Re: Russia

Project dedicated to the promotion and discussion of current expert and analytical knowledge about Russia. Headed by political scientist Kirill Rogov

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Putin’s assessment of the war increasingly diverges from that of experts, ordinary Russians and even parts of the Russian elite. He continues to downplay Ukraine’s drone advantage, the stalled front, Crimea’s growing isolation and the fuel crisis triggered by attacks on Russian oil infrastructure https://t.co/9BFmO9CDek

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Russia now finds itself in its most difficult predicament in the war against Ukraine since the autumn of 2022 https://t.co/CgxihtfLi6

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Most Europeans now see Russia as a direct threat and support strengthening Europe’s defence. But they remain deeply divided over what Europe’s future security architecture should look like, and whether to confront Russia directly if it attacks the Baltics. Data: @j_kobzova @ecfr https://t.co/d4gIKRkdhX

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

The law could be invoked to justify the protection of vessels that do not fly the Russian flag but carry Russian crew members. Data: @AfPalasciano @CostasParis @benoitfaucon @TomCotterillX @holger_r @ben_hilgenstock https://t.co/3gkcOVV6sa

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

As drone warfare evolves, the struggle over energy systems, oil facilities and logistics is becoming more consequential than territorial gains on the battlefield. Success will increasingly depend on how quickly both sides adapt to this new reality https://t.co/iKjNtIAcxF

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Within 3–6 months, sections of the Russian front could face a serious risk of collapse. Ukraine aims to use drones to disrupt supply routes and isolate frontline units from supply networks. Data: @realaxelfoley @FareedZakaria @JimmySecUK @jakluge @clement_molin https://t.co/YDGrRc1vIt

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Wartime Russia is characterised by a collectively sustained equilibrium in which citizens simultaneously adapt to the war, distance themselves from it, and reproduce the conditions that enable it to continue, argues @samagreene https://t.co/tV91TwlTPU

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Higher oil prices are no longer translating into stronger Russian industry. A stronger rouble is boosting imports instead, while civilian manufacturing continues to contract and much of the resulting demand is being met by Chinese suppliers https://t.co/X6a0HQG0k0

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Ukraine has turned Russian territory into a second theatre of war. Long-range drones are allowing Kyiv to strike deep inside Russia and offset a weakness that once seemed impossible to overcome without cruise and ballistic missiles https://t.co/netGXYQZ6W

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

As was the case following the annexation of Crimea, the period of exceptionally high approval ratings and heightened political loyalty lasted four years and is now entering a phase of decline https://t.co/WKGIG3PHOm

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

The change in migration policy will sharply reduce labour-market flexibility amid a structural labour shortage, hitting SMEs, services and retail particularly hard. It is also likely to encourage the growth of a shadow labour market https://t.co/vohvAKK6OF

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

"Vladimir Putin and Putin’s Russia appear to have missed their chance to secure victory in the war of attrition with Ukraine. This is a genuinely historic development, difficult to imagine until recently", writes Kirill Rogov in his latest analysis https://t.co/zIuW1XAiAU

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Russia recorded lowest inflation for April and May since 1991. This is less a sign of stabilisation than evidence that the growth bubble of 2023–2025 has burst and parts of the civilian economy are contracting https://t.co/PBHEAA74Oh

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Russian society has developed an increasingly ambivalent attitude towards participants in the war: they tend to provoke caution and hostility rather than admiration, people avoid them socially, and employers seek not to hire them https://t.co/2sj5wAzeua

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Ukraine’s expanding drone campaign is no longer focused only on oil facilities and military production. It is increasingly targeting Russia’s logistics network in occupied southern Ukraine, including the land route to Crimea — one of the Kremlin’s main strategic gains of the invasion https://t.co/rB1uAQCbjX

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

The war in Iran and the blockade of the Strait of Hormuz boosted Russia’s oil and gas revenues by 40% in April. Yet, the cumulative shortfall recorded in the first quarter still amounts to 550 billion roubles. Closing this gap will not be easy https://t.co/RQgGfVICsG

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Some are fed up with bans, others with taxes or the ever-present sword of punishment and a sense of powerlessness. The grail of “Military Putinism” has unmistakably cracked. Kirill Rogov reflects on regime dynamics in Russia https://t.co/pfQsDY5Zvs

[Re: Russia @ReRussiaorg_eng]

Orbán’s defeat reopened the question of Ukraine’s EU accession, but also brought Kyiv and its European allies close to conflict: Zelensky seeks fast-track membership as security guarantee, while EU states fear accession before reforms would weaken leverage over Kyiv https://t.co/SevDQnQtaA