Probability Exchange

Probex is a news-driven probability exchange: it watches prediction markets and news in real time, then surfaces the most interesting mispricings and hedges.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

There's a reason I've temporarily quit working on Probability Exchange. I've been busy with my other projects. Don't think for one second I won't be back and when I do, I promise another refresh of the site. In the meantime, here's part of what I've been working on. I will pay a commission for any business you send my way. https://t.co/p2rBRwvBdX

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@HunterBiden Yeah I don't know why they're focused on your Dad rather than the daily shit show that is the Trump administration. Dude has lost his mind.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@SubduedRadical You ok?

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@tedcruz Is that supposed to be a flex?

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@BasedMikeLee You should be ashamed of yourself.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@Matthew8758 🤞🏽

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@ZhouJaron Is it surprising though? He did in his first term too. Had mostly acting department heads because of some loophole it provides him. I can't remember exactly what it was.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@BasedMikeLee It's a holiday weekend. Good time to get the war in Iran going again or invade Cuba.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@mattvanswol He knows how to win a GOP primary because you guys are either full of shit or you're the biggest suckers ever.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@realDonaldTrump Now Ed Gallrein will get killed in the general.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@SubduedRadical @TheObservr @ElxMapping Ken Paxton is a criminal. You guys seem to gravitate towards them these days.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@Jagger_Jasmine @TheCadG @admcrlsn because the Trump base aren't the smartest people in any rooms they're in.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@benwfreeman1 haha, now this dude will get destroyed in the general election. The GOP are not a serious party anymore.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@TheObservr @ElxMapping I don't live in Texas anymore so you'd probably know better than I would. I do know he's a felon who was impeached by his own party. Those ads are going to run 24/7 from now until November. Good luck because you're going to need it.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

Didn't take long.

[Kalshi Politics @KalshiPolitics]

BREAKING: James Talarico (D) is now favored to win the Texas Senate election

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@TheObservr @ElxMapping Paxton is only popular with MAGA. That's the problem.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

Haha, Trump just handed this Senate seat to the Democrats.

[Attorney General Ken Paxton @KenPaxtonTX]

I am incredibly honored to have President Trump’s COMPLETE AND TOTAL ENDORSEMENT.

No one has ever fought harder for the American people than President Trump, and I look forward to championing his America First agenda in the Senate!

Texas, get out and VOTE!

[Attorney General Ken Paxton @KenPaxtonTX]

I am incredibly honored to have President Trump’s COMPLETE AND TOTAL ENDORSEMENT.

No one has ever fought harder for the American people than President Trump, and I look forward to championing his America First agenda in the Senate!

Texas, get out and VOTE!

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@ZhouJaron I think that's the move. You either go hard against Trump or do you do like Bill Cassidy and try to have your cake and eat it too.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@DanielTurnerPTF He does when he starts a war with Iran and they shut off the Strait of Hormuz.

[Probability Exchange @ProbabilityEx]

@benwfreeman1 I hate to say this but out of all those people I think Tucker Carlson is the least bad choice.