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EVERYTHING IS COMPUTER

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

THE MOST IMPORTANT FED EVENT OF THE YEAR IS HAPPENING TOMORROW

Kevin Warsh delivers his first Jackson Hole speech as Fed Chair.

Jackson Hole is the Fed's biggest annual policy gathering. Markets do not wait for the next FOMC meeting. They trade the tone of this one speech.

A patient tone tends to help stocks and crypto. A hawkish tone does the opposite: yields rise, the dollar strengthens, and risk assets get sold.

But does that actually hold up? Look at the last four years.

Powell went hawkish on 26 Aug 2022. The S&P 500 dropped 13% over the following 19 trading days.

He was slightly hawkish again on 25 Aug 2023. This time the index barely moved, down under 1% over the same stretch.

By 23 Aug 2024 his tone had turned dovish. The S&P 500 gained 1.48%.

Same dovish tone on 22 Aug 2025. The index gained 4.44%, the strongest reaction of the four.

Three dovish or mild years produced gains. One hawkish year produced a 13% drop. Most years the market holds or rises after this speech. 2022 was the one sharp exception, when Powell's hawkish tone triggered a selloff that lasted for weeks.

But This year is different.

Warsh has no track record at this podium yet, which makes tomorrow's tone harder to predict than any Jackson Hole speech in the last 4 years.

[Kalshi @Kalshi]

JUST IN: Tesla Model Y is the world’s "best-selling" car of 2026 so far

[Just a Dude Who Invests @DudeWhoInvests]

If you had bought just $1,000 of these $80 Moderna $MRNA calls before market open today you would have…

$9,400,000+ right now.

$9.4 MILLION.

From $1,000. Someone give me a Time Machine.

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

🚨 BREAKING 🚨

$2.66 BILLION SHORTS LIQUIDATED IN 24 HOURS.

THE BIGGEST SHORT LIQUIDATION IN CRYPTO HISTORY.

[Eric Daugherty @EricLDaugh]

🚨 BREAKING OVERNIGHT: Renowned actress Hayden Panettiere dies at the young age of 36, chillingly months after she exposed how Hollywood is sick and depraved...

...saying that at 18, she had to fight off a nude famous man on a boat after she was forcibly dragged to him

Cause of death not yet known. Insane.

REST IN PEACE 🙏🏻

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

3 MAJOR NEWS EVENTS COULD MOVE GLOBAL MARKETS THIS WEEK

🇺🇸Monday, US Foreign Portfolio Flows:
Heavy foreign Treasury buying supports bond prices, pushes yields lower and can help stocks.

🇺🇸Wednesday, FOMC Minutes:
More support for holding or cutting rates could lower yields while supporting stocks, and crypto.

🇯🇵Thursday, Japan CPI:
Cooler inflation reduces the urgency to hike.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇮🇷 Iran is reportedly ready to shift the war from defense to offense if its demands aren't met.

Mohammad Mokhber, a senior adviser to Khamenei, said the leader's strategy is for the war to turn offensive if Iran's conditions go unfulfilled.

There’s already speculation that the order could extend to U.S. warships that have so far been left alone, though that goes beyond what Iranian officials have said publicly.

The warning lands as Trump's approach has been to wait and let economic pressure do the work.

Tehran seems to be betting that patience runs out.

Mokhber's real pitch is a Hormuz security setup that runs without the U.S.

Any American failure to protect its Gulf allies, he argues, just proves Washington can't deliver.

Source: Anadolu, Iran Observer / Writer: Julie

[Ash Crypto @AshCrypto]

BULLISH: 🇺🇸 FED balance sheet hits an 18-month high at $6.76 trillion.

Since December, the FED has added $224 billion back into the economy.

More money flowing means more liquidity for markets.

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸🇮🇷 Oil is climbing again after the U.S. threatened an indefinite naval blockade of Iran.

The threat put supply fears back in play.

Brent pushed up to around $88 a barrel and WTI to roughly $84, both on track for weekly gains of about 4% after sliding more than 2% the session before.

Crude stock data actually came in bearish, which would normally drag prices down. It didn't.

Not much is getting through Hormuz as it is, but regardless, traders are pricing the threat, not the flow.

Source: Al Jazeera / Writer: Julie

[0xNobler @CryptoNobler]

🚨 BREAKING

🇺🇸 FED WILL OFFICIALLY ANNOUNCE THE GDP FORECAST TODAY AT 11:30 AM ET!

