Milton Friedman's greatest regret.
The federal government discovered the perfect crime in 1943: make employers collect taxes before workers ever see their paychecks. You think you earn $60,000 per year, but you actually earn $75,000 and hand over $15,000 to politicians without ever touching it. The psychological difference is enormous.
Before payroll withholding, Americans wrote quarterly checks directly to the Treasury. Picture yourself sitting at your kitchen table, writing a $3,750 check to the IRS every three months. The pain was immediate and visceral. Politicians faced constant pressure to justify every dollar because citizens felt the extraction in real time.
Withholding transforms this concrete loss into an abstract accounting entry. Your employer becomes an unpaid tax collector, and you never experience the actual cost of government. Worse, most people celebrate their tax refunds as government generosity rather than recognizing them as interest-free loans they provided to politicians. The Treasury collects your money throughout the year, spends it immediately, then returns your own cash and receives gratitude.
This system enables the explosion in government spending you witness today. Defense contractors billing $640 for toilet seats, agricultural subsidies for corn syrup, and congressional salaries for 535 people who rarely show up to work. When taxation feels painless, voters stop demanding accountability for how their money gets spent.
Milton Friedman helped design withholding as a wartime emergency measure and later called it his greatest regret. Free market economists recognized that the psychological pain of direct taxation creates political pressure for fiscal restraint. The temporary always becomes permanent in government hands, and the emergency justification disappears while the extraction mechanism remains forever.
On This Day — June 5, 1967
F**k Around: Arabs spent weeks boasting they would annihilate Israel. Egypt massed troops on the border, imposed a blockade, ordered UNEF out & promised destruction. Jordan & Syria joined. Radio Cairo called on Arabs everywhere to kill Jews.
Find Out: At 7:14 a.m., the entire Israeli Air Force (except 12 planes left for home defense) took off in Operation Focus. They caught the Egyptian pilots eating breakfast. By 11:05 a.m., 180 Egyptian planes were destroyed on the ground. Within hours, most of the Jordanian and half the Syrian air forces were also wiped out.
Then the real shock:
- Israel overran the entire Sinai Peninsula and reached the Suez Canal in four days.
- Despite no element of surprise, Israeli forces recaptured all of Judea and Samaria, including the Old City of Jerusalem.
- In brutal fighting, they seized the strategically vital Golan Heights, including Mount Hermon — “the eyes and ears of Israel.”
On June 7, Colonel Motta Gur’s paratroopers entered the Old City. For the first time in 2,000 years, Jewish soldiers stood at the Western Wall. The shofar was blown. Even hardened, secular soldiers broke down and wept with joy. The Jewish people were home again.
776 Israeli soldiers fell — heroes who turned near-certain destruction into one of the most legendary military victories in history.
The Arabs had spent 19 years vowing to erase the Jewish state.
They F****d Around.
They Found Out.
After two millennia of exile and 19 years of encirclement on borrowed time, the Jewish people reclaimed their ancient capital, reunited their ancestral homeland, and reminded the world in six miraculous days what a determined nation can achieve when its back is against the wall.
Am Yisrael Chai.
THE LITTLE ICE AGE - The real reason why climate has been warming of recent is entirely natural: it is because we are still emerging from The Little Ice Age.
See painting of a frozen over Thames by Graham Turner. In the winter of 1683/84, the ice was almost a foot thick and the Thames remained frozen for weeks. Boats were fitted with skates and stalls set up with food, shops and games.
The Little Ice Age (LIA) was a period of significant regional cooling, particularly in Europe, characterized by harsh winters, and expanded glaciers.
Winter temperatures in Europe dropped as much as 2°C below modern averages.
The event lasted from roughly 1300 to 1850, spanning nearly 500 years. It is generally divided into phases: an initial cooling around 1300, a slightly warmer period in the 1500s, and the coldest interval between 1645 and 1715 (known as the Maunder Minimum).
The LIA was primarily triggered by the Grand Solar Minima, which caused reduced solar irradiance, and therefore cooling.
We are still emerging from the Little Ice Age, and that is the only reason some areas are warmer than centuries ago. This has very little to do with CO2 and everything to do with the Sun.
To put it simply, both the activity of the Sun and the Sun-Earth distance changes, and this modulates the amount of both solar irradiance and solar radiation, which affects clouds, and this combined change is what leads to long term changes in climatic temperatures.
It's definitely not CO2 causing any of this.
@MrPitbull07 Grok: "The account @MrPitbull07 later clarified the post is obviously a joke, and web searches confirm no such resort or official lawsuit reports exist, with the rapid timeline raising staging suspicions."
