🚨 JUST IN: $NBIS will deploy ~80MW of new data center capacity in Israel.
The project, in partnership with Mega Or DC, represents ~$880-900M in total investment and will deliver capacity across two sites:
• 22MW in Masmiya
• 58MW in Beit Shemesh
Delivery timelines:
• Masmiya facility: Q3
• Beit Shemesh site: between Q3 and Q1 2027
The deal implies that $NBIS is expanding its Israel footprint by ~10x within roughly a year.
Source: Globes, Israel’s leading financial and business newspaper
$NBIS hired a new Global Lead for ISVs, coming directly from Microsoft (6+ years) and AWS (6+ years).
Interestingly, he also spent 2 years as an independent expert for the European Commission, evaluating Cloud and AI research proposals under EU innovation funding programs. 🧐
$NBIS UBS fireside was very reassuring. CRO Marc Boroditsky clearly said it
“We are building a Hyperscaler” 🎯💥
“Two thirds of the opportunity for the next 3-5 years will be servicing in the enterprise level but Nebius is going for all segments”✅
“some customers are doubling every 6-8 weeks & inference is growing on a monthly basis 40% more than Capex investment.
The demand is there”🟢
“Very conscious of shareholders to minimize dilution. The subs will help create added value.
Our deals bring 20-30% EBIT margin” 📈
$NBIS With headlines of $NVDA crushing numbers & CEO Jensen Huang putting the AI bubble talk to rest for good... now the fun resumes. Our NEBIUS thesis remains unchanged in fact it got even better.
Could $NBIS be the best stock to own for the next decade of AI Expansion?
NEBIUS explosive performance in the third quarter demonstrates how the company is benefiting from explosive demand for AI-optimized computing capacity. Revenue rose 355% year over year to $146 million. Its core AI infrastructure business accounted for nearly 90% of total revenue, and grew 400%.
NEBIUS pre-sells GPU capacity as soon as it becomes available, and management has emphasized that its growth has been limited only by available capacity, not demand. The annualized revenue run rate for its core infrastructure business was $551 million at the end of the third quarter.
Profitability is also moving in the right direction, as the adjusted margin of the core infrastructure business reached 19% based on earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization. That was an impressive performance considering that the company is investing aggressively in new data centers and GPU deployments.
Mega-deals
NEBIUS' multiyear, multibillion-dollar deals for computing capacity with Microsoft and Meta Platforms have dramatically increased the credibility, scale, and visibility of its data centers. The company has entered into a $17.4 billion, five-year deal with Microsoft, and that value can expand to $19.4 billion if Nebius can provide it with added service capacity.
It has also entered into a $3 billion deal with Meta Platforms and plans to deploy the required data center capacity by the end of 2025. The company noted that its limited available capacity constrained the deal's value.
While the Microsoft deal isn't expected to reach its full annual revenue run rate until 2027, the Meta deal will be mostly at its full annual run rate in 2026. For a company with a market capitalization of nearly $22.3 billion, contracts worth over $20.4 billion in total could have a dramatic impact on future share prices.
Expanding its data center footprint
As noted, limited capacity is the major constraint in NEBIUS' growth trajectory, but the company is working hard to reduce that bottleneck. It has plans to boost the amount of electrical power it has under contract to 2.5 gigawatts by the end of 2026. This will include connected power (power linked to fully-built data centers that are ready for use) of around 800 megawatts to 1 gigawatt (1,000 megawatts). Management is focused on expanding its data center footprint in the U.S., as well as in international markets such as Finland, Israel, and the United Kingdom.
NEBIUS has increased its 2025 guidance on capital expenditures (capex) from about $2 billion to $5 billion. The company plans to allocate about 1% of its total capex to securing land and power, and nearly 18% to 20% to building data centers, including shells, cooling systems, and connected power.
The remaining 80% or so of capex will be allocated for real-time GPU deployment, which is only undertaken in cases of contracted or visible demand. Hence, a significant chunk of Nebius' capital will not be blocked if the AI cycle cools down. However, the company will also have sufficient available capacity to ramp up if demand for AI-capable data center infrastructure continues to surge.
The software stack
NEBIUS has also strengthened its AI-optimized software stack by introducing the third version of its AI cloud platform, called Aether. This provides enterprises with security, compliance, identity, and administrative tools.
It has also launched an inference platform called Nebius Token Factory to deploy open-source models at scale with guaranteed performance and transparent pricing. With the increasing frequency of AI inference workloads, Nebius Token Factory can help improve customer stickiness.
A robust runway
Nebius is exposed to the natural execution risks associated with heavy capital expenditures. The company has already announced plans to use corporate debt, asset-backed financing, and secondary equity sales to support its aggressive growth strategy. This will increase the company's overall debt, dilute current shareholders' equity, or both.
Despite the risks, Nebius' growth runway is too impressive to ignore. The company is guiding for an annual run rate of $900 million to $1.1 billion by the end of 2025 and $7 billion to $9 billion by the end of 2026. That explosive forecast rise in revenue highlights the company's potential as it rapidly expands its data center capacity. Given that its offerings have the validation of major deals with tech sector giants, Nebius looks like the best stock to ride the next AI wave, especially for investors who can handle some short-term volatility.
@RJCcapital Been only day/swing trading $nbis since 30-40s, now I’m long term holding at $107 with 500 shares, highest conviction I’ve had in any stock before.
🚨JUST IN: $NBIS JP Morgan $JPM has released 13F adding NEBIUS massively with another 526K shares. Total 1.37M ✅ shares or $154.32M
Top #9 Institutional shareholder. 🐳
$nbis
Have been trading Nebius for the entire year to reach 100k in the portfolio (started at like 40-50k this year), was able to catch $106 share price yesterday and will be holding 300 shares for a long time since I’m confident this company is going places through my research
It’s now official: $NBIS will open its data center in the UK tomorrow. 🇬🇧
CEO Arkady Volozh will be speaking at the Future of AI Summit in London, a conference the $NBIS team is attending.
Source: Dr. Ilya Burkov
The initial deployment is expected to include 4,000 NVIDIA Blackwell Ultra GPUs, marking one of the first installations of its kind in Europe.
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