IF GDP < 5.5% → MARKET DUMPS HARD
IF GDP = 5.5%-6.0% → MARKET STAYS FLAT
IF GDP > 6.0% → MARKET GOES PARABOLIC

ALL EYES ON THE RELEASE!!

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

AI CRASH IS A TIME BOMB THAT COULD NOW AFFECT THE WHOLE US ECONOMY

The first crack is already showing up in credit markets.

Investors are now demanding a 41-basis-point higher risk premium to invest in AI-related bonds than in other corporate bonds.

Recently, the cost of insuring Nvidia’s debt against default reached 82 basis points, nearly double its level one week earlier.

This is largely because hyperscalers are expected to spend around $700 billion in 2026. That is over 75% more than two years ago.

Investors are now questioning whether future AI returns can justify this spending and today’s high valuations.

This matters because credit markets often show stress before the wider market does.

On July 27, Fitch also warned that a correction in AI market could become a major global credit risk.

But this time, the risk goes beyond just technology companies. AI spending supports data-centre construction, equipment suppliers, power projects and the companies working on them.

If AI spending slows, investment and jobs across these industries could slow with it.

AI spending is now large enough to lift the US economy, but also large enough to hurt it if the expected returns do not arrive.

[Watcher.Guru @WatcherGuru]

JUST IN: 🇺🇸 $800,000,000,000 wiped out from the US stock market in the first 3 hours of trading today.

[Polymarket Money @PolymarketMoney]

JUST IN: JPMorgan declares stocks are "set to rally"

[unusual_whales @unusual_whales]

"The Fed will hold rates in July," per Bank of America.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

NEXT 72 HOURS COULD DECIDE WHERE MARKETS GO FOR THE REST OF THE QUARTER.

Here's what's happening:

1. Tuesday, Consumer Confidence

A weak print signals households are pulling back on spending, a bad sign for the whole economy.

2. Wednesday, FOMC Rate Decision

Markets are pricing roughly a 25% chance of a hike. Any surprise here moves every asset class at once.

3. Wednesday, Microsoft & Meta Earnings

Meta is expected to post EPS near $7.18-7.24 on $60.2B revenue. A miss, or a bigger AI capex number, could hit the entire "Magnificent Seven" the way Alphabet's capex hike already has.

4. Thursday, PCE Inflation

The Fed's preferred gauge. A hot print here raises the odds of a hike even further.

5. Thursday, Apple & Amazon Earnings

Apple's EPS is expected around $1.88, Amazon's around $1.81-1.85. Amazon's AWS growth is the real swing factor for the stock.

6. Thursday, Q2 GDP

Consensus sits near 2.1-2.2%. A weak number alongside hot inflation is the Fed's worst-case combination.

7. Friday, Michigan Consumer Sentiment

Tracks how households expect inflation to move, which feeds directly into the Fed's next decision.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

🚨 US MEMORY STOCKS ARE CRASHING

$1 Trillion has been wiped out from US stocks in the last 3 hours, and 50% of that came from just 6 memory stocks.

US memory stocks are crashing on news that China has begun producing its own DUV chipmaking machines.

Investors worry China can now build more chip factories on its own, adding supply and pushing memory chip prices down, exactly the prices that have been driving these stocks higher all year.

- Nvidia: -4.37%, $300B wiped out
- SK Hynix: -9.48%, $95B wiped out
- Micron: -4.69%, $82B wiped out
- SanDisk: -10.42%, $26B wiped out
- Western Digital: -5.93%, $21B wiped out
- Seagate: -5.59%, $17B wiped out

In total, $541 billion has been wiped out from just these 6 memory stocks.

[Patrick Webb @Patrickwebb]

BREAKING: New study finds that a minimum-wage worker in 1971 had a lifestyle affordability similar to someone making $100K today.

[Insider Wire @InsiderWire]

#BREAKING: Iran rejects Trump’s cease-fire proposal; U.S. continues heavy bombing.

[Barchart @Barchart]

JUST IN 🚨: Intel reportedly considering legal options after Jim Cramer said, "Intel's the one." Minutes later, $INTC plunged 📉 📉

[🇺🇸 Ronald Carter @USronaldcarter]

Do Not buy a house.

Unless you are a millionaire.

Rent for now.

Wait for a 2008 type market crash to buy your first house.

Understand?