On the morning of June 4, 1942, a US Navy pilot strapped into his dive bomber, took a breath from his oxygen canister, and inhaled caustic soda fumes.
The canister was defective. His lungs were already burning.
He flew the mission anyway.
By sunset, Dick Best had done something no pilot in history has done before or since. And he paid for it with everything.
Best was 31, commander of Bombing Squadron Six aboard USS Enterprise. Six months after Pearl Harbor, America was losing the Pacific. Four Japanese carriers, the same fleet that had attacked Hawaii, were steaming toward Midway to finish the US Navy for good.
His air group launched that morning and found nothing but empty ocean. Fuel running low, the formation was minutes from turning back when group commander Wade McClusky spotted a lone Japanese destroyer racing north at full speed. He made a gut call: follow it.
The destroyer led them straight to the entire Japanese fleet.
Then came the mistake that almost ruined everything. Doctrine said McClusky's group should take the far carrier and Best's squadron the near one. Instead, nearly all 30 dive bombers poured down on the same ship, Kaga.
Best watched his own squadron dive past him onto the wrong target. So he pulled out, signaled his two wingmen, and went after the other carrier with 3 planes instead of 15.
That carrier was Akagi. The flagship. The ship that had launched the attack on Pearl Harbor.
Best rolled into his dive through anti-aircraft fire and put a 1,000 lb bomb through the flight deck near the midship elevator. It exploded in the hangar below, packed with fueled and armed torpedo planes. The blast set off a chain reaction that no one aboard could stop.
One bomb. One hit. Akagi was finished.
In roughly five minutes that morning, three of Japan's four carriers were burning wrecks. Historians call it the most decisive five minutes of the entire war.
But one carrier was left. That afternoon, coughing and getting worse, Best climbed back into his cockpit and flew again. His squadron found Hiryu at dusk and sent her to the bottom too.
Two carriers in one day. The only pilot ever to do it.
That night, Best was coughing blood. The caustic fumes had activated latent tuberculosis in his ruined lungs. He spent 32 months in hospitals and never flew again.
June 4, 1942 was his last flight.
Japan never recovered. The empire that had been undefeated for centuries lost the initiative in a single morning and spent the rest of the war in retreat.
And the most consequential single bomb dropped before Hiroshima was delivered by a man who was slowly suffocating as he aimed it.
84 years ago today.
84 years ago today, a pilot running out of fuel made a decision that won the Pacific War. Most Americans have never heard his name.
June 4, 1942. Six months after Pearl Harbor, Japan's navy is undefeated. Four of the carriers that burned Pearl, Akagi, Kaga, Soryu, and Hiryu, are steaming toward Midway to finish off the US Pacific Fleet.
At 7:52 AM, Wade McClusky launches from USS Enterprise leading 32 Dauntless dive bombers. Here's the detail nobody mentions: McClusky is a fighter pilot. He'd been given the air group weeks earlier and had barely flown a dive bomber in combat. Now he's leading every SBD the Enterprise has at the most important target in the Pacific.
9:20 AM. He arrives at the intercept point where the Japanese fleet is supposed to be.
Empty ocean. Nothing for miles.
The Japanese had turned. Nobody knew where. And now McClusky owns the worst math problem in naval aviation: his fuel is bleeding away, and every minute he keeps searching, he condemns more of his own pilots to ditch in open water where nobody will find them.
Doctrine is clear. Turn back.
McClusky keeps going. He works a search pattern, squeezing miles out of dying fuel tanks.
9:55 AM. Far below, a single Japanese destroyer is cutting a white scar across the ocean at flank speed. It's the Arashi, racing to rejoin the fleet after depth-charging the American submarine Nautilus. Think about that. A failed sub attack is about to give away the entire Japanese navy.
McClusky reads the wake like an arrow and follows it.
10:02 AM. The horizon fills with the entire Japanese strike force. Four carriers, their decks crammed with planes being refueled and rearmed. Fuel lines snaking everywhere. Bombs stacked in the open.
And here's the miracle: the sky above them is empty. Minutes earlier, American torpedo squadrons had attacked at sea level and been annihilated. Torpedo 8 lost all 15 planes. One survivor, Ensign George Gay, watched what came next while hiding under his seat cushion in the water. Those doomed pilots dragged every Japanese fighter down to the waves. The door upstairs was wide open.
10:22 AM. McClusky pushes over from 14,500 feet. Both squadrons follow him down onto Kaga. It's actually a mistake, doctrine said split the targets, but Lt. Dick Best catches it mid-dive, pulls out with two wingmen, and goes after Akagi alone. His single bomb pierces the flight deck into the packed hangar. It's enough.
