Scorecasting Economists

Football fanatics using econometrics to forecast scorelines, the title race, relegation and promotion in England's leagues

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

@MattJoy96 We've wheeled out the @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model to look at this.

Second plot shows 62 points is most likely (9.3%), most is 73 (0.3% chance).

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Spotlight on... Oldham Athletic @OfficialOAFC at Crawley Town @crawleytown this afternoon.

Two teams in good form, separated by 4 points. Home advantage likely to be key.

#oafc #ctfc

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Updated end-of-season probabilities. @premierleague after Wednesday's FA Cup matches, @EFL before.

From the @UoREconomics @UniofReading
Scorecasting Model.

How will your team do?

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

@EFL lower league forecasts from the @UoREconomics @UniofReading Scorecasting Model.

How will your team do?

https://t.co/SEOzzcAG68

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

We're in there!

We're the @UoREconomics @UniofReading Boffins.

Reckon you can do better at picking the score than we can?

[Reading FC @ReadingFC]

🏆 Your #EmiratesFACup edition of #TheRoyal is here!

⭐@MichaelOlise10 is our cover star
🗺️ Our FA cup journey so far
©️ Skipper shares his pre-match thoughts

And much more, for only £3️⃣!

🔵⚪ | #REAvSHU

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

@ReadingFC host Premier League @SheffieldUnited tonight at the Mad Stad.

What do we, the @UniofReading @UoREconomics Boffins, think will happen?

Hard to say anything other than that the Blades are favourites.

But maybe the Royals can pull it off?

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Spotlight on... Oldham Athletic @OfficialOAFC hosting Newport County @NewportCounty at Boundary Park this afternoon.

1-0 8.8%
1-1 12.3%
0-1 9.4%

Play-offs %: NEW 4.2%, OLD 0.1%
Relegation %: NEW 0%, OLD 0.4% (unless they go into administration)

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Find us in #TheRoyal this afternoon!

@ReadingFC @UoREconomics @UniofReading

[Reading FC @ReadingFC]

📖 Plenty to sift through in the Barnsley edition of #TheRoyal

❓ Quiz Royale
📛 Simply the Crest
🧠 @UniofReading Beat the Boffins

And much, much more!

🔵⚪ | #REAvBAR

⬇️ READ MORE ⬇️

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Can you beat the boffins?

The @UoREconomics @UniofReading Scorecasting Model's analysis and predictions ahead of @ReadingFC's crunch match with @BarnsleyFC this afternoon at the Mad Stad.

Including end of season probabilities. How will today's game affect them?

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

@jjreade @UoREconomics @UniofReading @premierleague @EFL Championship

West Brom 77% for the title, 94% to go up.
Leeds 70% to go up.

Luton 72% to go down. Barnsley 61% to go down. Middlesbrough 40%.

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

End-of-season probabilities updated using the @UoREconomics @UniofReading Scorecasting Model.

Even before tonight, Man City were 96% for second place.

https://t.co/VdXBGIHZsn

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Lower league forecasts, 28-29 February 2020 from the @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model.

https://t.co/RJYtWGbEgF

[Carl Singleton @csingletonecon]

@UoREconomics foreasts of Championship, R36 (29 Feb-2 Mar, 2020) --- 44% chance that the return to form of Leeds (@LUFC) continues with a win at Hull (@HullCity). See more here: https://t.co/iD9uRLOBqA
#EFL

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Champions League forecasts for matches just starting. @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model against Jean-Louis Foulley.

https://t.co/TP4L8UCcqk

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Lower league action this midweek.

Forecasts from the @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model:

https://t.co/qhJvtRL2OX

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Can the Royals @ReadingFC follow up success in Yorkshire last week with another win at Leeds @LUFC?

Another 0-3 is at 1.5% at Elland Road tomorrow.

Bookies give Reading just 9% chance of winning. @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model gives them 26% chance.

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Spotlight on Oldham Athletic @OfficialOAFC at Leyton Orient @leytonorientfc tomorrow afternoon.

Tight match...?

https://t.co/Y2G3VSM1ik

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

Lower league forecasts from the @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model for this weekend's matches.

https://t.co/BnTUE2XcXm

[Scorecasting Economists @SEconomists]

End of season predictions update, February 21, from the @UoREconomics Scorecasting Model.

https://t.co/uY439KDz1w

[Carl Singleton @csingletonecon]

@UoREconomics Forecasts of Championship, R34 (21-22 Feb, 2020) --- Econometric Model makes Derby (@dcfcofficial) favourites tonight against Fulham (@FulhamFC) (40% chance of win), contradicting bookies #EFL #DERFUL