@zachariaspro I’ve just read a very similar conclusion from Chamath a week ago; that AI will be the “electricity” and the winners will be the ones making the various machines transform it into useful work.
This paper gives a fancy name to a problem you can already feel in your bones
"The Tragedy of the Cognitive Commons." Checking AI output requires deep expertise. Deep expertise comes from doing grunt work for years. And grunt work is the first thing AI eats
So we're building systems that need expert supervision while dismantling the only known process for making experts
The paper calls the shared pool of human expertise the "cognitive commons." Every profession drinks from it. Nobody's refilling it.
By eliminating junior roles, each company is acting totally rationally, and the collective result: a profession that can't catch AI's mistakes anymore because it never learned to do the work in the first place
Who checks AI's homework in 15 years?
AI will not sweat a pipe fitting.
AI will not refurbish a burnt out motor.
AI will not dig a new french drain.
AI will not restore a 1968 Pontiac GTO.
Those of character and hard work ethic, know where the jobs will be.
- Government: "You committed a crime."
- You: "What did I do?"
- Government: "You paid with cash. Three times. Large amounts."
- You: "Cash is legal."
- Government: "Legal, but suspicious."
- You: "Using money... as money... is suspicious?"
- Government: "Honest people use traceable payments."
- You: "Says who?"
- Government: "The people doing the tracing."
I’ve written for @unherd about how Hungary’s new government is doing everything Orbán was accused of — and getting rewarded by Brussels for it.
The new Hungarian PM Péter Magyar calls it “Operation Purgatory”: a sweeping constitutional and administrative offensive designed to destroy the Orbán system — and ensure it can never return to power.
The 16th Amendment imposes a retroactive lifetime term limit of eight years on the prime minister, barring Orbán — who has served for 20 years — from ever holding office again. No wonder critics have dubbed it the “Lex Orbán”. Virtually no parliamentary democracy imposes term limits of this kind. The 17th Amendment also sets a 12-year limit for MPs: conveniently, no sitting Tisza MP is affected — only the opposition, wiping out Fidesz’s entire senior cadre.
Then there’s the president. Rather than pursue impeachment — the only removal mechanism the constitution provides — Magyar simply inserted a line into an amendment declaring that the incumbent president’s term "terminates today". Removal by legislative fiat. Even Amnesty International Hungary called it a constitutional coup. Add to this a purge of the Constitutional Court via a new retirement age, a special body tasked with investigating one party only — the old ruling party Fidesz — the shutdown of public media news output, the closure of Fidesz-aligned institutions and a judicial raid that took the party’s website offline.
These measures are clearly aimed at destroying the opposition outright, at making sure Fidesz can never return and thereby locking in Hungary’s EU-dictated agenda forever: dismantling Orbán’s heterodox economic model, phasing out Russian energy whatever the cost and full alignment on Ukraine.
Beyond the policy questions here, there is simply no way this brazen attack on the opposition can be defended on democratic grounds — and indeed Orbán himself, for all the EU establishment’s claims about the allegedly autocratic nature of his government, never dared to legislate his opponents out of existence. Yet the EU establishment, which spent fifteen years branding Orbán a proto-dictator, has responded by unblocking €10 billion in frozen funds. We saw the same film in Tusk’s Poland.
The lesson is clear: “democracy” and the “rule of law” function above all as pretexts for disciplining governments that resist the EU’s expanding authority. Indeed, when it comes to supporting its own emissaries, there is apparently no red line the EU will not cross — up to and including greenlighting the outright annulment of entire elections when they go the wrong way, as we saw in Romania in 2024.
As for Hungary, the strategy seems clear: the EU is bent on punishing the rebellious colony — by making sure it can’t rebel ever again.
Read the article here: https://t.co/w4AxoN7ffe
TL;DR: When the earth’s magnetic field strength declines, biology runs into all sorts of trouble that manifests in many different ways/as many different symptoms. A specific one of them is that the vagus nerve (very important in our body) doesn’t hug a very important artery the right way in developing homo sapiens male specimens, causing the heart to go into weird beating patterns because it can’t sense the blood flow/pressure properly. Kind of like a sensor dying in your car will cause weird engine behavior. And if you push such a car to race (like go catch that deer to get something to eat), its engine will stall. Hence, lots of young men died during the last few geomagnetic excursions. Also, don’t check the trajectory and dv/dt of our north pole in the past 170 years. Cheers!
Consider reading @DrJackKruse's work (start at CPC #82) on what happens to young males specifically in a magnetically declining environment. In short:
Right vagus preferentially innervates the SA node/right atrium, cavotricuspid isthmus = flutter substrate, AF/AFL twin heritability ~35–62% — Dr. Kruse uses this to argue boys/young males sit on the "steepest flutter-vulnerability curve" (immature AV conduction + testosterone-amplified right-sided "Z-axis" torsional asymmetry), so a declining geomagnetic field hits them first.
Good stuff! I keep thinking this, at an even lower level, is a chicken and egg problem wrt Ben’s EDC vs ECDO; if the core dynamics are in sync with magnetic chaos, is it the galactic magnetic field reversal that perturbs the core (trying to turn it like a compass needle would turn if you moved the magnet around it) and sends it into a phase transition at some point or is the core doing something similar to the Dzabenikov phase transition all in its own simply because rotational mechanics require it. Thanks for digging into this when others have to go to work and grind on other problems to put food on the table. Cheers!
@jdlookabaugh@grok@EthicalSkeptic How many of those claims depend on the current formulation of black body radiation? IIRC that one detail underpins most and is still rightfully questioned by e.g. dr. Robitaille..
Huh, the Beaufort gyre release, to my uneducated eye, would probably look something like this, and Ben had a slide on his show yesterday commenting the cooling of the north Atlantic even as we go into northern hemi summer… fun times ahead. If the monster El Niño materialises and the Atlantic cools in the same season, the temperature diff alone should make for some gnarly weather over the central America.