By 10:28, Kaga, Akagi, and Soryu, the third hit simultaneously by Yorktown's bombers, are floating infernos. Six minutes. Three carriers that attacked Pearl Harbor, gone. Hiryu follows them to the bottom that evening.
The cost of McClusky's gamble was real. Many Enterprise bombers never made it home, some shot down, others swallowed by the sea when their tanks ran dry. McClusky himself was jumped by two Zeros on the way out, took five bullets through his shoulder, and still flew his shot-up Dauntless back to the Enterprise.
Admiral Nimitz said McClusky's decision "decided the fate of our carrier task force and our forces at Midway." Japan never won another major battle.
One borrowed pilot. One destroyer's wake. One choice to keep flying when every gauge said go home.
Oil spills have collapsed.
Since the 1970s, large and medium tanker spills are down more than 90%.
In the mid-1970s, over 100 major spills per year were recorded. Today, the number is single digits.
Double-hulled ships are a key reason for the improvement, as are stricter navigation rules.
Meanwhile, a fact rarely mentioned, oil seeps naturally into the oceans, at about 600,000 tons per year, according to National Academy's estimates. That geological leakage has been going for millions of years.
By comparison, tanker spills average roughly 100,000 tons per year, meaning nature releases six times more into the oceans than tankers do.
This does not make oil spills harmless, but it does expose a scale problem in the narrative. The dominant source of marine oil pollution is natural, not industrial, and the human contribution from tankers has been shrinking for decades, not growing.
Just in from NASA satellites: The average global temperature for May 2026 is the same as the May 1998 average global temperature, despite more than one trillion tons of emissions over the past 28 years.
If every emission causes and drives more warming, ask a climate hoaxer to explain that.
Stronger hurricanes? Longer droughts? Heavier rainfall?
Sounds pretty scary, but these claims are misleading or outright false.
𝐒𝐓𝐑𝐎𝐍𝐆𝐄𝐑 𝐇𝐔𝐑𝐑𝐈𝐂𝐀𝐍𝐄𝐒?
There is very little evidence to support the claim that tropical cyclones (TCs) are becoming measurably stronger. Klotzbach et al. (2022) examined data from 1990–2021 (homogenous satellite monitoring) and found decreases in both global hurricane-strength TC counts and accumulated cyclone energy (ACE) over that period. Also, major hurricane-strength TCs have not increased in frequency since 1990. If global warming were causing an increase in intensity, there'd be more major hurricanes (MHs) and higher ACE. These trends have continued into 2025 (top left charts).
🔗https://t.co/PWeGmQeRpL
🔗https://t.co/MQ9mYK57Er
The IPCC claims, however, that a “greater proportion” of TCs are now reaching MH status.
🔗https://t.co/kF3DUrSi51 (p. 1519, 1586)
This is very deceptive framing, however, because the increase in the ratio of MHs to total hurricanes only exists because the [more common] weaker hurricanes have decreased in frequency while comparatively rarer major hurricanes have remained fairly constant (e.g., Jewson & Lewis, 2020)
🔗https://t.co/uJIpXwzJ1h
What about rapid intensification (RI)? Well, the global number of RI events (defined as a ≥30-kt OR 35 mph increase in the maximum sustained wind speed in ≤24 hours) have been fairly constant since 1990 as well, according to the Supporting Information document in Klotzbach et al. (2022). These trends have continued since the study was published (top right bar chart).
Increases in Atlantic TC activity (especially post-1995) are mainly due to multidecadal variability. NOAA GFDL's Dr. Thom Knutson has a very good webpage detailing that.
🔗https://t.co/wu0ZWtaWj9
𝐋𝐎𝐍𝐆𝐄𝐑 𝐃𝐑𝐎𝐔𝐆𝐇𝐓𝐒?
Changes in drought frequency and intensity over the last several decades are nuanced.
