I will be in Palermo for the Italian Meeting on Probability and Mathematical Statistics (IMPMS) next week if you want to chat ! (and present during the conformal prediction session on Tuesday)
Want to directly minimize the conditional quantile of your predictions?🔥
With Michael I. Jordan & @BachFrancis we introduce SLS regression. We use volume as a direct optimization criterion for estimating conditional HDRs.
Plus: it’s conformal-ready.
📝https://t.co/hdgIRdbG53
Amazing calibration workshop happening at AISTAT ! We will present a poster this afternoon (we propose a variational estimator for Lp calibration error - including L1!) you should definitely come if you still think you can reliably evaluate calibration errors with ECE :-)
Check out the great list of papers accepted at our workshop on probability calibration, in particular the student and non-student outstanding paper awards!
See you in Tangier, looking forward to the great conversations about calibration and uncertainty in modern AI 👇
Today NeurIPS is announcing our official satellite event in Paris.
After responding to the call from Ellis following the success of EurIPS in December, we are pleased to reach a new milestone by joining forces with the NeurIPS organizing committee for the 2026 edition!
Excited to share that "Structured Matrix Scaling for Multi-Class Calibration" was accepted to #AISTATS2026!
The final version of the paper is out, and the updated implementation in our package probmetrics (version 1.1) is both FASTER & BETTER.
📖 Read the full paper: https://t.co/7zKXLntspg
💻 Package available here: https://t.co/lmBYZScxBs
Use our package as :
pip install covmetrics
from covmetrics import ERT
print( ERT().evaluate(x, cover, alpha) )
📢 How can you measure conditional miscoverage ??
With @DHolzmueller, Michael I. Jordan & @BachFrancis, we recast conditional coverage as classification, offering a new lens on both its meaning and its measurement. (+ release a package to compute our metric in 2 lines of code)!
Not all scaling laws are nice power laws. This month’s blog post: Zipf’s law in next-token prediction and why Adam (ok, sign descent) scales better to large vocab sizes than gradient descent: https://t.co/uoy5GPrZek
Coming back from an amazing week in Warwick, discovering sampling and diffusion !
Big thanks to Alain Durmus for the teaching and the organization team (Hugo Queniat & Filippo Pagani) for the organization!
📢 New paper on arXiv alert!
With @Eugene_Berta, Michael I. Jordan & @BachFrancis we improve conditional coverage in conformal prediction + handle missing outputs + other extensions you should definitely check in the paper !🎯 #conformalPrediction
I guess running in the mountains is a typical holiday break for researchers — and if you're not a runner, consider volunteering at a race instead and soak in all the good vibes! Thanks to the ut4m team for the organisation ;)
What if AI isn’t about building solo geniuses, but designing social systems?
Michael Jordan advocates blending ML, economics, and uncertainty management to prioritize social welfare over mere prediction.
A must-read rethink.
https://t.co/HUJh97pq5N