Punit singh🔸

Following $BTC , $MSTR & global macro.
Sharing insights, charts & market updates.
Learn. Invest. Grow.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

$BTC short

Risky trade because CPI data is coming in few minutes.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

High Leverage

High leverage doesn’t make you a better trader. It just makes your mistakes more expensive.

• Small move against you = big loss
• Emotions take over
• You start averaging losers
• Liquidation gets closer
• One bad trade can wipe out weeks of profits

The goal isn’t to make money fast.

It’s to stay in the game long enough to make money.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Everyone was bearish on $ETH, calling for $900.
I already told you guys the ETH bottom was likely in.

Now look at it.

Market doesn’t care about your narrative.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

My $ETH analysis:

I think ETH may have already put in its major bottom.

If we look back at 2022, ETH made its low in June, while $BTC continued to fall and made its final low in November.
I think there’s a possibility we see something similar this cycle.

ETH could still revisit the June low, but I don’t expect it to break below $1,000 unless we get a major blackswan event or something fundamentally changes.

The bigger risk, in my view, is BTC making new lows while ETH holds its cycle low.
The cycles won’t repeat perfectly, but the 2022 structure is definitely worth keeping an eye on.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

This pump has already blown up 3 of my friends’ entire accounts.

The reason? Overleverage + terrible position sizing.

Both were heavily shorting $BTC. After the first big green candle, they averaged the short.

Next day, another pump averaged again.

They kept thinking, “Now it has to go down.”

But the market doesn’t care about your position.

$BTC kept going through the roof and they got liquidated.

Position sizing isn’t optional. It’s what keeps you alive long enough to trade another day.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

$BTC short trade

Only risk 1% of the capital.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

IMPORTANT 🚨

Don’t FOMO buy here. Let the market calm down.

And don’t try to perfectly catch the bottom either. BTC can easily revisit the $60Ks, and that’s where you can add in tranches.

A lot of people now believe BTC will just keep going up and hit a new ATH in Q4.

Remember: markets don’t work that easily.

They go up by the stairs and down by the elevator.

This move may have also been about clearing the shorts that had been piling up. Liquidity got taken, and now we can see a correction.

No one knows the exact bottom.

So don’t chase. Don’t FOMO.

Add on dips, size your positions properly, and say NO to leverage trading.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Most ppl are stuck in shorts just because they think bhot upar chla gya ab or kitna jayega 😅

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Now this make sense

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

@OverTradess @kerbydon Leverage trading is actually bad model and this is your (influencer) responsibility to enlighten it. You should not promote it.
if a person take 100x lev with 100% capital is this a good model ?

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

BTC shorts are getting butchered left and right.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Being wrong as a trader or influencer isn’t the problem.

Refusing to admit you were wrong is.

A lot of traders, including me, were wrong about this recent $BTC pump and the strength across crypto.

And that’s completely fine.
One wrong call doesn’t mean you have zero knowledge of TA or that you’re a bad trader. Markets humble everyone.

The real skill is accepting when your thesis is invalid, adapting, and moving on. You don’t need to be right all the time.

You just need to be honest when you’re wrong.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

@benjamincowen @BitPaine Cooked 😂

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

$BTC crossed the Bull Market Support Band back in May, got rejected, and then sold off.
Now it’s back at the same band again, but this time we also have strong resistance around $72K–$73K.
Could be another rejection from here.

Wouldn’t be surprised if BTC gets weak into late August/September and then finally forms a proper bottom.

Just a possibility, not a prediction.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Everyone is convinced BTC has already bottomed.

But history says this isn’t new.

Before major bottoms form, the market often clears out bears first then bulls.

Right now, BTC is taking upside liquidity. Nobody knows how far it can run, but that doesn’t mean the downside is gone.

We’ve seen this movie before.

Don’t FOMO. Accumulate in tranches and let the market come to you.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Last night was brutal. So many liquidations happened across the market.

But because I kept my position size under control, I lost only ~2% of my capital.

This is exactly why position sizing matters.

You can’t control the market, but you can control how much you lose when you’re wrong.

Protect your capital first. Trade another day.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

$SUI $BTC positions liquidated 😅

1% of the capital gone

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Any news? BTC, gold, and SPX are all going through the roof?

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Still wild to me how many accounts on X just recycle the same crypto content, copy bigger accounts, and farm engagement without actually teaching or adding anything new.

Meanwhile, people genuinely creating useful content, sharing charts, research and real insights are stuck with low followers and barely any reach.

X seriously needs to do a better job of rewarding originality and value, not just engagement farming.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

@OldCityTrader Exactly
The calculator never changes. Our emotions do.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Position sizing is one of the most important things in trading, yet most people ignore it.

Here’s a simple way to do it:

Decide how much of your account you’re willing to lose if the trade hits SL.

Example: $10,000 account risk 1% = $100 max loss.

Set your stop-loss based on the chart, not based on how much you want to risk.
Calculate your position size:

Position Size = Risk Amount ÷ Stop-Loss Distance

Example:
Entry: $100
Stop-loss: $95
Risk per unit = $5

$100 ÷ $5 = 20 units

So your position size = 20 units.

If SL hits loss ≈ $100, or 1% of your account.

The key point:

Don’t decide your position size first and then place a random SL.

Find your invalidation level first then calculate the risk then size the position.

Good traders don’t need to be right every time.

They just make sure being wrong doesn’t hurt too much.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

$NEAR trade update

Currently in profit.

The reason for the short is simple: NEAR is looking bearish on the daily timeframe and continues to form a bearish structure.

Every small upside move is getting sold into, showing clear selling pressure.

Still watching the structure closely.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

@saylor The people who argue the most on the internet usually have zero BTC exposure.

[Punit singh🔸 @Punitsng]

Risk Management

Most traders don’t lose because they can’t find good setups.

They lose because they risk too much when they’re wrong.

Example:

You have a $10,000 account.

If you risk 1% per trade, your maximum loss is $100.

BTC entry: $65,000
Stop loss: $64,000
Risk per BTC = $1,000

To risk only $100:

Position size = $100 ÷ $1,000 = 0.10 BTC

Now imagine the same trade goes wrong 5 times in a row.

You lose roughly $500, not your account.

That’s the whole point of position sizing.

You don’t need to predict every move correctly.

You just need to make sure that when you’re wrong, you survive long enough to catch the trades when you’re right.

My basic rule:

Protect the downside first. Profits come second.