Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن

Analyst | Religious Movements, Geopolitics | Gulf–South Asia

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

ایران کو اب فائدہ یہ ہے کہ جی سی سی ریاستیں ایران سے متعلق اب ایک ہی پالیسی نہیں رکھتیں، جیسا پہلے کبھی تھا۔ گلف میں اختلافات اورٹوٹ پھوٹ، خصوصا سعودی اماراتی، ایران کے حق میں سودمند ہے۔

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

جس طرح یہ جنگ شروع ہوئی ، جیسےختم ہوئی اور اس سب دورانیے میں ٹرمپ نے جو رویہ دکھایا، خلیجی ملکوں نے تو اچھا خاصا سبق سیکھ لیا ہے۔ اس کی آخری دھمکی تھی کہ ابراہام اکارڈ کا حصہ بنیں پھر جنگ بندی کی طرف جائیں گے۔ کسی نے کان نہیں دھرا۔

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

عربوں کے ایران سے جو مسائل ہیں وہ اس معاہدے میں شامل ہی نہیں ہیں۔ ان پر الگ سے خطے میں سب ملک بات چیت کریں گے۔ اسی لیے گلف حکام فی الحال جنگ بندی پر مطمئن ہیں، معاہدے کی جزئیات پر بات نہیں کر رہے، نہ شور مچا رہے۔

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@abdulslam2017 The purpose of mediation is not to shield any side from the consequences of its actions. It is to prevent a conflict from expanding further and reduce the risk of miscalculation.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@abdulslam2017 With respect, if every mediation effort were abandoned each time one side escalated, diplomacy would disappear precisely when it is needed most.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@ekitbi @Abdulkhaleq_UAE @AnwarGargash @MABaharoon @husainhaqqani @KhamisOAlAli @KhalafAlHabtoor @saleh_ahmed93 @AbdllahAlneaimi @BarakRavid @Dralnoaimi

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

Read the full article here: https://t.co/REjF6Xm9Zm

#UAE #Israël #IranWar‌

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

How Iran Maintains Its Narrative Influence Among Muslim Publics Despite Strikes on Gulf States

Read the full article here: https://t.co/hfVcXQWCVV

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@sultaan_1 أستاذ سطان العامر، كيف يمكن التواصل معكم
لدي موضوع بحثي يخص سوريا والخليج، أرغب في الاستفادة من رأيكم.
شكرا جزيلا

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@bysurbhigupta @newlinesmag very good analysis

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

Projecting Peace: How Pakistan’s Military Is Rebranding Its Image Globally

Read the full article here: https://t.co/ihifVddpDN…

#Pakistán #IranWar‌ #AsimMunir

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@Hamza_tekin2023 الاختبار الحقيقي هو قدرة هذه الدول على تجاوز اختلاف الأولويات والاعتبارات الجيوسياسية.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

@BawadyMazen @huthaifaabdulah الهندَ قامت في العام الماضي بشنِّ ضرباتٍ داخل الأراضي الباكستانية، وقد كان الردُّ الباكستانيُّ على تلك الضربات حاسمًا، حتى أصبح حديثَ العالم بأسره. والهندَ تسعى الآن توظيف حركة طالبان الأفغانية واستخدامها ضدَّ باكستان.

[Talha Ahmad @talhaahmad967]

REHAB CENTRE BOMBING

When it comes to any conflict, it's always very difficult to find the truth, especially in the case of AF-Pak. Officials from both countries have a history of false claims and exaggerating figures. Nevertheless, journalistic freedom itself is a huge problem in this region.

Let's follow the basic rule of the 5 Ws and 1H.
This would offer the answer to the "DELIBERATELY" as well as the "Targeted location", and its impact.

Firstly, Pakistan has been carrying out strikes across Afghanistan for the last few weeks, mostly targeting Former NATO bases, arms and ammunition depots and several other military facilities. Just last week, the Bagram airbase was targeted.

Last night, Pakistan carried out strikes at two locations in Kabul.

1.📍Siah Sang military sector or Syasang base.
Coordinates: 34.509799, 69.210591
The visual evidence backed by Geo-location confirmed the targeted site. The secondaries and flames are clearly visible, enough to conclude that it was an ammunition or arms depot.

