PoliticalPunter

Just a political punter

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@seidodge The draw in 2023 was SA and Scotland in the group and NZ (or France) in QF…but yeah we always get an easy draw 🤣

[tallyrifficmaps @Tallyrifficmaps]

PRESIDENTIAL POLL - How would you vote?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly @VirginMediaNews When you say 1990 it seemed like a long time but when you boil it down it’s 97, 11, 18 so only three elections. Four if you count 04.

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@ToniTaylor546 @irishelectproj PRSTV is the best form of popular vote. The alternative first past the post could mean a candidate 34% and the other two get 33%. For me transfers mean the candidate is representative of the majority?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly So is the numbers - Aontú x3, Mattie McGrath, Michael Healy Rae, Carol Nolan, Gillian O’Toole, Marian Harkin, Joe Conway, Sharon Keogan, Ronan Mullen are the public 11? Then Paul Gogarty, Danny Healy Rae and Independent Ireland get to 17?

Am I missing anyone?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly @VirginMediaNews Thanks Gavan

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly @VirginMediaNews Council has 40 votes - 20 FF+FG and 20 others was there 13 abstentions? Or some not in attendance?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@Ireland_Votes Read that as SDLP for CC and took me too long to realise it was the / was missing 😂

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@lostexpectation Funny position - you would sorta wonder did they disagree with the outcome and just not want to say no in person….😂

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@Dean_LFC11 @TheBenev @Ireland_Votes Yeah Journal reporting - 8 declared publicly with 2 “speaking with teams”. Tóibín, Mattie McGrath, Joe Conway, Paul Lawless, Ronan Mullen, Carol Nolan, Sharon Keogan and Sarah O’Reilly

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly Any chance of a spreadsheet for all TDs and Senators and who they are backing interested to know is there numbers out there 🙈

You know you want to 😜

[Mícheál Lehane @MichealLehane]

Four independent candidates seeking to run in the presidential election will be invited to a selection caucus in Leinster House next Thursday which is being organised by Aontú Leader Peadar Tóibín. He hopes it will result in one of the four getting a nomination.

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@murphymike @HacksOnTap @jmart Can we get the book list updated on the website please - hate to miss out on the great recommendations

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@gavreilly Is the time no proportional - like in theory should it not be allocated as a portion of representatives?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@PCulloty84529 @TMCreamer @irishelectproj True true - if there was a bye-election would think FG or maybe Green would both be more likely than SF gain from a DBS so find the SF comments of the last few days quite odd

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@irishelectproj Have to be happy with that 93% hit rate, great to test it with the actuals. Are you missing two seats btw?

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@irishelectproj Fair play excellent hit rate, I don't really see how Irish transfers can be projected as they are wild! Looking forward to the next five years of analyis!

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@irishelectproj One comment SF chance of 3 in Cavan Monaghan? 1,2,3 based on the Tallys

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@skearon Thanks for publishing online Stephen - great sheet.

[PoliticalPunter @PunterPolitical]

@AdrianKavanagh Interesting was just looking at Tallys thinking FF look well placed for a good number of seats and definitely more than the exit poll suggests