Here's what IPCC AR6 WG1 says on detection,
🗨️ “𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝒍𝒐𝒘 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒇𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡 ℎ𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑓𝑙𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑎𝑓𝑓𝑒𝑐𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑟𝑒𝑛𝑑𝑠 𝑖𝑛 𝒎𝒆𝒕𝒆𝒐𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔 𝑖𝑛 𝑚𝑜𝑠𝑡 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠... 𝑇ℎ𝑒𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠 𝒎𝒆𝒅𝒊𝒖𝒎 𝒄𝒐𝒏𝒇𝒊𝒅𝒆𝒏𝒄𝒆 𝑡ℎ𝑎𝑡... 𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒊𝒏𝒈 𝒕𝒓𝒆𝒏𝒅𝒔 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑏𝑖𝑙𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑟 𝑖𝑛𝑡𝑒𝑛𝑠𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑒𝑛𝑡 𝒂𝒈𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒍 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝒆𝒄𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔... 𝐻𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛-𝑖𝑛𝑑𝑢𝑒𝑑 𝑐𝑙𝑖𝑚𝑎𝑡𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 ℎ𝑎𝑠 𝑐𝑜𝑛𝑡𝑟𝑖𝑏𝑢𝑡𝑒𝑑 𝑡𝑜 𝑔𝑙𝑜𝑏𝑎𝑙-𝑠𝑐𝑎𝑙𝑒 𝑐ℎ𝑎𝑛𝑔𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑙𝑜𝑤 𝑓𝑙𝑜𝑤, 𝑏𝑢𝑡 𝒉𝒖𝒎𝒂𝒏 𝒘𝒂𝒕𝒆𝒓 𝒎𝒂𝒏𝒂𝒈𝒆𝒎𝒆𝒏𝒕 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒅-𝒖𝒔𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆𝒔 𝒂𝒓𝒆 𝒂𝒍𝒔𝒐 𝒊𝒎𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒂𝒏𝒕 𝒅𝒓𝒊𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒔.”
🔗https://t.co/kF3DUrSi51 (p. 1579)
A more recent analysis, Vicente-Serrano et al. (2022), concluded similarly, saying,
🗨️ “𝑨 𝒈𝒍𝒐𝒃𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒆 𝒊𝒏 𝒕𝒉𝒆 𝒔𝒆𝒗𝒆𝒓𝒊𝒕𝒚 𝒐𝒇 𝒎𝒆𝒕𝒆𝒐𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕 𝒊𝒔 𝒏𝒐𝒕 𝒔𝒖𝒑𝒑𝒐𝒓𝒕𝒆𝒅 𝑏𝑦 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑎𝑛𝑎𝑙𝑦𝑠𝑖𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑝𝑟𝑒𝑐𝑖𝑝𝑖𝑡𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 𝑑𝑒𝑓𝑖𝑐𝑖𝑡𝑠, 𝑎𝑠 𝑜𝑛𝑙𝑦 𝑎 𝑓𝑒𝑤 𝑟𝑒𝑔𝑖𝑜𝑛𝑠 𝑜𝑓 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑤𝑜𝑟𝑙𝑑 𝑠ℎ𝑜𝑤 𝑎𝑛 𝑖𝑛𝑐𝑟𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑒 𝑖𝑛 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑠𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝑚𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑜𝑟𝑜𝑙𝑜𝑔𝑖𝑐𝑎𝑙 𝑑𝑟𝑜𝑢𝑔ℎ𝑡𝑠.”
🔗 https://t.co/IwWv6qObTy
Instrumental data from the University of East Anglia's (UEA) Climatic Research Unit (CRU) shows that these conclusions hold through at least 2024 (see bottom left area chart).
🔗https://t.co/9dNRQEJ10f
Additionally, changes in hydrological droughts were found not to be due to climate change, but instead were related to other man-made influences such as land use and poor water resource management (Vicente-Serrano et al., 2022),
🗨️ “𝑰𝒏𝒄𝒓𝒆𝒂𝒔𝒆𝒔 𝒊𝒏 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑓𝑟𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑒𝑛𝑐𝑦 𝑎𝑛𝑑 𝑠𝑒𝑣𝑒𝑟𝑖𝑡𝑦 𝑜𝑓 𝒉𝒚𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒍𝒐𝒈𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒍 𝒅𝒓𝒐𝒖𝒈𝒉𝒕𝒔 𝑐𝑎𝑛 𝑏𝑒 𝑡𝑟𝑎𝑐𝑒𝑑 𝑖𝑛 𝑝𝑎𝑟𝑡 𝑡𝑜 ℎ𝑢𝑚𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑐𝑡𝑖𝑣𝑖𝑡𝑖𝑒𝑠 𝑠𝑢𝑐ℎ 𝑎𝑠 𝒍𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒖𝒔𝒆 𝒄𝒉𝒂𝒏𝒈𝒆 𝒂𝒏𝒅 𝒂𝒈𝒓𝒊𝒄𝒖𝒍𝒕𝒖𝒓𝒂𝒍 𝒊𝒏𝒕𝒆𝒏𝒔𝒊𝒇𝒊𝒄𝒂𝒕𝒊𝒐𝒏 (𝑒.𝑔., 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑀𝑒𝑑𝑖𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑟𝑎𝑛𝑒𝑎𝑛 𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑎, 𝑁𝑜𝑟𝑡ℎ𝑒𝑎𝑠𝑡 𝐵𝑟𝑎𝑧𝑖𝑙).”