Links of ammunition burning and Secondaries:
- https://t.co/qlIunFHwKo
- https://t.co/hddlTq1Sm0
- https://t.co/9fUCLQIn0B

2. 📍Former NATO base Camp Phoenix / Rehabilitation centre
Coordinates 34°32'52.15"N 69°15'29.27"E

- After the US withdrawal, a rehabilitation centre was established at one of the sections of the military complex.

- From the footage of the strike released by Pakistan, apparently, Pakistan targeted 3 buildings inside the complex, all close to the Rehab. I quoted them in the attached Reference picture.

- From the footage, it appears that one of those 3 had ammunition/explosives, as secondaries are visible in the footage, which likely caused fire close to the Rehabilitation centre.

- 0:18 Seconds onward (Secondaries...)
Official Link of Footage: https://t.co/H1quRWzUcj

Currently, we don't have enough evidence yet to suggest that the Rehab was the intended or direct target. Only an Independent International inquiry would provide conclusive answers, but here are a few comments and questions.

1. Why did the Taliban establish a rehabilitation centre inside a military complex? Did they have ammunition or weapons depots close to Rehab? Are other sections of the complex used for military purposes? Why haven't they shared any information about the strike at other bases?

2. Did Pakistan have prior knowledge about the Presence of the rehabilitation centre inside the complex? Did they consider the factor of proportionality and proximity?

In either case, there can be no legal justification for the tragic incident. If they knew, then it's a military atrocity
and a serious violation of international humanitarian law. If they didn't, then it's criminal negligence.

Nevertheless, there are several other aspects.
First, the media framing and overall narrative.

BBC, Reuters, Al-Jazeera, and almost all major mainstream media outlets, in their reports on this tragic incident, have omitted the reference to the second strike at Syasang base, let alone any detail or context of the ongoing air campaign.

Being a journalist, I would tell you why that is necessary.

If the two airstrikes are part of the same operation, same timeline, or military campaign, omitting mention of the other distorts the overall picture; it denies the much-needed context. This does not justify or make the tragic incident any more acceptable, but it offers insights into intent, scale, and pattern.

The framing creates an impression that it was a deliberate targeting of the rehabilitation centre. This is why the majority of them did not even mention that the rehabilitation centre is inside a section of the military complex, also previously known as Camp Phoenix.

Lastly, instead of denying the strikes, Pakistan immediately released the footage, which suggests that they were completely unaware of the existence or of the damage to the rehabilitation camp inside the complex. Otherwise, releasing such footage can be cited as evidence in legal proceedings at the international level in the future.

The pattern of strikes both before and on that day also suggests that it was part of an ongoing air campaign targeting the former NATO facilities, especially arms depots, ammunition storage, etc., and it wasn't an intentional targeting of the Rehab facility.

This is my understanding based on the order of events and the limited available data. Rest, only an independent inquiry can share the real facts and story.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

The Taliban must allow an independent investigation into this incident to establish the facts.

[Sami Mahdi @SamiullahMahdi]

After last night’s Pakistani attack on Kabul, misinformation is circulating on an industrial scale. For example, a picture of a group of addicts shared by Mr. Mujahed, claiming that they were “mostly killed,” is actually from April 5, 2023. The image was originally posted by the Taliban’s Ministry of Interior on its X account.
It is difficult to believe that these exact individuals were still being treated in the hospital and are the same people supposedly killed in last night’s bombing.

I call on the Taliban to allow independent media to investigate this tragedy and document details of all civilian casualties.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

ونتيجة لذلك، تصل معظم الأخبار إلى العالم الخارجي بناءً على روايات طالبان وليس على التحقيق المستقل أو الصحافة الحرة.

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

في الليلة الماضية، شنت باكستان ضربة جوية على منشأة عسكرية في كابول، أفغانستان. تدعي طالبان أن باكستان استهدفت مستشفى، لكن الفيديوهات التي نشرتها الحكومة لا تظهر أي دليل على مقتل 400 شخص.
#أفغانستان #باكستان_أفغانستان

[Shafique Rehman شفيق الرحمن @SRehman_Pak]

منذ تولي طالبان السلطة في أغسطس 2021، فرضوا قيودًا شديدة على الصحفيين المستقلين ووسائل الإعلام الدولية. معظم الصحفيين يعملون تحت إشراف طالبان أو يعتمدون على مصادر محلية لا تستطيع نقل أي شيء يعارض الموقف الرسمي.