Predxy US (Community)

Community page for @onPredxy - The attention index for @Polymarket, @Kalshi, @trylimitless, @predictdotfun, and @opinionlabsxyz.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Polymarket 61% of all net retail buying going into one stock in a single week is wild, even by Nvidia standards.

[Predxy @onPredxy]

https://t.co/xxL4DM3viy

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@JakeSherman Kalshi had Jordan at 68% for minority leader a day ago. He's at 99% now, with Scalise down to 1%.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

Pete Hegseth impeached by Dec 31, on Polymarket:

A week ago 21%
Now 81%

Rep. Don Bacon said Monday he's weighing the Massie resolution, per Manu Raju.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Kalshi After the print, Kalshi has a December Fed hike at 97%. A hold is down to 4%, from 10% at midday.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Kalshi Still climbing: Kalshi now has a 25bp December hike at 88%, with a hold down to 10% from 23% a day ago.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Polymarket Talks are back on, but Polymarket still has a Russia-Ukraine ceasefire agreement by Dec 31 at just 15%.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@mkraju Polymarket now has Hegseth impeached by Dec 31 at 76%, up 9 points in a day.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Polymarket Polymarket puts Mélenchon at 13.5% to win the 2027 French presidential election.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@KobeissiLetter Ahead of those inflation prints, Kalshi puts a 25-basis-point Fed hike in December at 76%.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@JakeSherman Traders lean the same way: 63% on Polymarket that Hegseth is impeached by Dec 31, up 17 points in a day.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@patrickdaly @Redistrict Big buy-ins do move a single book. That's why we put several venues side by side instead of trusting one price.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Kalshi Kalshi has another Starship launch before Nov 27 at 95%.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Polymarket Turner at 36% on Polymarket, Pattinson second at 22%. A Bond reveal by Nov 30 sits at 47%.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

A 25bp Fed hike in December is at 77% on Kalshi.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@unusual_whales Hegseth out before Dec 1 is at 23% on Kalshi, down 18 points in a day.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@KobeissiLetter Average US gas above $4.02 is at 4% on Kalshi, down from about 66% a day ago.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@zerohedge A Dec hike is at 68% across venues right now, down 12 points in a day.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Kalshi One of the cleaner ways a governor can still move the news after a midterm.

[Predxy US (Community) @PredxyHQ]

@Polymarket the midterm hangover product catalog continues