@politicsbetclub We both pointed this out when we saw those beyond ludicrous 400+ REF seat MRPs a few months ago that included swathes of seats they aint ever winning. Life stating to come at Zia & co fast.
@politicsbetclub We got this one wrong last time :) Worth noting Sir Oink a Lot (who i think is from Manchester) not standing here and Binface will be higher up the ballot paper….
@politicsbetclub Will definitely be a lot of regret for those who just looked at MRPs and local election results and steamed two footed into the initial 11/8. If ever a by election required a bit of patient analysis its this one (i made an error in initially underestimating Restore too).
@politicsbetclub Snap election stuff seems a bit wild. Even best case scenario 100s of LAB MPs are losing their jobs. Anyway I thought I had until 2029 to complete my constituency research…..
@joseph_gellman Completely this. Im convinced he’s so arrogant he has refused any media training which explains his voter condescension on the likes of Question Time.
@politicsbetclub Quite some market movement all round today. Last few days have been a Reform train wreck that even their worst enemies would dare not dream of.
@politicsbetclub REF in a bad spot if true.
As others have pointed out - the more they attack Restore the more salience they get and it actually helps Rupert!
@politicsbetclub On the subject of being wrong: happy to admit i may have initially underestimated Restore. Sounds like they are having some cut through in Makerfield. Obv a boon to Burnham backers.
@robfordmancs Great analysis as always Rob thx. Any thoughts on Restore? Im taking claims that theyre competitive here as highly exaggerated and I think they have a battle to retain their deposit. Just cant see how Lowe & Co achieve any cut through here.