Granting PM #Hamdok's request also has potential to facilitate agreement between #Egypt, #Sudan, and #Ethiopia over Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam - issues are related & leveraged in IR. Omar al-Bashir won't be extradited to ICC b/c geopolitics dominates law
PM #Hamdok in quandary- extremists dissatisfied with reform's slow pace; military doesn't want reform. O'Donnell and Schmitter say critical mass of top #military must see reform as existential to them & managable, or it will be crushed. Take #Sudan off list.
A reliable source I spoke with related al-Bashir might be tried in #Sudan for egregious human rights violations with prosecutors requesting a death sentence.
PM #Hamdok's request to remove #Sudan from US state sponsor of terrorism list is good idea b/c: Sudan fights #Houthis in Saudi-UAE coalition; #IMF and #WorldBank loan availability to Sudan (no #AIIB); PM needs results to check military on joint council.
In time, will #Putin, now allied with #SDF, #Syria, and #Iran, threaten to support a (semi-autonomous) Kurdish state in part of Northern Syria, as #Stalin supported The Republic of Mahabad (1946) in Iran, to entrap Erdogan and further disrupt #NATO?
A set of #ISIS attacks, probably yes - means and degree of coordination remain unknown. This highlights the need for #socialmedia platform giants to crack down on #Internet#Terrorism and #Hate .
@MillenniumProj 's UBI figures: $20,000 (adult); @ $4,000 (child) can be tweaked. @SenSanders discusses UBI, but @TheDemocrats know its more intuitive than @SenWarren's "Medicare for All"; also good security policy. No "grassroots movement" needed, Bernie.
If a form of @MillenniumProj's "UBI" is an alternative to #Warren's "Medicare for All," fund it by stopping MNC "corporate inversion" practices - ability to offshore assets in perpetuity, and require MI Complex defense contractors to pay fair share of taxes.
@JeromeCGlenn Posted support for @Millennium Project Team recommendation of $20,000 per adult and some $4,000 for kids as "UBI" - more straightforward than @SenWarren 's "Medicare For All." Democrats should discuss.
Rehabilitation and de-radicalization for terrorists through community based programs supported by national and state government shouldn't be left to other countries. It can be effective and is cost efficient compared to exorbitant incarceration costs.
Too bad the massacres of Americans in Mexico won't trigger a robust "demand side" war on drugs - economic safety nets, rehabilitation, retraining, education opportunities for addicts.
Financial cuts for #US military personnel expenses likely, due to political reaction to #globalization offshoring effects on workers. Colleagues & I ask if military should accept; forge new role to protect US from unrest by endorsing US worker safety nets.
#Egypt, #Sudan and #Ethiopia's Grand Ethiopian Renaissance Dam kerfuffle highlights 21st C. #security problems- water supply manipulation, drought, famine, mass migrations, disease, all linked to instability and #terrorism. New #multilateral regimes needed.
IS emerged from ISIL, itself a "Baghdadi blending" attempt of ISI and al-Nusra in 2013. Rejected by both AQ's Zawahiri and al-Nusra's al-Jolani. New effort to bring ISIS and al-Qaeda closer now with Baghdadi dead and Jolani as interlocutor to pool resources?
#Erdogan's continued move to East rather than West. @Erdogan assumes risk of SDF (YPG) outweighs risk from @Syria/#Iran as #Putin influences Assad and Rouhani. Erdogan can also threaten water flow to #Syria . @China probably on board with this.