PropTraderz

A trading journal about my job, hobby, and passion. Proprietary trader. Always profit, constantly improving, keep on learning, and living the dreams.

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

PROFIT! PROFIT! PROFIT!
ALWAYS PROFIT!

#Traders #LivingTheDreams

📷(Photo by John Guccione https://t.co/GyhDOEa8y1 from Pexels)

[Ted @TedPillows]

I have a strange feeling about the Iran and the U.S. agreement on a 60-day roadmap toward a final agreement.

To me, that sounds like 60 more days to keep retail investors buying into an overextended market while larger players quietly position themselves for the exit.

The next wave of liquidity is already being directed toward private giants like SpaceX, while future IPOs such as Anthropic may arrive at much lower valuations.

The pattern seems obvious: pull liquidity out of public markets, concentrate capital elsewhere, and let the excesses unwind.

Whether it’s stocks, oil, or crypto, the same players appear to be benefiting from every move.

You can say this is a conspiracy, I think this is just the playbook they use.

The world is focusing on one thing only.

Money 🤯

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

...which will allow Andy Burnham to take over as head of government this autumn without a full-blown internal party struggle. "

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

"Starmer expected to announce exit plan to clear way for Burnham to become PM": Starmer will leave his post under party pressure.

"According to government sources, British Prime Minister Keir Starmer may announce a timetable for his departure from office on Monday morning...

[Richard @ricwe123]

Let's be honest,the Iranian delegation's performance in Switzerland was a masterclass in psychological and diplomatic leverage.
They arrived on their own terms, made the Americans wait, refused even the symbolic gesture of a handshake, held firm to their demands, and walked away the moment they usual threats from Donald Trump entered the conversation.
In doing so, they projected confidence while exposing the American desperation and weakness.

What stands out is the Persians' sophisticated understanding of symbolism and strategy.
Every move is calculated, every gesture deliberate, as though they are several moves ahead in a chess match while their counterparts is struggling to keep up.

The result is a striking contrast: Iran is composed, disciplined, and in control, while the United States is reactive and outmaneuvered.
It is becoming increasingly difficult to deny the fact that Iran has now emerged as one of the most influential and formidable powers in the Middle East......

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

Overall Bias on Today's $GBPUSD: Cautiously Bearish to Neutral short-term, with bullish undertones on sustained geopol de-escalation. The pair is consolidating in a tight range after a modest recovery, vulnerable to downside liquidity grabs but supported by risk-on sentiment.

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

Sell Indonesia

[Mark @Mark4XX]

IRAN WAR FORCES RECESSION: WHY LAYOFFS AND MARGIN COLLAPSE ARE NOW INEVITABLE

Ed Dow, Ex- Blackrock and veteran market analyst, joined Capital Cosmos to deliver a sobering warning. The Iran war has unleashed an oil price shock that is now making a U.S. recession inevitable. While markets chase AI highs, the real economy faces cost-push inflation that companies simply cannot pass on. Demand destruction is coming fast.

THE CORE PROBLEM: OIL SHOCK MEETS WEAK ECONOMY
➡️ Producer prices have surged far beyond headline CPI because of the Iran conflict.
➡️ Companies cannot pass these higher costs to consumers.
➡️ Revenues stall while margins get crushed.

THE LAYOFF WAVE BUILDING
➡️ Massive layoffs are now inevitable from this oil price shock.
➡️ Tech layoffs are already accelerating on top of it.
➡️ Demand destruction will hit hard in the second half of 2026.

THE SEMICONDUCTOR VULNERABILITY
➡️ Helium shortages tied directly to the Iran war triggered forward ordering and double ordering.
➡️ Power constraints and potential capex pause will expose excess inventory.
➡️ Semiconductors, 18% of the S&P, are heading for a reckoning after their blowoff top.

THE BROADER MACRO COLLAPSE
➡️ Headline inflation accelerates from the war while core inflation falls with weakening demand.
➡️ This classic cost-push spiral ends in squeezed corporate profits and a slowing global economy.
➡️ China’s crisis plus the war shock creates the perfect setup for the downturn.

THE BOTTOM LINE
The Iran war didn’t just spike oil — it delivered the final blow to an already fragile economy that can no longer absorb these costs.
Recession is now inevitable.

HT: YouTube @CapitalCosm

#IranWarRecession #OilShock #DemandDestruction #MarginSqueeze #TechLayoffs #MarketReckoning #EconomicCrisis

[Hey, Dave! @davegreenidge57]

JD Vance just ended his presidential exploratory election committee. Now, his mentor, Peter Thiel, has fled the U.S., for right wing Argentina. But not before declaring that he might have overstated AI’s impact on society, particularly on employment.

Something bad is happening.

[InfoGram @_InfoGram_]

Epic moment 🔥

🇺🇸Trump at 5:00 PM — “No President has done this. We got Iran to talk nukes. Maybe even give them up. This is First time ever.”

