George Passariello

Political Marketing Specialist - Politika. We win races in all places.

District leader Conservative Party of Staten Island.

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

🚨 WOW! Rep. Nicole Malliotakis — whose mother fled Communist Cuba — NAILS IT to the Fake News' faces

"The reality is the communist caucus is coming to Congress! It's gonna be a RUDE AWAKENING if we don't pay attention, that INCLUDES the press! The PRESS is the FIRST ONE to go!" 🔥

"I don't CARE what they call themselves. When you're taking pages out of the playbook of Karl Marx, pushing for abolishing private property rights, seizing the means of production, or Hugo Chavez in packing the Supreme Court? THAT'S what you're gonna get!"

@NMalliotakis @SpeakerJohnson

[Rep. Nicole Malliotakis Office @RepNicole]

Today, @POTUS Donald Trump outlined the clear progress our nation has made this past year. Together, we delivered historic tax relief for working Americans, middle-class families and senior citizens, helping them keep more of their hard-earned money as they begin filing their taxes. With our border secure, less crime in our cities, lower mortgage rates, less inflation, cheaper gas prices, a GDP that’s growing, domestic manufacturing that’s returning, and trillions of dollars in private and foreign investment strengthening our economy, we are fueling job creation, restoring confidence, and putting our nation back on a path of sustained growth.

We are undoing the mess created by the Biden Administration and getting our country back on track, and I remain committed to working with the President and my colleagues to continue lowering costs, strengthening public safety, and building on this momentum that’s delivering real results for the American people.

[Alex deGrasse @Degrasse81]

“Another false and biased poll that the Far Left media laps up while ignoring multiple independent polls showing this race within the margin of error once you properly account for likely voters and proper geographical representation based on historical turnout. Kathy Hochul is the worst and the weakest governor in the Country and no fake poll from a liberal college will change that.”

To: Interested Parties
From: Elise for Governor
Re: November Siena Poll and the 2026 Governor Race

1. Overview
The November Siena poll is a survey of registered voters in New York, not a likely voter poll and is not representative of a midterm electorate or any historical electorate in New York. The poll interviews about 802 registered voters in New York State and the results are weighted to adult population benchmarks from the American Community Survey and then to party registration, not to a likely midterm electorate which looks dramatically different. The 2022 gubernatorial electorate was older, more Republican, and significantly more outside New York City than this population frame.
The pollster’s methodology is also suspect- they blend cheap, non-probability online panel data together with probability-based live and SMS text to web samples. A methodology that The New York Times has specifically stated will prohibit a poll from meeting their criteria for reliability due to issues with bias.

2. Under-Samples Republicans
According to the release, the weighted party registration in the poll is about 49% Democrat, 22% Republican, and 28% independent or other.
In the 2022 governor race, turnout by party registration was about 48% Democrat, 29% Republican, and 23% unaffiliated. That means Republicans are underrepresented and independents are overrepresented compared with a real midterm electorate.

3. Oversamples New York City
The region weights in the poll show about 39% from New York City, 26% from the downstate suburbs, and 35% from upstate. In the 2022 general election, New York City accounted for about 30.5% of all ballots cast statewide, with roughly 69.5% coming from the suburbs and upstate. Giving extra weight to New York City, Hochul's strongest region, and less weight to the rest of the state inflates her statewide margin.

4. Registered voters, not likely voters
The sample includes all registered voters who can be reached, with no midterm turnout screen. Younger and low propensity voters who rarely participate in off year elections are treated the same as high turnout, older voters. A realistic 2026 model will have a smaller, older, and more Republican electorate than this.

5. Methodology Issues
Siena's current polling methodology incorporates non-probability online panel sources for nearly 40% of their responses. Extensive research demonstrates that non-probability panels produce systematically biased results that cannot be adequately corrected through statistical weighting.
The mix of phone interviews and opt-in online panel interviews also creates extra bias and mode effects that are not reflected in the stated margin of error.
Documented Issues with Non-Probability Panel
Methodology:
* Bogus respondents: 4-7% of online panel responses come from illegitimate sources that systematically select positive answer choices
* Self-selection bias: Online panels lack comprehensive sampling frames, making representative selection impossible
* Demographic distortions: Consistent overrepresentation of politically engaged respondents and specific lifestyle groups
* Correction limitations: Even sophisticated weighting procedures can only eliminate approximately 30% of original bias
Specific Bias Patterns:
* Online opt-in panels consistently overrepresent Democratic voters compared to probability-based telephone samples
* Average bias exceeding 10 percentage points for estimates involving Black and Hispanic respondents
* Systematic errors that adjustment procedures cannot adequately address

6. Bottom line
The poll is not a reliable guide to the 2026 governor race. It rests on a registered voter, population-weighted sample that overrepresents Democrats, overweights New York City, and includes many people who did not vote in 2022 and are unlikely to vote in 2026. Any claim that Elise Stefanik is not competitive based on this poll comes from a skewed picture of the electorate, not from the voters who will actually choose the next governor.

