Robin Hanson

Let’s skip witty banter & talk deep Qs.
Books:
Advisor @_futarchy @MetaDAOProject @butterygg

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

@Sampleminded66 Read the first one.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

https://t.co/bEExMkOMta was published 10 years ago this month.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Reminded me of: https://t.co/95jpI3Hfh4

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Like talking animals in children's stories, AI characters can more fully embody character ideals.
https://t.co/unIlaJiUHx

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Foragers evolved to tell stories so that readers think they get characters better than those characters get themselves, or than their associates get them. https://t.co/NnQ96lw3IF

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Another MindsAlmostMeeting w/ @AgnesCallard, on Seeing Like A State:
Website: https://t.co/RdA7br74Wc
YouTube: https://t.co/0ryrsDeu7R

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Hey if claiming to win a war when you actually lost it allows you to end that war, I can be okay with that.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Yes, given that cultural evolution is much faster than DNA evolution, the earlier that one posits culture, the more likely a whole evolution scenario.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

"every theory is going to have a similar structure: it will posit an initial modification, show how it was adaptive, then explain how it gave rise to a second major trait, then the third, and then finally the fourth. For example, Hariri posits the following sequence: 1. intelligence, 2. language, 3. cooperation, 4. culture. … Henrich, by contrast, posits the following sequence: 4. culture, 3. cooperation, 2. language, 1. intelligence."

[Joe Henrich @JoHenrich]

This is a great piece that accurately captures the challenges of explaining what makes us human. https://t.co/SvFbAnPtLW

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

But if it was your nerds meeting their nerds, they'd get along fine. It is because the other side sends their sales Chad to represent them than your side needs to as well.

[Ben Horne @benjamin_horne]

This developing story about Dario's failed communications with the White House confirms everything I've ever believed about the enormous power of the Sales Chad.

You can be the smartest, most hard working, well-meaning guy around, but if you can't get people to like you, it's all for nothing.

When the time comes to send one of your own to meet inside the Halls of Power, you don't send the Geek Squad. You must send the affable, beer-drinking, golf-loving Sales Chad.

It literally doesn't matter if he understands the product half as well as everyone else. You send him. It's what he was put on Earth to do.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

@SigalSamuel Most everyone wants someone other than the current generations of humans to replace them.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

"if there had been no expectations that bubbles would form at all, then the US economy would have grown even faster. The crowding-out effect of future bubbles more than outweighed the benefits of the crowding-in effect from the two bubbles." https://t.co/DYb1DoPIEo

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

A very plausible account of pre-LUCA life:
https://t.co/pmRxX2QSMo

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

"Artificial Intelligence (AI) … accounted for 40% of all [job] cuts announced in May — up from just 7% in January, 25% in March, and 26% in April." https://t.co/HCZ19a4on6

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

"We exogenously vary the coarseness of the grading scheme while holding candidate performance constant. … managers extract systematically higher signals from inflated grades, behaving as if candidates with As represent a positively selected pool." https://t.co/CGtK9LUgjK

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

"complex regulatory requirements … two distinct complexity effects: an increase in honest mistakes and a substantial shift toward self-serving dishonesty."
https://t.co/jj31D3APfJ

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

@snowmaker @paulg Add prediction markets to this list.

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

Not remotely a formula film. I expect to remember it for a very long time. https://t.co/DWI4p9LZrs

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

@kmaru1701 You didn't answer my question, now you want me to answer a 2nd Q of yours?

[Robin Hanson @robinhanson]

If you put "student driver" warning on your car, others keep more distance & you less likely to suffer accidents. But almost no one does this, even though they have plausible deniability that their student happens to not be in the car at the moment. Why don't you do this?