Ron Sear

Investor from ‘91-‘07. Trader since 2007. Tweets are a digital journal of my day to day trades. Not financial advice. Educational. Short only SPX trader.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

This is what I call, “Market Manipulation”. Who knew in advance that President Trump would say this and placed a significant trade on it yesterday or today.

[OSINTdefender @sentdefender]

After stating earlier today in post on TruthSocial that the United States would be hitting Iran “VERY HARD TONIGHT” and taking Kharg Island soon, President Donald J. Trump has now announced that strikes will no longer take place, stating: “Based on the fact that discussions with the Islamic Republic of Iran have been brought to the highest level of Iranian leadership and approved, I have, as President of the United States of America, cancelled the scheduled strikes and bombings against Iran this evening.”

President Trump adds that, “Discussions and final points have been, in both concept and great detail, approved by all parties involved, including the United States, Israel, Saudi Arabia, UAE, Qatar, Turkey, Pakistan, Bahrain, Kuwait, Jordan, Egypt, and others.” Though he states that the current naval blockade against Iran, “will remain in full force and effect until this Transaction is finalized,” with a time and place of the signing to be announced shortly by the United States.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

April 2026 was the worst month for me. So many records were being broken and political interference played a major role in causing a significant drawdown. I purposely stayed out of the market for 3 weeks in May. Saved me from more damage. Lost confidence in April. I’m back.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

Returns as of May 29, 2026. Annual returns: Family up +24.30% vs. SPX +29.30%. Monthly returns: Jun +6.09%, Jul +0.32%, Aug +4.24%, Sep -0.01%, Oct +11.90%, Nov +5.57%, Dec +6.25%, Jan. +7.03%, Feb. -1.55%, Mar. +13.03%, Apr. -23.47% and May -5.09%. YTD down -10.72% vs +10.73%.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

$SPX was down -1.62% to close at 7,267.07. My family accounts were up 1.76% and $SPXU was up 4.76%. WTD $SPX is down -1.58%, my family accounts are up 4.30% and $SPXU is up 4.76%. The “Panic Selling Zone” is now 6,750. We must hold 7,070.74. Shorting is the right option.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

A little late in my journal today. Sold $SPXU at $41.51 for a daily gain of 1.76%. Once again, another very good day of trading. May look for a second trade of the day to hold overnight.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

I have bought $SPXU minutes after the open. I have bought at $39.81. Will continue to monitor the situation. I’m not sure if this will be a day trade or not. The situation remains fluid. This should be the most important day of the week. 7,000 is still my target.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

I’m not surprised by this escalation in force. A “New Moon” is the night of June 14th. If military force is the option, it will be fast approaching.

[Open Source Intel @Osint613]

BREAKING: U.S. launches 3rd wave of airstrikes on Iran. - N12

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

$SPX was down -0.26% to close at 7,386.44. My family accounts were up 3.21% and $SPXU was up 0.93%. WTD $SPX is up 0.02%, my family accounts up 2.50% and $SPXU up 0.23%. Volatility has returned. Good trading over the last week. A weekly sell signal could be hit at 7,070.74

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

It looks like I sold too early this morning. The price of Oil is down significantly and interest rates are supportive to stocks. Sold $SPXU at $40.15 for a daily gain of 3.21%. Will be looking for the possibility of a bounce tomorrow. Were those numbers leaked to those in Gov?

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

I am still 100% short $SPX this morning. I couldn’t say this any better. I expected a rally this morning. Not surprised.

[Mark Minervini @markminervini]

As the market opens higher this morning, it's important to remain disciplined and avoid chasing an early rally—especially following a significant down day and a weak close on Friday.
One of the most common mistakes investors make is assuming that the first bounce marks the start of a sustainable advance. In many cases, the initial rally is simply an oversold reaction or what traders refer to as a "dead cat bounce."
Historically, after a sharp decline, I prefer to give the market time—often until midweek or even the end of the week—to see whether buyers are truly stepping in with conviction. Very often, after the first reaction higher, the market resumes its downtrend, undercuts the recent lows, and additional damage occurs.
Patience and selectivity are critical. Let the market reveal its true character before becoming overly aggressive. Focus on preserving capital, managing risk, and allowing the price action to confirm whether the move is the beginning of something meaningful or merely a temporary bounce within a larger decline. https://t.co/JXzFFTmMtn

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

$SPX was down -2.64% to close at 7,383.84. My family accounts were up 5.18% and $SPXU was up 7.91%. SPX has triggered a “Confirmed Daily Sell Signal”. Weekly return for $SPX was -2.59%, my family accounts up 7.14% and $SPXU up 7.73%. Correction should take us to 7,031.25.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

As warned all this week, I have positioned myself to take a position for a potential June correction. It started 2 hours ago. Bought $SPXU at $37.24. Semiconductors were weak and are now selling off hard. This shouldn’t have been a surprise. We should finish the day RED!!

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

I don’t often comment on the Nasdaq. But the NASDAQ will trigger a confirmed “Daily Sell Signal” at 26,561. That is a high probability. If we breach that level, confirming my view of a June correction. Will short. Job report came in hot and may cause trouble for the Fed.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

$SPX was up 0.41% to close at 7,584.41. My family accounts were up 1.00% and $SPXU was down -1.01%. SPX had a nice predictable rally today. I did cover my short positions. WTD $SPX is up 0.06%, my accounts up 1.86% and $SPXU down -0.11%. Test 7,000 in June? I’ll take it.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

I have sold $SPXU at $37.06. I’ll continue to monitor the situation and potential add a new position later on today. So far, a good week in trading. I sold due to oil being down, bonds rallying and European stocks being up this morning while Asia was mostly down.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

@IndigenousFrmer I can agree in principle but Broadcom most likely will be down significantly tomorrow. Either way, this ETF has a strong possibility of trading down tomorrow morning. But overnight recoveries are possible. But insane to trade a single stock ETF.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

Oh boy…is this something that the market should pay attention to? Broadcom is trading down after hours. But who would trade a double leveraged ETF on a single stock. Mathematically you will blow up one day. Looks like tomorrow? Down -24% after hours. Was $74 now $54!!

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

$SPX was down -0.74% to close at 7,553.68. My family accounts were up 2.06% and same for $SPXU. SPX remains in a strong buy but is approaching a “Daily Sell” at 7,493.15. I didn’t cover my short position. WTD $SPX is down -0.34%, my accounts up 0.85% and $SPXU up 0.91%.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

Credit to @DowdEdward for bringing this to my attention.

[Ron Sear @RonCyr9]

@10009nyny @DowdEdward That’s why I short. I can have a negative view of the market but I use that negativity to still create opportunities. 32 years in this business makes you somewhat oblivious to market cheering which he does not.