Swishka Doncic

Mostly Lakers tweets, some data stuff too | Princeton CS '20

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Oh hey I wrote a thing!

[Late Night Lake Show @LateNightLakers]

"Through 20 games of the 2023-24 NBA season, the [Lakers] sit at 7th in West with an 11-9 record...finding themselves in the middle of the standings constitutes an underwhelming start for a team with real championship aspirations." - @RealSwishList ✍️

https://t.co/NWlYH5leHI

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Would love to see what Wemby’s agent has to say about how those shoes are manufactured lol

[NBACentral @TheDunkCentral]

Victor Wembanyama’s agent says he refuses to do endorsement deals with soda companies

"They all want him, but Victor will never sell soda. Because he doesn’t want to kill the kids."

(Via @JaredWeissNBA / h/t @TheNBABase )

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

@shaboogen People make fun of me when I say it but it’s the truth fr

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Listen I enjoy watching a young generational superstar as much as the next guy but I am not ready for the level of media glaze coming if he wins his first ring this year

Go Knicks

[Matej Sportinfo @MatejSportinfo]

Windhorst's already making excuses for Wemby, no real criticism, he was just "low on energy". He completely destroyed Luka in the finals while he was averaging 30 in the playoffs and leading all players in minutes played. Completely different energy for Wemby. Such blatant bias!

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

If he hits the over on 3 of these that would be tremendous

4-5 and it’ll be a real upside case scenario

More than that and I’ll be shocked

[Ozoon @Ozoon_CA]

Wemby has legitimate GOAT potential.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

The answer is obvious: Lakers traded Josh Hart in a no-brainer move

Lakers let Caruso go for nothing because they were too cheap and too dumb to realize his value

The former is understandable; the latter lamentable. That’s why we lament.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

I feel like 5 years / $200M is fair for Reaves

Gets him to $40M annually and a 2-handle deal which is great for agent optics but starts out around $36M which puts him at 21-22% of the cap, effectively paying him like a high-end starter

[Lakers UK @lalakersuk]

Bleacher Report's @EricPincus predicts Austin Reaves will re-sign with the Lakers on a four-year, $156.8M deal, starting at $35M annually.

"Reaves could be a flight risk for the Los Angeles Lakers, specifically if the Nets or the Bulls make substantial offers."

"If not, the Lakers have the leverage to find a compromise number that is too much for Reaves to turn down, while providing L.A. with additional flexibility to build around Luka Dončić."

"Reaves' contract can start at a $41.3 million max deal. Other teams can only offer up to four years with five percent raises for a total of $177.4 million. The Lakers can pay for five years with eight percent raises, but $239.3 million is higher than the franchise would like."

"The compromise number would come in just below what he might earn elsewhere. If Reaves receives a massive offer sheet, he will have to consider it, which could pressure the Lakers to increase their bid."

https://t.co/ES58NxpxgS

#LakeShow

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

In the last 4 years in RS (since Shai became an AS) eFG% is 56.6 for Shai and 56.0 for Luka.

Shai is more efficient because he has a higher FTr and converts them crazy well (89% vs 77% for Luka). He is not a significantly better shooter or creator
without ref intervention.

[Swipa @SwipaCam]

Functionally you just can’t guard Luka the same way you guard Shai but RS Shai is just a much more precise scorer and leads a better RS offense.

The playoffs seem to trend towards Luka being generally a more effective player but maybe that’s team specific?

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Salary -> Starting Cap % for 26-27:

$25M -> 15% (avg starter)
$35M -> 21%
$40M -> 24%
$49M -> 30%
$57M -> 35% (highest max)

AND cap will likely grow faster than salary, so the ends of these deals are 3-5% lower.

Recalibrate your expectations.

[JSM @JSMonYT]

Do fans realize that if Austin Reaves made $35M next season he wouldn't even crack the top 50 in highest paid NBA players in 2026-27?

And if he made $40M he wouldn't even crack the top 40?

Like are we saying he's not even a top 50 player now? lol

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Luka took a worse supporting cast in a better conference to the finals lmao

[Legion Hoops @LegionHoops]

Michelle Beadle says if Luka was on the Knicks they wouldn’t be in the NBA Finals.

Beadle: “I just don't think Luka is a championship team guy.”

Chandler Parsons: “Luka Doncic has taken a worse team to the Finals than this Knicks team.”

(via @RunItBackFDTV)

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

This would be bold (and I’d prefer to get off Vando if possible) but I would 100% do this.