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

My opponent says he's the "real Republican" but when it counted most, he didn't show up. ❌ Didn't vote for Trump against Hillary ❌ Didn't vote for Nicole Malliotakis against Bill de Blasio.❌ Didn't vote in critical elections from 2016-2019 We need leaders who actually show up.

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

With just hours left before Frank Morano’s fundraising deadline, will you help Frank champion our values in City Hall? https://t.co/ouJ4Jqe3x5

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

The South Shore deserves better. Stand with Frank Morano to stop the massive 4-story homeless shelter from being forced into our community. Sign The Petition: https://t.co/pixF95gq7c

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

Great to have the support of @sbanypd President @vincesba! Thanks for the shout-out on The Joe Piscopo Show—we appreciate your leadership and the hard work of the Sergeants Benevolent Association.

https://t.co/LGlFTUshVh

[Mike Lindell @realMikeLindell]

"I'd sleep better if Frank Morano was in the New York City Council. Support @frankmorano now by going to https://t.co/UVHPRm2K48"

[George Passariello @PolitikaNYC]

@frankmorano @SIRepublicans @MikeTannousis @DMCarr Way to Go!

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

Officially nominated for City Council by @SIRepublicans! Huge thanks to Chairman @MikeTannousis, the County & Exec Committees, and my incredible friends & family. Special thanks to Bill D’Ambrosio for an amazing speech & @DMCarr for leading with class. I won’t let you down!

[Frank Morano @frankmorano]

Honored to have the endorsement of the Conservative Party! Their support reinforces our shared commitment to lower taxes, safer streets, and protecting our freedoms. Together, we’ll fight for the values that matter most to our community. #TeamMorano #ConservativeLeadership

[Nicole Malliotakis @NMalliotakis]

Happy to join former & current elected officials, police & fire unions and leaders like @ScottLobaido in supporting @FrankMorano for the South Shore City Council seat recently vacated by @JoeBorelliNYC. Frank has been a dear friend for many years, has served on our local community board and is most well known for his radio show on WABC. He is passionate about the issues affecting Staten Island & will bring the fight to City Hall. The special election will take place in April. Learn more about Frank here: https://t.co/oZaTqX60vs

[Curtis Sliwa @CurtisSliwa]

#2025 will be for the working people of #NYC. We will not go back to those who get elected, and forsake us time and time again. You deserve to feel safe going to school or work. You deserve to go out and enjoy the culture of this city, without fear of your life. You put in the work to live here, it’s time you have a Mayor who will help you stay here. 

Join us! Send me a DM stating “volunteer!” now!

[George Passariello @PolitikaNYC]

@DanCrenshawTX @johnrich Good job Dan you helped bring more attention to this......

[George Passariello @PolitikaNYC]

Tonight in Staten Island

[Curtis Sliwa @CurtisSliwa]

Thank you all for your support🙌. Proud to have won this poll! I know too many hard working New Yorkers are being forced out of our city. The price to live here keeps rising, while our safety and quality of life only worsens.

The city is making it harder for you to live here and pay your rent, your mortgage, taxes. But all we see is poor management, corruption, and city services not keeping our neighborhoods clean, safe, healthy and affordable.

As Mayor, I can’t be bought. I will make our city work for those who power it. Especially in a time where most of our leaders are so out of touch, and only cater to their special interests. Not you.

We can rebuild this city, let’s make it happen. 🗽

[The Rabbit Hole @TheRabbitHole]

Top Donor Contributions to Donald Trump & Kamala Harris as of September 2024.

[George Passariello @PolitikaNYC]

#StatenIsland #Republican @NMalliotakis Come join us

[Curtis Sliwa @CurtisSliwa]

Let’s be clear: Cuomo destroyed New York State and then abandoned his position as Governor fearing impeachment and indictment. Now he wants another chance… but to destroy NYC??

NEVER AGAIN CUOMO!

[George Passariello @PolitikaNYC]

@ANTHONYDESPO I'd act surprised, but nothing this woman does surprises me. Sad look for her yet again.