𝐇𝐄𝐀𝐕𝐈𝐄𝐑 𝐑𝐀𝐈𝐍𝐅𝐀𝐋𝐋?
The theoretical foundation pushed by alarmists is the Clausius-Clapeyron (CC) relation, which essentially states that about 7% more water can evaporate into unsaturated air (relative humidity <100%) for every 1°C increase in air temperature.
This much is true. But this nugget of truth is blindly extrapolated to mean uniformly heavier downpours. The problem, though, is that CC tells us nothing about rainfall rate, much less how much rain falls out of a given cloud. It also does not work very well over land areas where moisture sources are finite and there are topographic influences that can act to enhance or suppress rainfall (e.g., Adam, 2023).
🔗https://t.co/14YgpLQud8
A major study by Simpson et al. published in PNAS in 2024 found that in many arid and semi-arid regions (which cover vast areas of the globe), near-surface water vapor has not increased in recent decades (it has even declined in some places) contrary to nearly all climate model simulations in CMIP6 assuming near-CC scaling.
🔗https://t.co/0ovM0rXuMt
In the U.S., apparent increases in heavy rainfall are heavily contaminated by non-climatic factors. Dr. David Legates has documented how shifts in meteorological instrumentation have created artificial jumps in extreme precipitation records.
Between 1992 and 1995, NOAA's National Weather Service (NWS) began a modernization program, switching from hourly precipitation measurements taken manually from rain gauges to using Automated Surface Observing Systems (ASOS), which sought to provide near-real-time observations automatically without manual labor. They adopted “tipping-bucket” rain gauges which measure rainfall by collecting water in a small bucket that tips and empties once a fixed amount of precipitation has accumulated.
🔗https://t.co/bTcShQGr2t
While convenient for automation, “tipping-bucket” gauges are known to introduce systematic biases, particularly during periods of intense rainfall.
1⃣ They are known to lose some rainfall during intense downpours because water continues falling while the bucket is in the process of tipping and resetting.
To compensate, the NWS usually applies increasingly large adjustments as rainfall intensity rises. However, if these correction factors do not accurately represent the behavior of the gauge during extreme events, they may inadvertently exaggerate the magnitude of the heaviest precipitation totals.
2⃣ Newer ASOS gauges also use Alter windshields, which reduce wind-induced undercatch by shielding the gauge opening from airflow. Because wind tends to deflect raindrops away from precipitation gauges, the addition of windshields increases collection efficiency and generally results in higher recorded precipitation amounts than older unshielded manual gauges.
🔗https://t.co/WC2zJ4TJ76
If you examine the number of days with daily rainfall exceeding the 99th percentile (top 1% heaviest events) per year (averaged per station), there is a spurious jump in the early 1990s that coincides with changes in instrumentation to more efficient rain gauges (bottom right graph). If this were purely a climatic artifact, the increase would be steadily upward, not sudden.
It is very likely that this trend exists elsewhere too as automated instrumentation has taken over, although daily data is spatially limited, especially in Africa and much of South America.
Seth needs to do more homework. This wasn't a very good, much less accurate presentation.
This isn't even an exaggeration. The talking points that get you labeled a 'Nazi' today were just vanilla Democrat talking points not even twenty years ago.
This is amazing. Bloomberg just published an article lamenting the H-1B crackdown on Indian workers in Texas because...
HOME PRICES ARE DROPPING DRAMATICALLY(!!)
The same article claims it's "racist" to scale back the number of H-1Bs (lol) and states as gospel truth that home prices going down will harm the local economy.
Articles like this fail to explain how masses of Indian immigrants have pushed home prices out of reach for many native-born Americans in the first place, or how they've culturally transformed huge swaths of Texas.
Prices coming DOWN from less immigration is an very good thing that should be celebrated. It also proves the Trump administration's entire premise: Unchecked, runaway, invasion levels of immigration, legal and illegal, has fueled the affordability crisis.
Less immigration makes America more affordable.
The Guardian claims ocean warming is causing a staggering collapse in marine life, but the study it cites actually shows the opposite.
When a year is warmer, fish biomass is found to increase by as much as 24%. When years turn colder, biomass falls by around 15%.
That is the observed data.
To preserve the climate narrative, however, the authors then abandon real year-to-year results and switch to a modeled decadal trend.
The model assigns warming a negative effect and reports a decline. That decline is not observed, it is modeled.
The authors go on to admit they cannot separate temperature effects from overfishing, which is the primary, well-known driver of fish declines worldwide.
Since fishing pressure is not included, the model loads losses onto temperature by default. Even though, as per the study's own data, warmer years mean more fish.
The collapse exists only in the model.