Rob Sinclair

Qual Research Manager at @JLPartnersPolls. Focus group enthusiast. Probably spending my weekends watching Sunderland lose.

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: For the first time since the Iran war began, JPMorgan says it no longer has a baseline view on oil, writing "we simply don't know how to model the endgame," and that the assumption that the Middle East disruptions are temporary is "becoming increasingly difficult to sustain," per JPMorgan Global Research.

The bank says it had assumed there were economic red lines the Trump administration would be unwilling to cross, and that six months later "many of those lines have been crossed, yet the exit strategy is less clear, not more."

Chevron's CEO said this week the Great fuel crisis has officially arrived, as Trump officials continue to claim the disruption temporary.

[Jonny Smith @OrwiteTreacle]

Nicked it off Tiktok but this is mint. Absolutely class

[Sky News @SkyNews]

BREAKING: UK GDP grew by 0.4% in July, the Office for National Statistics has reported.

Sky's @pkelso says 'this is really positive news' and explains what it could mean for next month's budget.

[Adam Wren @aswren]

Extremely dissatisfied to see Cambridge (where I studied) no longer uphold the rigorous academic standards that defined my time there, studying at Cambridge, the university that I went to

[Joe Mayes @Joe_Mayes]

Exclusive ** Burnham Bounce Latest**

Labour overtakes Reform in new @JLPartnersPolls survey, first lead since March 2025 and best score since Nov. 2024

Burnham beating Farage on best PM head-to-head too

https://t.co/BHJyQllYYu

[Kipper Williams @KipperWilliams]

#Burnham cartoon

[Luke Tryl @LukeTryl]

A tale of two types of business in Burnham's announcement and where they fit into public opinion. Firstly it does not surprise me vape shops have been targeted - they came up repeatedly in Makerfield focus groups and our previous research found people overwhelmingly want fewer.

[Rachel Reeves @RachelReevesMP]

It has been the privilege of my life to serve as the Chancellor of the Exchequer.

The economy today is stronger, fairer and more resilient because of the choices we have taken as a Labour Government over the past two years.

Stability restored, investment delivered and reform to our economy under way. I said when I was appointed Chancellor that I would judge my time in office if the lives ordinary working class people have been improved. I’m proud to say that they have.

And to every young woman and girl let my time in office show there should be no ceilings on your ambitions, your hopes or your dreams.

I wish the very best of luck to my successor, Andy and his cabinet. You have my full support, and I will continue to play my part in helping this Labour government deliver the change the country needs.

[Jeremiah Johnson 🌐 @JeremiahDJohns]

I have no idea how the UK is ever going to get out of the mess they're in, because so many of the causes of their stagnation have supermajority support.

The triple lock is *insanely* popular with British voters. Even with 18-34 year olds!

[James Copley @JamesCopley_]

Thanks for everything, Eliezer!

Rennes have themselves a real gem!

💎❤️🇪🇸

#SAFC

[Craig Hope @CraigHope_DM]

The last time England won a World Cup game after conceding first was in 1966... in the final against West Germany

[Evidence Based Education @EvidenceInEdu]

The Independent Inquiry into White Working Class Educational Outcomes has published its final report.

White British pupils on free school meals are half as likely to pass English and Maths GCSE as their peers. The report finds this gap can't be closed by schools alone, but names high-quality teaching as the biggest lever they can pull.

Our Director of R&D, Prof. Rob Coe, served on the Panel.
https://t.co/17Rv99EEzT

[(((Dan Hodges))) @DPJHodges]

Going to be a lot of policy and textual analysis of Andy Burnham's speech. But all that really matters at the moment is that he looks a bit different and sounds a bit different. And that should be enough to get him a hearing from the British public. Which is what he needs.

[Dan Critchlow @afcDW]

As Xhaka was signed for ~£17m a year ago, on a three-year deal, his book value will be easily more than £8m right now.

So this bid effectively means Chelsea are asking Sunderland to take a loss on him.

[Opros Politics 🇺🇦 @OprosUK]

Westminster Voting Intention:

REF: 26% (-1)
LAB: 21% (+1)
CON: 17% (-1)
GRN: 12% (-2)
LDM: 12% (=)
RES: 6% (NEW)

via @OpiniumResearch, 24-26 Jun

(Changes with 19 Jun)

[Tim Wigmore @timwig]

End of a colossal international career from Ben Stokes, who is retiring from England duty after 15 years of toil.

His marathon spells today emphasise how rare his role in the modern game, as a pace bowling allrounder in the top 7.

[Financial Times @FT]

Hartlepool has had the most regeneration funding per head of anywhere in England.

But the response from residents, still struggling with the cost of living, can feel muted.

Read more: https://t.co/o2mANngSba

[Rob Sinclair @RobSinclairQual]

What a club!

[Kevin Maguire @Kevin_Maguire]

Pride tinged with fear when too many Sunderland players are in the World Cup shop window.

[Ailbhe Rea @PronouncedAlva]

This week's New Statesman!

Amazing cover art by Lisa Sheehan