Predictbook

Prediction markets intelligence desk. Access real-time alerts on Telegram: @Predictbook.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

What tools are you actually using to trade on prediction markets?

We've been keeping an open directory of them. 57 so far: wallet trackers, whale alerts, terminals, copy trading, odds aggregators, data APIs. Most were submitted by the teams that built them.

Missing something you use? Drop it below / add a PR.

https://t.co/GhQ2GVi6Vf

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

On Kalshi 35% chance no one is the Prime Minister of Israel after the 2026 election.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

🇮🇱 Israel votes as Polymarket favors Eizenkot to become the next prime minister.

Polymarket gives Gadi Eizenkot a 62% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, ahead of Netanyahu at 27% and Naftali Bennett at 8%.

More than $58M has been traded on on who will lead the next government.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

JUST IN: S&P Dow Jones Indices is teaming up with Kalshi to build prediction-market indices.

S&P Dow Jones Indices and Kalshi will develop benchmarks composed of event contracts. Potential themes include political power, supply-chain risks, AI’s impact on employment and weather.

CEO Tarek Mansour says future products based on these indices could offer diversified exposure to real-world events and new ways to hedge their impact.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@endbosss how this mate feels

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

A Polymarket trader has $117.7K on the Fed NOT raising rates by 25 basis points in October.

The latest buy added $104.6K at 93¢, bringing the potential payout to $127.6K if the outcome resolves NO.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

🇮🇱 Israel votes as Polymarket favors Eizenkot to become the next prime minister.

Polymarket gives Gadi Eizenkot a 62% chance of becoming prime minister after the election, ahead of Netanyahu at 27% and Naftali Bennett at 8%.

More than $58M has been traded on on who will lead the next government.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@CoinDesk @Ripple According to Kalshi traders, there is a 27% odds that the price of XRP will reach $2 by the end of the year

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@NBA Ant still has a good chance (14%) of winning the MVP for the 2026–2027 season, trailing only Wemby, Luka, and SGA atm.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Prediction markets are competing for official sports rights.

The NBA is the latest addition, naming @Kalshi and @Polymarket its preferred prediction market exchanges on October 26.

Here is who’s partnering with whom, and what each deal includes.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Harry Kane and Kylian Mbappe arrived to the Ballon D’or ceremony.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

One Kalshi trader is confident enough to put $164K on Pittsburgh NOT winning the AFC North.

The position pays $200K if the Steelers miss out on the division title.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@TheBlockCo Does the 2028 crossover still hold if sports contracts get shut down in key states? Sports is still most of today’s volume.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@TouchlineX Thats true, but Mbappe have 32%, Kane 63% and Yamal 6% to win Ballon d’Or according to Polymarket.

https://t.co/ekwsnr66sp

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Kylian Mbappé is heading to tonight’s Ballon d’Or ceremony in London with Real Madrid’s delegation.

His Polymarket odds have climbed to 32%, while Harry Kane remains the favorite at 61%. Lamine Yamal trails at 7%.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@PreciyIsi Mbappe have 32% to win Ballon d’Or according to Polymarket

https://t.co/ekwsnr6EhX

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Kylian Mbappé is heading to tonight’s Ballon d’Or ceremony in London with Real Madrid’s delegation.

His Polymarket odds have climbed to 32%, while Harry Kane remains the favorite at 61%. Lamine Yamal trails at 7%.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Kylian Mbappé is heading to tonight’s Ballon d’Or ceremony in London with Real Madrid’s delegation.

His Polymarket odds have climbed to 32%, while Harry Kane remains the favorite at 61%. Lamine Yamal trails at 7%.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

⚽️ Kylian Mbappe chances of winning the 2026 Ballon d’Or have nearly tripled overnight on Polymarket, rising from 7% to 20%.

He has overtaken Lamine Yamal to become the second favorite behind Harry Kane.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@Polymarket In combo with zero-fees on NBA markets it feels like banger

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Polymarket has now joined Kalshi as a Preferred Prediction Market Exchange of the NBA, with official league data and exclusive activations.
https://t.co/Ss0goVYfIs

[Polymarket @Polymarket]

It's official: Polymarket is now a Preferred Prediction Market Exchange of the NBA 🏀

Official NBA data, exclusive activations, and a whole new era of basketball starts now.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Kalshi has become a Preferred Prediction Market Exchange of the NBA.

The deal brings official NBA data, distributed by Sportradar, to its basketball markets for trading and settlement.

Kalshi and the league will share information on suspicious trading and cooperate on investigations. The agreement also restricts which markets can be offered and explicitly prohibits NBA league and team personnel from trading NBA event contracts.

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

@luanalopeslara What a great collaboration!

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

Our analysis examines whether traders put too much confidence in Bolsonaro despite the polling evidence.
https://t.co/y7muJjJq3k

[Predictbook @Predictbook]

🇧🇷 Polymarket gave Flávio Bolsonaro a 72% chance of winning three days before Brazil runoff. Lula won instead.

Final polls showed a tight race, with Bolsonaro’s narrow lead often within the margin of error. Lula ultimately secured a fourth presidential term with 51.79% of the vote against Bolsonaro’s 48.21%.