Probable Luke

Field notes for staying healthy, solvent, and sane in the age of AI

[Probable Luke @ProbableLuke]

When making things gets cheaper, deciding what’s worth making gets more important.

[Probable Luke @ProbableLuke]

@GoogleDeepMind Double-blind evals are overdue. If the model maker knows the test and evaluators know the model, both can unconsciously optimize the result. The hard part now is proving the secure box prevents leakage without making independent scrutiny impossible.

[Probable Luke @ProbableLuke]

The AI story I care about most is not chatbots. It is shortening the loop between hypothesis and experiment. Anthropic reports protein binders for 14 of 15 targets, with 22% to 35% hit rates. If independent teams can replicate that, drug discovery changes fast.

[Adeline 🍌 @DrMetaMind]

🤯BEST. CHRISTMAS. EVER.🎄🎁 @BoredApeYC

[Blockchain Association @BlockchainAssn]

The “Digital Asset Anti-Money Laundering Act” would impose sweeping surveillance and registration requirements on almost all participants in blockchain networks...a disaster for digital privacy and civil liberties," writes @MartaBelcher for @CoinDesk.

https://t.co/i0GzPp731a

[The Onion @TheOnion]

Crypto Confidence Soars After CEO Defrauds Customers Just Like Real Bank https://t.co/GU4C2V23Sd

[CRYPTO 101 Podcast @CRYPTO101Pod]

Is Larry David the Oracle of Crypto #FTX #Binance

[Michael Shermer @michaelshermer]

Very important article to RT and forward to anyone you know who thinks 2020 election was rigged, stolen etc. it wasn’t and the truth still matters, which is our core mission at Skeptic: seeking the truth regardless of politics, religion, ideology, or prior belief.

[Probable Luke @ProbableLuke]

@canuck2usa @BigCheds Less patience less pants?

[P @P_Shels]

Genuinely curious why this isn’t a block in the back.

[Michał Krzyszkowski @mkrz_art]

@crypto_birb

[Walter Hickey @WaltHickey]

not gonna lie the first time I generated this data and chart it was so jaw dropping I immediately checked to confirm it was right https://t.co/CgvqVhFghs

[Lex Fridman @lexfridman]

Nice. The math checks out.

[Neil deGrasse Tyson @neiltyson]

As you admire the rising Full Moon over the eastern horizon, if you think it's huge, you're a victim of the “Moon-on-Horizon illusion," where the Moon among hills or trees or buildings looks much larger than it actually is. One reason for science — to bypass sensory delusions.

[PizzaFace 🍕 @Pizza4Ape]

RIP ❤

[naiive @naiivememe]

#Bitcoin https://t.co/lR1jKI8l94

[Michael Shermer @michaelshermer]

It would be helpful if people quit thinking of Fox News as, you know, news journalism, and thought of it more like InfoWars, or The National Inquirer. Watch it for puerile fun standing in line at the supermarket ("Hillary's affair with Yoko Ono!") but don't take it seriously.

[Michael Shermer @michaelshermer]

Artistic social commentary (zoom in)...

[Blockworks @Blockworks]

BREAKING: Fidelity says #Bitcoin is a superior form of money