Don't throw out your Coldcard devices. If law enforcement can get the coins then your device will likely be needed to prove that you owned the seed.
(this is due to the hardware ID associated with the processor)
Let Investors Who Actually Predicted the Stock Market Bubble Tell You When It's Over… Buy the Dip
Enjoy these clips from our September 20, 2025 and September 27, 2025 Around the Horn webcasts, and our December 13, 2025 appearance on Bloomberg’s The Close in which we highlight elements of our prediction of the current developing bubble in stocks. Investors need not concern themselves with the growing chorus of bearish prognostications until our leading indicators signal it’s time to book gains.
Trading has a peculiar way of humbling even the most confident, pulling them through a predictable arc that feels anything but predictable when you’re living it. You start with naive simplicity, convinced that a few basic rules and perhaps some indicators will unlock consistent profits. But markets have a brutal way of exposing the gaps in oversimplified strategies, and once you get thoroughly rekt, you inevitably enter an optimization phase driven by the urgent need to “fix” what went wrong. The problem is that most traders dive into this phase without realizing that risk never actually disappears; it just shifts around like water, flowing into different corners of your system depending on which lever you decide to adjust.
This optimization phase becomes a dangerous trap because traders conflate complexity with usefulness, assuming that more sophisticated systems automatically translate to better performance. You start layering on additional data and building increasingly elaborate rules, all while remaining blissfully unaware that each “improvement” is simply redistributing risk rather than eliminating it. The irony is that this journey through complexity, while often painful and expensive, is actually necessary for developing genuine expertise; but only if you eventually recognize that optimization frequently just means making things more complex without making them more effective.
When you finally return to simplicity, it becomes informed simplicity: you understand not just what works, but why certain complexities matter and others don’t, and most importantly, you’ve learned that every adjustment comes with tradeoffs that can’t be optimized away. The full circle is the natural evolution of mastery, where apparent simplicity masks hard-won wisdom about what truly matters and what’s just noise.
This bül market is only “illogical” to investors that have not put in the time, lack the ability, or cannot check their negativity bias enough to understand our 2+ month-old Paradigm C thesis.
I don’t think I’ve ever been as far away from Wall Street consensus as I’ve been since April 23rd. It’s actually been enjoyable to watch the talking head consensus on @CNBC and @BloombergTV ever so slowly come around to understanding less than 50% of our Paradigm C framework to date.
I’m living proof that you don’t have to be among the smartest people in the world to be a great investor. You simply need to be smart enough and work harder than most are willing to work.
The secret to investing is NOT being smarter than the market. News flash: no one is. It’s about consistently figuring out an uncertain future faster than other investors. Yes, that requires a high IQ, but it also requires a TON of elbow grease.
My unrivaled elbow grease has been my secret sauce since I began my career back in 2009. Here is the reason why: https://t.co/4K7mNeeIiv. 🙏🏾
It is still an underappreciated story that the Fed just suggested to open up the private credit creation floodgates yesterday
This is (just on the surface) equal to a couple of months of PEAK Covid QE in volume
🇺🇸 Elon Musk says he's "disappointed" to see the US Government's new massive spending bill.
"This increases the budget deficit and undermines the work the DOGE team is doing."