Rob HODLs

Navigating Hyperbitcoinization and the AI Singularity. Championing Digital Capital, building with Digital Intelligence, the keys to a prosperous tomorrow.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

The world is changing fast.

We are navigating Hyperbitcoinization and the continued penetration of digital capital, Bitcoin, into the future of finance.

At the same time, we are witnessing the emergence of digital intelligence and the AI Singularity, disrupting every business model and the way we work forever.

On one side, we have a solid, never changing foundation.

On the other, we have exponential acceleration and change.

I think it’s the adoption and mastery of these two tools that are critical for a prosperous future.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

Sells 32 bitcoin.

Gets next 20,000 bitcoin for 10% off.

Brilliant.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: Bitcoin falls below $69,000 as selling pressure accelerates.

Bitcoin is now down nearly -$5,000 since MicroStrategy, $MSTR, disclosed its first sale in over 3 years.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@saylor's latest move reveals the sophisticated mechanics at play.

This week, @Strategy retired significant convertible debt rather than adding to its Bitcoin stack, signaling the "BitVac" is charging for the next major accumulation phase.

Such balance sheet optimization eliminates maturity risks while preserving maximum firepower for Bitcoin buys and strengthening the credit quality of $STRC.

This is precisely how $MSTR builds an unassailable position in digital capital.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@SaveDave1 “Debt ridden”. What debt?

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@saylor doesn’t say much that I disagree with but this definitely falls in that category…

🤔

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

We turn Bitcoin into Money. $STRC

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

What a send off for Powell.
-> Collapsing the bond market for his successor.

Well played, Jerome. Well played. 👏

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

BREAKING: After 3,018 days as Fed Chair, today is Jerome Powell’s final day in the position before his term expires.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

Bitcoin goes down until the market realizes that the only solution to spiking yields decimating the bond market and accelerating the US debt spiral is yield curve control through unlimited money printing.

HODL.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

BTC Bro is probably going to be right here.

@saylor is cleaning house at the moment.

Wiped $1.5B of convertible debt.

And what a perfect time to demonstrate a bitcoin sale when he’s stacked easily clear of +20k BTC this week.

[BTC Bro @BTC_broo]

With the heavy accumulation from $STRC this week, Strategy should rip the bandaid off and sell some high cost basis bitcoin.

It would:
- Kill the FUD instantly
- Still net positive $BTC accumulation for the week
- Increase BPS
- Build cash to service the dividend

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

$MSTR doesn’t need a credit rating. They don’t need S&P inclusion. They don’t need a US strategic bitcoin reserve. They don’t need the clarity act. They don’t need government adoption. They don’t need other institutions to buy or treasury companies to copy.…

$STRC and $MSTR ATMs are the only tools they need. And they already have them. And they are just getting started.

[Cris Reed 🎙️Bitcoin Mindset Podcast @CrisReed]

“We could sell $1 trillion of STRC without a credit rating.”

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

They are going to have to print so much money to keep this under control.

Holding bitcoin is going to be rewarded soon enough. We just have to get through any yield “tantrums” that come…

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@NathanpartPrice lol 😆 pretty much

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

One thing I can’t wrap my head around is who is on the other side of this trade, selling at the pace that $MSTR is buying.

[Luke Martin @VentureCoinist]

"We've bought $100M an hour, it doesn't move price. We've bought $200M an hour, it doesn't move price. We've bought $300M an hour, and stopped...price goes up." - @saylor

STRC fueled BTC buy this week on pace to be +$1Billion.

That's $2.35M of BTC/minute or $140M of BTC/hour.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@mdubore Definitely will help the company run the ATM more consistently as well.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

$SATA moving to daily dividends increases its effective yield due to potential for compounding.

But this is a double-edged sword. It’s also increasing Strive’s cost of capital (yield for investors is a liability for the company).

It’s simply a dividend hike to attract capital masked as a marketing gimmick.

$MSTR is the central bank of bitcoin and $STRC is the “risk free rate”. $SATA is a higher risk alternative. The question is simply - is the additional spread worth the risk?

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@SA_Support1 14.2M volume during trading hours. I suspect we get closer to 15M during extended.

Volume is concentrating to right before the exdividend date.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

Who is ready for 15M volume day on $STRC with $0.01 of volatility?

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@grimpak Thanks KG. I think the concept I outlined there has major implications forStrategy’s business. $MSTR shareholders need to get comfortable with @saylor navigating tradfi markets to win in the bitcoin market.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@SteveSokolowsk2 It really is a scheme to acquire more bitcoin. He’s tricking people to give him his fiat so he can grab more bitcoin

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

What we need to keep an eye on are entities using $STRC that get over leveraged and blow up.

Forced liquidations of $STRC at a meaningful scale can undermine $MSTR’s peg to $100, their ATM usage and cost of capital.

This is not a risk today IMO But as $STRC adoption accelerates, the “$STrC carry trade” blowing up becomes a real risk to the company.

I’ll be watching 👀

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

Bitcoin down during “Stretch” days. The market is just handing @saylor Bitcoin at this point.

[Michael Saylor @saylor]

1.8% volatility. 4.35 Sharpe. 11.5% yield. Record date tomorrow. Today is Stretch Day. $STRC

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

@cmurray25 Then the market is going to the moon. Biggest stock market bubble of all time inbound. (I suspect you’re right)

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

Jerome Powell leaving Warsh an unwinnable situation. Can’t raise rates. Cant cut them. Jerome exiting with his legacy intact. 👏 well played.

[Merlijn The Trader @MerlijnTrader]

THIS IS BADD:

🇺🇸 The worst possible welcome gift for a new Fed Chair.

Kevin Warsh takes over this week.
CPI jumps to 3.8%. Highest in 3 years.
Core CPI jumps to 2.8%. Highest in 8 months.

Trump wanted rate cuts.
Warsh wanted rate cuts.
Inflation just said: not happening.

Rate cut odds: below 3%.
Rate hike odds: above 35%.

If the Fed hikes to crush inflation.
Markets get crushed too.

I've been warning about this for weeks.

[Rob HODLs @RHodls]

You have to sell bitcoin for fiat to prove that Bitcoin has value to fiat-brained tradfi-ists.

@saylor forced to play fiat games to win Bitcoin prizes.

I’m game for it.

[BLAKE⚡️ROGUE MONEY USER @bleighky]

Strategy’s entire business is selling $STRC backed by an 818k+ $BTC tower.

Yet S&P gives that stack zero credit.

The moment they’re willing to sell bitcoin to support STRC dividends, the BTC reserve becomes credit-positive collateral.

It’s actually very simple.