Prasoon Tiwari

Understanding markets through behavior📈 | Stocks | AI | smart thinking | Sharing real insights, not hype

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

People sit with decisions and thinking more time will make things clearer.

But It doesn’t. It just delays the moment
they admit what they already know.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@abhijeet_dipke

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@abhijeet_dipke Crackers are waiting 💥💥💥

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@abhijeet_dipke Warm welcome 🙏🏻😊

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

One thing markets teach people quietly:

being early feels exactly like being wrong for a while.

That’s why so many good ideas get abandoned before they get tested.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

The people laughing at Modi’s statement this week are the same people who will be the most unprepared if it turns out he was right.

Everyone’s busy mocking him for asking people to cut fuel use, skip foreign trips, buy less gold.

Fair enough. It sounds strange when you first hear it. But here’s what I haven’t seen anyone mention :

Governments don’t usually make these appeals early. They make them after the pressure has already been building quietly underneath for weeks. By the time a PM is saying it publicly, the people actually watching the numbers have been worried for a while.

The Strait of Hormuz has been effectively blocked since February. India gets nearly all its LPG through there. Half its crude. 60% of its LNG. The IEA used the phrase “largest supply disruption in the history of global oil markets.” Not an activist. The IEA.

60 countries have put emergency energy measures in place. Philippines declared a national energy emergency. Thailand is drafting fuel rationing plans. This is happening. It’s just not happening in your feed.

The rupee is near an all-time low. Oil is up 45% globally. And India imports 85% of what it burns.

That’s not a political opinion. That’s just the position India is in. The mockery makes sense emotionally. Someone asks you to change behaviour and it feels like being managed. But there’s a difference between a government manufacturing panic and a government responding to something real.

Cheap energy for a long time does something to people.

It makes scarcity feel like propaganda.
And that’s exactly the kind of confusion that makes a crisis worse than it needed to be.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

People are mocking Modi for asking citizens to reduce fuel use, avoid unnecessary imports and cut gold buying.

But governments usually make these appeals only after pressure has already started building underneath the system.

The uncomfortable part is not the request itself.

It’s how quickly people now treat even basic economic caution like propaganda.

Cheap energy made people forget something:

Countries that depend heavily on imports don’t get unlimited room for denial during global shocks.

Most people are reacting politically.

The numbers usually react first.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@Rishikesh_ADX Most sector tops don’t happen when fundamentals become weak.

They happen when everyone starts believing every dip is temporary.

That’s when markets slowly stop pricing risk and start pricing certainty.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

The appeal itself is not shocking.
Most countries do this during pressure periods.

What’s worrying is how fast normal people now feel financially stretched even before the actual damage fully arrives.

That usually tells you the system underneath was already weaker than it looked.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

People become dangerously confident after surviving one good market cycle.

Because luck feels exactly like skill in the beginning.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@AlexHormozi most people spend their entire life trying to avoid being wrong.

that’s usually why they never end up doing anything different enough to matter.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@paulg the dangerous thing about partial knowledge is that it still feels complete while you have it.

that’s why confidence peaks so early for a lot of people.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

countries usually don’t collapse because people suffer. they collapse when people slowly normalize the suffering.

high taxes become “part of life.”
bad infrastructure becomes “adjustment.”
no opportunities becomes “this is how things are.”

that shift is dangerous because once people stop expecting better, decline compounds quietly.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@SahilBloom Most people listen just enough to reply, while Very few listen because they’re actually curious.

You can feel the difference.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@RayDalio Most people think power is about who wins the conflict.

But history usually changes when control over systems changes like trade routes, energy, money, narratives.

Wars are often just the visible part.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

Every bull market creates a generation that starts confusing momentum with intelligence.

People stop asking “what can go wrong?” and start asking “why didn’t i buy more?”

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@Akshat_World AI will create a weird market behavior.

At first people invest because they understand the opportunity. Later they buy it just because everyone else is making money from it.

That’s when prices start moving faster than actual understanding.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@AlexHormozi Most people don’t actually want to get rich fast. They want the feeling of certainty before taking risk.

That’s why they spend years preparing for a life they already know they want.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

Bull markets do something strange to people. At first they feel careful.
Then confident. After a while, even obvious risk starts feeling normal.

That’s usually when people stop respecting the market.

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@WeekendInvestng 20 years of waiting feels stupid right before it starts looking genius. Most people don’t miss multibaggers because they can’t identify them. They miss them because nothing happens for too long 😂

[Prasoon Tiwari @PrasoonAlpha]

@Akshat_World Most people want wealth. But they still want the emotional safety of a paycheck. That’s the real conflict.