@LynAldenContact Do you not think it's a bit disheartening? I can imagine it feels nice to get the 'call' right, but it feels like the wrong direction for society / the system as a whole. Any thoughts on that?
@simon_ree Love this analogy! Thnx for sharing.
I'd maybe add the 'real economy' being the winds on the ocean (influencing the power/height of the swell).
Number of people in jobs (demographics + econ strength) = contributions to 401k's etc, creating a persistent passive bid.
SHORT SELLER BETS AGAINST U.S. LIFE INSURERS SURGE IN PAST YEAR, TOTAL VALUE OF SHORT BETS NOW AT OVER $5.3 BLN, ORTEX DATA SHOWS
SHORT BETS AGAINST INSURANCE FIRMS ACROSS THE GLOBE ROSE OVER 60% IN LAST YEAR TO OVER $31 BLN, S&P GLOBAL DATA SHOWS
@izakaminska Agree on the potential Warshian twist. Given AI deflationary impact (as well as private credit cycle dynamics) might it be reasonable bonds get a day in the sun?
$LODE That was a great earnings call. Congrats to the team!
We got:
- SSOF issues cleared up, LODE's ownership to mid 30%, with potential to 50%+. No more conflict of interest. Land valued at ยฑ$275m, if they get more than 6$/sqft (not unprecedented, see below), it's higher.
- Secured access to power equivalent to 250-300 MW. This is the last hurdle in order to unlock the high value monetisation for SSOF's land.
- Mining assets - unequivocally stated to be divested - ideally in Q2. $50-60m
- Green Li-Ion, projected to sell down at its IPO (ASX) this year (26H2). ยฑ$20m
Totaling $350m in divestment in '26 -> LODE mcap currently ยฑ$200m.
Further:
- Strong progress on metal recycling; facility 1 commissioning & commercial production on track. Facility 2 location pinpointed & first permits filed. Only facility 1 will have the capex outlay for high-value refining of the tailings.
- The one thing missing for me was additional concrete MSA's, but CDG seemed confident about the extensive pipeline.
- LODE's board strengthened, resulting in better governance & alignment with shareholders.
- Bioleum, no big updates, but seems to be chugging along fine. Kreisler (financier) looks to be out since this month according to Linkedin.
2026 is shaping up to be massive for $LODE.