PredictBack

Vibes Are Cheap. Backtests Aren't.

Quantitative Backtesting for Prediction Markets.

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

CA: 2zBEnFWcGta2BukpCYQz2TQnS9we6DXUCNmi69MLpump

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

@BreezyDegens Must go with predict back 👀👀

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

Winners of the pump fun hackathon about to launch 👀👀

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

markets pumpin

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

we just dropped our intro video for PredictBack ▶️

what we’re building and how we think about edge, risk, and structure in this space.

if you care about:
- backtesting over vibes
- sizing over guessing
- structure over narratives

this is for you - https://t.co/ait0Cobgz6 🙌🙌

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

Markets down. Vibes up

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

Degeneracy at it's finest 🤌

[Whale Insider @WhaleInsider]

JUST IN: PumpMarket $PMT goes live, letting traders bet SOL on whether pumpdotfun tokens will graduate or not. First of its kind.

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

just in time for @Kalshi data :)))

[Tarek Mansour @mansourtarek_]

The Federal Reserve just put out an incredible paper about Kalshi's data.

"Our results suggest that Kalshi markets provide a high-frequency, continuously updated, distributionally rich benchmark that is valuable to both researchers and policymakers."

https://t.co/cw5GrDFse6

[camilo @curiouscamilo]

Prediction markets create a public good: probabilistic truth. Someone has to pay for public goods.

Until now, that's been venture dollars and brave market makers subsidizing liquidity to bootstrap these markets.

Today marks an inflection point.

Polymarket has crossed the threshold where any actor willing to pay for the price discovery of probabilistic truth can now bootstrap a market themselves.

No VC required, no professional market maker needed.

Whenever probabilistic truth is needed, a market for it will survive on organic demand alone.

Volumes, accuracy, and adoption will now increase at a steeper pace.

Polymarket has become permanent infrastructure.

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

We BUILDING fam!!! 🏗️🏗️🏗️

added MORE visualization tools based on 30+ GB of data. Plot maker vs. taker trade size, returns over time, and more... data/analysis by @beckerrjon 🙏🙏🙏

next up - making it interactive /configurable! ▶️

check it out https://t.co/pNFvQAB9Ze 👀

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

fam, we're working on some visualization tools on historical data for you to explore and pair with your backtesting

things like maker/taker comparisons, returns by category, win rate by price - and expanding this data to @Kalshi as well - we think you'll lervvvv it ❤️

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

@lo_tech we'll be looking to integrate some of this data into the backtesting platform - sent you guys a message 😃

[LO:TECH @lo_tech]

If you want to analyse and trade prediction markets properly, you need data that’s normalised, easy to work with and compare. We’ve built that pipeline, and prediction market data is now part of our live and historic market data service, covering Polymarket, Kalshi and Opinion.

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

BIG announcement soon. stay tuned 😁👀

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

👀

[nairolf @0xNairolf]

imagine this:

fomo for polymarket

who is betting
how much
how often they are right

prediction markets + social graph + reputation score = inevitable

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

going to be fun day fam. keep your eyes on our feed

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

the people have spoken! stay tuned folks

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

Should we join this https://t.co/m0ihETjdzl hackathon? 🤔

https://t.co/7S2CzQ6UI5

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

according to @datadashboards, @Polymarket has >$12b volume than @Kalshi but $65m less in OI. this means more turnover + less position persistence

polymarket activity dominated by short-horizon trading rt capital being parked

this is where backtesting comes into play🤌

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

it's the day celebrating love so we are BUILDING

happy valentine's day to all the single hungry prediction market degenerates out there. PredictBack is your palentine this year♥️♥️ let's get itt!!!!

[PredictBack @PredictBack]

@Extacyofcrypto agreed agreed. thanks king