Probe International

An environmental and economic think-tank monitoring aid, trade, corruption, and China's transition to rule of law and constitutional government.

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

The projections also point to a possible increase in the likelihood of high-run-off events, including those that could heighten flood risks.
https://t.co/GB53zO9dk4

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Taiwan Seeks Cross-Party Support for Anti-Infiltration Act Amendments to Counter Transnational Repression https://t.co/ORntHJXO0U

[Safeguard Defenders (保护卫士) @SafeguardDefend]

即将出版：保护卫士关于 #指居 的新书，收录了康明凯、成蕾、李明哲等人的贡献与内容。第二版的《失踪人民共和国》聚焦这套遍布全国的失踪制度下的外国受害者，其中包括該制度被用作人質外交工具的情況。

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

China is working to constrain India's rise through territorial pressure along the Himalayan frontier and restrictions on critical industrial supplies, including solar technology, to stop India from competing.
https://t.co/8DWdY51uRl

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

This episode in which he discusses "Shell’s Green Future Moves to China — Just as Its German Battery Dream Goes Bust" is worth the read.
https://t.co/vs3HD4DTBB

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Sir Henri Deterding, the controversial and outspoken founder of Royal Dutch Shell, haunts the website. Wise to all the knowledge of Shell, and its shellanigans, he delivers informative and satirical insight to anything about Shell. https://t.co/vs3HD4DTBB

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Wind and solar are intermittent and geographically restricted; they provide 2–3% of global energy needs, they depend on fossil fuels to deliver reliable power. Chopping away at our primary energy sources with no viable replacement is dangerously bad policy.https://t.co/FNsG8F3X4f

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

When Green Agenda Bureaucrats Decide Where Energy Capital Flows, Hidden Costs Mount and The West Loses https://t.co/FNsG8F4uTN

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Fossil fuels provide 86 percent of global energy consumption, higher than in 1973, when the world started to seek alternative energy, and there is no scalable alternative available yet.
https://t.co/FNsG8F3X4f

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

How an aid initiative killed thousands of children in war-torn Africa https://t.co/1og827Ll0T

[Select Committee on China @ChinaSelect]

Xi Jinping can try and hide the truth about the Cultural Revolution, but we know what really happened.

The Select Committee has a new video exclusively on its YouTube channel, about the Cultural Revolution that tells the real history: https://t.co/qqEdt51wm4

[Jennifer Wu @JWUpacific]

CCP propaganda is completely out of control.

2.5 million false or disputed items in nine months, up 48% from last year, per Taiwan’s National Security Bureau. State media write the story. Troll armies and PR firms spread it. AI videos and fake accounts fill the comments.

Taiwan votes in November.

Influence is the cheapest invasion.

[UnveiledChina @Unveiled_ChinaX]

Taiwan’s government networks are being attacked 2.6 million times a day. Six weeks before a national election, its intelligence chief just named Beijing’s playbook.

Taiwan’s National Security Bureau told lawmakers that Chinese-linked cyberattacks on government systems averaged 2.58 million per day in the first nine months of 2026. July alone hit 185.6 million detected attempts, more than the entire first quarter. The NSB says it can’t rule out that the surge was groundwork for interfering in the November 28 local elections.

Disinformation is climbing too. Suspicious accounts pushed more than 2.5 million false or disputed posts from January to September, up about 48% from last year. The themes: energy, food safety, national defense, and individual candidates. Most of it ran on Facebook, boosted by content farms, AI-generated video and audio, and coordinated comment flooding.

NSB Director-General Tsai Ming-yen outlined six tactics Beijing is using to “precisely interfere”:

1. Illegal financial support for chosen candidates or groups
2. Low-cost trips to China for targeted supporters
3. Discounted flights so Taiwanese in China can come home to vote
4. Disinformation, including AI-generated content
5. Illegal underground betting markets
6. Cyberattacks to steal election intelligence

The bureau says it is monitoring nearly 100 suspected cases and aims to refer them to prosecutors before voters go to the polls.

Taiwan has seen this before and mostly held up. But the tools are getting faster, cheaper, and harder to trace.

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

For most of the war, Iran had an invaluable cushion: dozens of oil tankers holding millions of barrels of crude sitting safely in waters in Asia. Tehran steadily sold the oil to China. Now, that floating storage is gone.
https://t.co/ASZE7AYVQw via @WSJ

[Handre @Handre]

John Cowperthwaite did more for human prosperity than any development economist drawing a government salary ever managed, and he did it by refusing to do almost anything at all.

As Hong Kong's Financial Secretary from 1961 to 1971, Cowperthwaite ran one of the most radically free economies the modern world has ever seen. He kept taxes flat and low (the top income tax rate sat at 15%), ran consistent budget surpluses, abolished import tariffs, and blocked nearly every subsidy request that crossed his desk. When British civil servants demanded economic statistics to justify intervention, he refused to collect them. Not out of laziness. He genuinely believed that giving planners numbers gave them excuses.

The results? In 1960, Hong Kong's per capita income stood at roughly 28% of Britain's. By 1997, Hong Kong had surpassed Britain. That trajectory happened without natural resources, without foreign aid, and without a single five-year plan drafted by well-intentioned economists from Oxford. Hong Kong had a harbor, people willing to work, and a bureaucrat with enough intellectual discipline to keep the state out of their way.

Capital flows toward secure property rights and reliable rules, and flees the moment politicians start allocating it. Every industry Beijing picked as a "priority sector" during those same decades burned through subsidies and produced junk. Hong Kong's industries emerged organically, serving real demand, building real wealth.

You benefit from this history whether you know it or not, because Hong Kong's success gave the world a controlled experiment that still embarrasses every advocate of managed development. The control group thrived. The planned economies didn't.

Cowperthwaite retired to St Andrews, received a knighthood, and gave almost no interviews. That restraint was entirely in character.

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Coal-to-Everything: Coal remains the ace in China’s hand, while the West’s net-zero fantasy is its weapon.
https://t.co/yuU0vcR4uC

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

NEMETH: The federal government is quietly bargaining away provincial resource rights in backroom deals with Brussels.
https://t.co/Tr3pY4dF1q

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Joly warns Stelco owner to protect jobs or face forced sale of Canadian assets. To a Chinese steel maker perhaps? https://t.co/LCsC5jJfES

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

The Moral Inversion of the Nobel Peace Prize: From Liu Xiaobo to Navi Pillay
https://t.co/OYtTw8X5Fs

[Probe International @ProbeIntl]

Beijing-Aligned ‘Reunification’ Groups Condemn Canadian MPs’ Taiwan Trip in Statement Published by Toronto Chinese-Language Site That Countered Election Interference Reporting https://t.co/HyrRVWksaU