Rafael

Classes At War:
Everyone deserves a turn,
Like Babylon deserves to burn.

Against the (provenly failed) Appeasement of Hitler. RTs not necessarily endorsements.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

Anyone genuinely interested in understanding the current state of geopolitics, and in particular Iranian politics and society, must study this 👇

[Fereshteh Sadeghi فرشته صادقی 🟩 ☫ 🟥 @fresh_sadegh]

#IranInternalAffairs🧵

1- The Iranian Parliament (Majlis) has been closed since February 28.
This means Iran’s third branch of power is closed for 120+ days.
It is the fifth time in the history of Iran’s parliament and the first since 1953 coup that Majlis remains closed.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

"You can ignore reality for a while, but you can't keep ignoring the consequences of reality."
https://t.co/TFjLaIzjLf

[zerohedge @zerohedge]

WTI Crude vs 321 crack spread. Trump about to bomb refiners

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@TonerousHyus @zerohedge Source: trust me bro?

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@in_gaze29011 @MenchOsint 👎

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@MenchOsint I hope so too, and think it's quite possible. The recent change of tone from the current government shows how they're under much increased domestic pressure, as has been easy to see for those who have been following some alternative sources.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

🤔

[HFI Research @HFI_Research]

The only place on the planet with excess refining capacity is in China.

The fact that China still won’t help the world with the product shortage is a sign of who they are helping in this conflict.

What happens when they buy crude and margins rally in tandem?

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@HormuzLetter Why hasn't this been widely reported in Iranian media yet? Have only seen one Fars Agency tweet, which unfortunately doesn't have great reach.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

...

[MenchOsint @MenchOsint]

Two groups of Tankers/Container Ships crossing the strait of Hormuz under US escort.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@Darkvisionastro @MenchOsint There are traitors/ball-less people in Iranian politics and society.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@ShaykhSulaiman 🥱... I was promised it'd be $12B at the moment of MoU signature. 🐔

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@Matt_Bracken48 ✅

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@zerohedge All BS as usual

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@joon04646 @MenchOsint He and his crew might be headed there, if they don't get their shit together and soon. Fortunately it seems Iranian society is not asleep, and that they really gained some confidence from the Ramadan War's experience, which caused Trump to be desperate for a truce.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@MenchOsint Let's see if he and his people have what it takes. But the Iranians as a whole are unlikely to provide the U.S. and Israel much more leeway, especially given their continued stratospheric levels of arrogance and hubris.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@HFI_Research Where did that claim come from?

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

What an arrogant asshole. No respect for Iran whatsoever. Iran better not allow him to be right, at their own peril.

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

US Vice President JD Vance admits his and Trump's Iran MOU is only a tactical operation to "refill the world's oil economy" and "refill some stocks," not for peace, to then start the war again after the now 46 days are up.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@HormuzLetter Arrogant asshole. No respect for Iran whatsoever. Iran better not allow him to be right.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@HFI_Research Can't Trump sign an executive order or just shame refiners into lowering those crack spreads?

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@ploinkism @HFI_Research Oil market action has proven them completely right. One thing that's hard to criticize China for is lack of intellectual capability.

[Rafael @RafaelDifferent]

@ploinkism @HFI_Research It makes perfect sense. The actual physical barrel price skyrocketted in March and April, while China had spent last year stockpiling in the 60s$/barrel.