Deep draft, 3 bites at the apple to surround Luka and AR with for the next 5 years + additional cap room -> the best chance of getting 4 good players around Luka/AR/Bron/Smart.

[Ryan Lucas @RyanLucas_LA]

I wonder if the Laker's could somehow get picks 12 and 17 from the Thunder....

It would require all the significant future draft capital (I would imagine, but LA is in the position NOW where they have to land on top picks on controllable contracts, to build out the roster around Luka, where the Thunder can only really afford to utilize ONE pick / add one more player to their roster).

Keep in mind: OKC still has Sorber and Topic (two former lottery picks) who have yet to enter the rotation, but will likely be ready for next season, also.

Like would Chicago/Lakers/Thunder do:

Thunder
- 2026 #4 overall 1st Rd pick (CHI)
- 2032 2nd Rd Pick (LA)

Bulls
- 2026 #25 overall 1st Rd Pick (LA)
- 2031 & 2033 unprotected 1st Rd Picks (LA)
- 2028 & 2030 1st Rd Pick Swaps (LA)
- Dalton Knecht
- Deandre Ayton

Lakers
- 2026 #12 & #17 overall 1st Rd Picks (OKC)
- 2026 #37 overall 2nd Rd Pick (OKC)
- Aaron Wiggins
- Jalen Smith

It would be "agreed to" draft night, but official after July 1.

- this is assuming 38m a season for austin and 15m a season for lebron and smart opting in.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Single-season: 2020 AD

Best/greatest career: Wade

Best overall player: Luka

Best highlight: Kyrie (icing championship)

[LakeShowYo @LakeShowYo]

Who’s the best teammate LeBron has ever had? 👀

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

Kobe best 9 more 50-win teams in a three year playoff span than Nikola Jokic has in his WHOLE CAREER

Make of this information what you will

[LAbound @LAbound2]

From 2008 - 2010:

▪️Kobe Bryant and the Lakers beat TEN fifty win teams in the playoffs

▪️Kobe scored more clutch points in that 3year playoff span than anyone in NBA history

All while facing perhaps the toughest playoff path/competition of any player to ever play basketball

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

1. Depends somewhat on what they have to give up
2. No

[²³𝙻𝚎𝙱𝚛𝚘𝚗𝚌𝚑𝚒𝚝𝚒𝚜🏀☄️🌎💞 @BronGotGame]

If Lakers managed to land Peyton Watson & Herb Jones are they title contenders yet?

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

@C2_Cooper I have never read a more accurate tweet in my life.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

If I’m the Lakers I offer to pay Bron whatever he wants, but to just make the case to him that we have limited resources, and the steeper the discount we get the better we can do building out the roster. Just have to show him the path you’d take to get there (they won’t).

[NBAStatGuy @NBAStatGuy_]

The vet min isn't happening, but even this idea of Bron taking the MLE feels like a pipedream. The Lakers are paying Vando 12.4M but you want me to believe that Bron is going take 15M?

I know what we can dream for, but it's just so unrealistic and really unfair to put on Bron.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

“What if you put Hakeem in Manute Bol’s body?” is my Wemby comp right now

[Jah 🎭 @KyleMcCordMuse]

Make sure to live stream it 👍🏾

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

@CanyonDriver @bstonercpa Also can’t use full MLE if you use cap space. They’d be limited to the Room exception which is lower than the figure for Smart here.

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

The Spurs have done a really nice job of drafting, but obviously getting gifted a guy who ascended to best player in the world in Year 3 is the real difference-maker.

How good would the Spurs be if they had #2 in 2023 instead?

How high would that Spurs core peak in 3-4 years?

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

At this point, turning non-rotation players into a rotation player is unequivocally a win. Only not worth it if there are better uses for that cap room.

[🅿️erSources CEO @pelinkaburner]

Would you guys entertain sending Vando/Dalton to Milwaukee for Myles Turner in a 3 team deal where Giannis is Miami bound?

Would basically be an extra 10mil on the cap sheet, but you likely don't have to attach significant draft capital to do it...

[Swishka Doncic @RealSwishList]

New contendermaxxing idea:

Sign Bol Bol

[William (Rabid Lu Dort Fan) @LaggyGamer]

@tylrparkr This is exactly how I feel watching him. Is he talented? Yes. Is he a spectacle? Yes. Is he the most gifted and skilled basketball player of all time? No.

He won the genetic lottery. Congrats to him, but most of it boils down to him just being freakishly large.