🇺🇸Obama at 6:00 PM — “Did it already. No missiles fired. Moved 97% of their enriched uranium out. We didn't have to kill a whole bunch of people or shut down the Strait of Hormuz like you.”🔥👏

[Peter Schiff @PeterSchiff]

Treasuries are breaking down. The 10-year yield is now above 4.5%, trading at 4.52%. The 30-year yield is up to 5.06%. Gold & silver are selling off, but a bond market crash is the most bullish thing that can happen for precious metals. Traders just haven't figured that out yet!

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

10-2 year treasury yield spread at 0.47% for May 14, 2026

[Emotion & Music @Emotion78687]

Dutch Opera Singer Maria Fiselier covering Eminem's "Lose Yourself", in 2018. What an amazing rendition! 👏

[Love Classical Music and Movies 🎺🎻💖🎥🎬 @AlexTran677026]

Ennio Morricone recorded this masterpiece in Rome. The soundtrack of a lifetime.
For A Few Dollars More | Ennio Morricone | 1965

[0xNobler @CryptoNobler]

🚨 NEXT WEEK’S SCHEDULE IS INSANE FOR MARKETS

MONDAY → WARSH BECOMES NEW FED CHAIR
TUESDAY → U.S. CPI REPORT
WEDNESDAY → FOMC CHAIR SPEECH
THURSDAY → FED BALANCE SHEET
FRIDAY → TRUMP-XI MEETING

GET READY FOR THE MOST VOLATILE WEEK OF 2026!!

[Qasem Al-Ali @AlaliQasem]

JPMorgan just published the scariest oil chart I’ve ever seen.
World inventories are in freefall.
And when this line hits 6.8 — the global energy system doesn’t slow down.
It breaks. 🧵

[PropTraderz @Proptraderz]

After relentless rearmament during a fragile ceasefire, there's no way US and Epstein coalition prefer to go on a deal. They will make another blow to the Persian state, to force Iran's surrender.

Right now they only buying time and talking sweet to distract everyone. #IranWar‌

[Nick Timiraos @NickTimiraos]

The hawkish case is finding political backers from inside the president’s own party, meaning that declining to cut might not leave Warsh isolated within his own coalition.

Sen. John Kennedy said inflation is “kind of like a tick.”

“If you get a tick, the best way to handle it is to get that SOB off of you immediately. If it has a chance to dig in, it gets a lot harder.”

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

The bond market is collapsing again.

The 10Y Note Yield is now silently back above 4.40%, the same exact level that has led to multiple market interventions by President Trump.

Simply put, the US economy cannot afford the 10Y Note Yield rising substantially above current levels.

As we saw in April 2025 and March 2026, President Trump is highly attentive to the 4.50% level on the 10Y Note Yield, which we previously labeled as our "policy pivot" point.

At the current pace, we could see 4.50%+ within a matter of days.

Meanwhile, US oil prices are above $108/barrel, gas prices are up another +5% today, and 30Y mortgage rates are at 6.50%+.

The bond market will soon become the center of attention.

Stay ahead of the trend.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

BREAKING: Japan just confirmed a massive Yen-buying intervention.

Last time the Bank of Japan sold US dollars to save the Yen, global markets crashed brutally.

But this time it is even worse.

Today they are dealing with two problems at the same time.

Japan's 10 year bond yield is at 2.52%, the highest since 1999. The 5 year bond just hit a record high of 1.88%. The BOJ is defending the yen while its own bond market is selling off hard.

In 2024 bonds were stable. Today every dollar they spend buying yen tightens liquidity, and tightening liquidity puts more pressure on bonds already at 27 year high yields. Both problems feed each other and there is no clean way out.

Oil is at $120 and Every barrel Japan imports gets more expensive as the yen weakens, which pushes inflation higher, which forces the BOJ toward rate hikes, which slows an economy already being damaged by the US-Iran war.

The BOJ raised its inflation forecast this week to 2.8% while simultaneously cutting its GDP growth forecast to just 0.5%. Three of nine board members already voted for a rate hike at the last meeting. The BOJ is being squeezed from both sides, hike rates to defend the yen and you damage an economy already under pressure from the war.

Do nothing and the yen keeps weakening and imported inflation keeps rising.

In 2024 oil was not a factor. Today it is the core driver of everything.
Investors currently hold the largest short yen position since July 2024. Every single one of those positions is now being forced to unwind at the same time. When that happened in 2024 it did not just move the yen, it crashed stocks, crypto, and bond yields simultaneously across every major market.

Japan's Finance Minister Katayama told G7 members Japan is watching FX with a "high sense of urgency" and confirmed direct talks with US Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent about the yen.

And Kevin Warsh takes over as Fed Chair on May 15. If he signals any lean toward rate cuts, the interest rate gap between the US and Japan narrows and the carry trade that has been driving USD/JPY to 160 unwinds violently on its own, without any BOJ action needed at all.

In 2024 the BOJ had one tool and one problem. They spent $62 billion and it worked temporarily.

Today they have a weak yen, a bond market at 27 year highs, oil at $120, an active war raising inflation, and a new Fed Chair arriving in two weeks.

[Morgan J. Freeman @mjfree]

This is absolutely beyond — way beyond — anything close to sanity.

This is a man who must be removed from power via the 25th Amendment NOW.