Hey everyone, I've just released my Hurricane ISAIAS chase video.
Truly a memorable storm with some scary moments.
It's over 90 minutes long, so it's recommended you watch it like a movie, on a monitor/TV with good sound for the best experience.
https://t.co/Sfh9fWT9JG
HALLOWEEN IN FLORIDA! ๐
The latest forecast numbers are in showing warmer than average highs in the 80s for many across the state. These are preliminary numbers and subject to small changes. By sunset for trick-or-treating, we'll cool off a bit into the lower 70s across the Panhandle to lower 80s in South Florida. When we get closer, I'll let you know if there will be chances for rain too!
@Noles_93_99_13@MattDevittWX Yea, it means that generally.
Nighttime lows typically about normal but cool daytime temps as well instead of warming up into the upper 70s and 80s like we typically would.
@CMcKayFL@RicksRambles It is park weather. Humidity is way down, too. I'm loving it!
Still a little toasty in the direct sunlight, but under a tree it feels magnificent!
@AndyHazelton I don't think it is wrong to call it that though, right?
Like even if it isn't technically the exact same as a typical one, it's fine to call it that.
Looking Back on Hurricane Isaias โ One Week Later
Hurricane #Isaias peaked as a Category 3 major hurricane (105 kt/120 mph, 959 mb) on October 9 as it was closing in on the Florida Panhandle. It weakened thereafter due to increasing wind shear and dry air entrainment. The center made landfall near Destin, Florida, at about 8:30 p.m. CDT on October 9 as a Category 2 (90 kt/105 mph, 971 mb).
The leading northern edge of the eyewall reached the Okaloosa Island/Fort Walton Beach area while the storm was still a legitimate Category 3 (100 kt); it then weakened by roughly 10 kt over the final 2.5 hours before the center actually crossed the coast.
On a personal note, I was positioned on the narrow and exposed road on Okaloosa Island between Fort Walton Beach and Destin, where wind gusts exceeded 100 mph as the western and southwestern parts of the eyewall moved through. This constituted the 46th U.S. mainland #hurricane eyewall intercept and the 19th major (as it was still a Cat 3 when the aforementioned northern edge moved overhead).
The storm produced an unusually broad and asymmetric wind footprint for its official Category 2 landfall intensity. Recorded gusts of 100+ mph occurred from the Pensacola City Hall area to Freeport (~55 nmi along the coast), including within the eyewall and extending well outside it in the western quadrant. In addition, hurricane-force gusts (74+ mph) spanned from Orange Beach, Alabama, to Beacon Hill just east of Mexico Beach (~120 nmi). The peak measured gusts reached 116โ118 mph near Oriole Beach and Jay. A sting-jet-like feature on the western edge of the precipitation shield (during the onset of extratropical transition) helped drive the unusually strong western-quadrant winds. These winds caused widespread tree and power-line damage, roof losses on beachfront hotels and other structures, and collapsed gas-station canopies.
More than 900,000 customers lost power across Florida, Alabama, and Georgia (peak reports were around 910,000โ911,000). Worst of all, at least nine fatalities were confirmed (six in Florida, two in Alabama, and one in South Carolina), mostly from falling trees and related incidents. Storm-surge inundation of roughly 5.6 ft was observed at Panama City Beach. A Flash Flood Emergency was issued for southern Okaloosa County due to torrential rainfall, with widespread 5โ8 inch totals and localized amounts exceeding 12 (including over 11 inches near Mary Esther and Fort Walton Beach), producing major freshwater flooding that caused significant damage to homes and businesses in that area. Preliminary estimates of losses surpass $2 billion.
For residents of the western Florida Panhandle, Isaias is a storm that will be talked about for generations to come.
New: ๐ฆ One of the wettest Florida winterโs on record?! It appears likely!
The Super Ensemble forecast shows rainfall 2-3X normal in South #Florida and around 2X over central /north Florida in over Dec, Jan, Feb. (232% =2.3X normal rain)
Thanks, El Niรฑo.
The Super Ensemble is the mother of all seasonal model forecasts. It incorporates models from the US, Europe, Canada, Japan, Germany, France, the UK, Italy and Australia. Obviously these are just an estimate, not exact.
#elnino #elniรฑo