The Prediction Project

From 2000BC to next week’s weather, we document & analyze how humans predict futures over time. Founded by @AlyssaAGoodman @Harvard ft. experts around the 🌎

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Ever wonder where the @PredictionX logo came from? The image that inspired us is actually from the Madrid Codex, one of the few surviving books from the Maya Civilisation, dated back to c.900-1521 A.D. Priests used the codex to record divination rituals—including human sacrifice!

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Political predictions aren’t usually included in the prediction project, but I could not resist this one from the New York Times. (Kamala will win)

https://t.co/8kYHnBV9VD

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

We are definitely not so good at predicting the future of society! Happy new year from the @nytimes and PredictionX #GenEd1112 https://t.co/Lrubngc0X3

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Look out for #GenEd1112 if you’re curious to see how our ideas about new content for our on-campus Harvard Prediction class. And here’s the first post! https://t.co/xOzSycmapH

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Let’s build this into ⁦@PredictionX⁩ | CityScope — MIT Media Lab! https://t.co/EQOnAtVt16

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Someday, future #astronomers will know what "UniverseTBD" meant to our field. Today, I was honored to see it taking off. Thanks @errai34 @TingAstro @jegpeek @adsabs @MSFTResearch @OpenAI @dpfink et al. for letting me in early on this revolution! (photos @errai34 ++ talk today!)

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Forecasting the production and movement of smoke at high resolution is extremely difficult! And important https://t.co/zp7vjL42qY

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Poor Air Quality Expected for parts of Connecticut, Massachusetts, New Hampshire on June 1, 2023 | US EPA https://t.co/XiR6ValvSe

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

This prescient 2018 talk by ⁦@benbendc⁩ on “Algorithmic Accountability: Designing for Safety” offers good strategies for dealing w our present #AI challenges ⁦⁦@RadInstitute⁩ ⁦⁦@harvard_data⁩ ⁦@PredictionX⁩ ⁦@Harvard⁩ https://t.co/DSbsbJQbUM

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Plus--if you'd like an annotated, searchable of @AlyssaAGoodman @benbendc @Harvard undergrads' #ArtificialIntelligence discussion, check out the 2018 interview on @LabXchange here. Suitable for re-use in teaching, and for AI-curious interested learners. https://t.co/4APehy2B5H

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Yes, and here are the good questions @Harvard undergraduates were asking @benbendc about #ArtificialIntelligence back in 2018, take a look at the interview filmed at @RadInstitute at https://t.co/g7yRYHhDPQ. 1/2

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Have a look at the prescient lecture on "algorithmic accountability" @benbendc gave for @harvard_data and @RadInstitute back in 2018--he saw the future and had (has!) good suggestions! We *can* use AI safely. Up to us, though. 2/2 https://t.co/tcdGCAMsx0

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Maybe ⁦@FiveThirtyEight⁩ could go “home” to @NYTimes? https://t.co/XMl3t58QGJ

[Michael Esposito @Michael_E_News]

Put my knowledge of John Snow and the cholera epidemic acquired via @PredictionX to work yesterday while editing an article for @AttendSafe. Thanks, Professor @AlyssaAGoodman.

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Scientists at @exxonmobil, as far back as the 1970s and 1980s, made really on-target predictions of global #climatechange. Read more from @PredictionX at https://t.co/34s4wJ8cLq, and in the original post from @grist, who posted the great video that sums it all up. #uncertainty

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Impressive study showing a power to predict risk of endometrial cancer, using a lasso model on a very large data set, out now from @joy_shi1 and colleagues at @Harvard. I will feature this as an example in my @Harvard GenEd class on @PredictionX https://t.co/9LHGqjQPm6

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

Quick, @Harvard students--places are almost gone! Register for GenEd 1112 today.

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

I could not agree more with ⁦@AlbertoCairo⁩ that we need to help people understand (the visual representation of) #uncertainty! AND that “who” is the most important of the “10 Questions” ⁦@10qviz⁩ #dataviz4society cf. ⁦@PredictionX⁩ https://t.co/AWfmEbgln6

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

And post your questions here https://t.co/dKAVI4Ad3q

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

Join online now https://t.co/RYBhdf1zHK

[Alyssa A. Goodman @AlyssaAGoodman]

“How you face the rising sea depends on the accident of your birth.” ⁦@SominiSengupta⁩ kicking off at ⁦@Harvard⁩ ⁦@RadInstitute⁩ 2022 Science Symposium on #climatechange. Zoom link to follow in 🧵

[The Prediction Project @PredictionX]

@AlyssaAGoodman The Babylonians had no interest in modelling how the Solar System was arranged in 3D…they made accurate observations & developed [mathematical models] to predict…timing of events …w/Hipparchus, this.. merged with the Greek geometric approach…& “modern astronomy really begins”