPY was weak all day Friday.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@J_TradezZ was on fire this week.
Come join us.

[J🃏 @J_TradezZ]

Taking off for the holiday weekend

What a week for the community... Life changing market we're in 📈

$RDW 15c 350% 🏆
$RDW 17c 100%✅
$ASTS 95c 500%🏆🏆
$RIVN 15c 100%✅
$IREN 60c 35%✅⌛️
$ONDS ❌

All alerts given below👇
https://t.co/V2OO129vOc

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

🧐

[TT3 @TradingThomas3]

Trump flies to Florida to golf every weekend but can’t attend sons wedding this weekend. Some shit about to go down?

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@OhMyOhMar Ouch 😂

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

$SPY 4am Gap up closed with one bad war headline.
Watch for chop and fake outs until 10:30am.
After that the remaining Gap above will need to be closed.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex New Fed signed in at 11AM.
All he has to say is taste cuts are an option and we moon into close.
I'm buying the 10:30 AM dip unless something happens outside this.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

Another dump till 10:30 AM then higher is my guess. Worked all week.

[AK @1769_alex]

$SPY so gap filled 746 and news came out right after? Timing is very sus…

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

🤯

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

BREAKING: US National Debt has officially DOUBLED in just 10 years.

The US debt has surged from $19.6T at the end of 2016 to $39T today.

The US government has been adding debt at a pace of roughly $221 MILLION every single HOUR for the last decade.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex I expect ATH because war talk might turn hot and they want everything high as possible. Swinging SPY calls for tomorrow, already up.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@GaaOptions

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex I've been watching.
That would be great 😃

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@ZaStocks Critical for the first 2 hours everyday this week so far.

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@GaaOptions

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@shockandstock @stonkstradamus On IBKR ?

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

@1769_alex I'm on a budget XSP

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

😁

[Alex @positive_gains]

People want to own Vix Calls? I am sure my frens the Makers are going to let them print

[PenitentTrader @PenitentTrader]

Ohh My ��

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨The Fed just said AI is breaking the economy in three different ways.

This was not in any public statement. It came directly from the April 28-29 FOMC minutes.

THE FIRST WAY IS INFLATION.

The Fed's own members said that strong AI investment spending is pushing up input costs across multiple industries. Every company building or using AI infrastructure is paying more for power, equipment, and services, and those costs are being passed down the supply chain.

The Fed flagged this as a direct contributor to core inflation that is separate from energy prices and tariffs. AI was supposed to reduce costs across the economy. The Fed is now saying it is adding to them.

THE SECOND WAY IS THE PRIVATE CREDIT MARKET.

Software companies that borrowed money from private credit funds are quietly deferring their interest payments using payment-in-kind arrangements, where instead of paying cash interest they just add it to the loan balance. The Fed flagged this specifically in Q4 2025 and Q1 2026.

The reason investors are pulling money out of these funds is that they believe AI will destroy the business models of the software companies inside them. Private credit funds saw net outflows in Q1 2026 specifically because of AI disruption fears. Blue Owl, one of the largest private credit managers in the world with $36 billion in its flagship fund, was forced to cap redemptions after investors tried to pull 21.9% of the fund in a single quarter.

Its technology-focused fund saw 40.7% of investors request their money back in the same period. Blue Owl halted redemptions entirely, sold $1.4 billion in loan assets, and Blackstone, Apollo, Ares, and KKR all fell 5 to 6% the same day.

The $1.8 trillion private credit market is cracking from the inside and the Fed confirmed in these minutes that AI disruption fears are the reason why.

THE THIRD WAY IS JOBS.

Multiple Fed members said that business contacts are already telling them they plan to delay or reduce hiring specifically because of AI adoption. This is not a future risk.

Companies are making those decisions right now, before AI has fully arrived, and the Fed internally flagged it as a risk that could push unemployment sharply higher very quickly.

The Fed held rates unchanged. But for the first time, their internal minutes show AI is no longer just an economic opportunity they are monitoring. It is now a source of inflation, a credit market risk, and a hiring slowdown, all at the same time.