SWT

Welcome to SWT! Providing you the most accurate and profitable DFS plays, sports book edges and data!

[MetroMike @MetroPassMike]

cheers to another year of grinding my own accounts to the very last drop

[Sports Shake @sports_shake]

October Recap: +$5,850.90 ✅
On Pikkit: +$3,230.51
Off Pikkit: +$2,620.39

Solid month despite my own unease about volume/markets

Top Discord honors go to @SWTDFS for providing $4,014.11 of profit 🤯

Let’s have a great November 🍗

#TheCrew #sportsbettingtwitter

[Sports Shake @sports_shake]

August Recap: +$9,048.97 ✅

Pikkit: +$9,273.97
Off Pikkit: -$225

Amazing month with lots of strategy changes

Huge shoutout to @SWTDFS and @TCEBetting for making the bulk of this profit

#TheCrew #GamblingTwitter

[huey @chueypicks]

MLB Prop of the Day w/ @BallgameBets ⚾️

Fading Keider today against the Yankees, I like this spot on DraftKings at -115, good down to -140! Check your books for lines! Let's cash🔒⚾️

Toss @BallgameBets a follow too!🐐

[SWT @SWTDFS]

@chueypicks @ThundahPicks locks

[huey @chueypicks]

FedEx St Jude Round 3 Collab ⛳️

Max Homa 1.5u o68.5 -150 (FD) 🔥
Viktor Hovland 1u o68.5 +110 (FD) 🔥

Collab w/ @ThundahPicks , toss him a follow!
#FedExChamp #PGA #bettingsports #BettingAlerts

[huey @chueypicks]

Here's a dinger lay to pay for thirsty thursday🍺
#MLBTonight #mlbtwt #bettingsports

[SWT @SWTDFS]

Discord dub from @ccoooopppp last night 🔥🔥

In the past 2 days we've hit:
+4167 home run parlay
+3500 olympic slip
+977 MLB slip

#mlb #mlbtwt #bettingsports #bettingexpert #FanduelMLB

[SWT @SWTDFS]

Discord eatin 🍽️🍽️

[huey @chueypicks]

LEGOAT 🐐🐐🐐🐐

+3500 Triple Double ✅

#Olympics2024Paris #Olympic2024 #LeBron #bettingtwitter #USABMNT #USABasketball

[huey @chueypicks]

🏈 Only 28 days until the NFL season opener! 🗓️ Here's a season-long prop bet that's loaded with value 💰🔥

I've compiled sportsbook data, DFS app data, and fantasy projections to try to find some NFL season-long outliers. So, to build up to the NFL season I am going to post 30 props in 30 days💻

Disclaimer: Betting on season-long props is not always valuable due to the length of time your money is tied up. So, this is a fun project for the upcoming season. These will not be posted in any type of value-order.

Marvin Harrison Jr. o1000.5 Receiving Yards -110💰
Book: DraftKings

Model Blended Projection: 1185.3
Sportsbook Comp: 1000.5 -165 on FanDuel
DFS Comp: 1075.5 (Underdog)

Additional Analysis: Arizona lost 155 targets from 2023 via Marquise Brown and Rondale Moore, and Harrison will be the primary beneficiary, plus a healthy Kyler Murray🔒
#Cardinals #NFL #NFLTop100 #NFLU #bettingexpert #OhioState #buckeyes

[huey @chueypicks]

29 days until the NFL season-opener, and here's a season long prop I think has value🏈📈

I've compiled sportsbook data, DFS app data, and fantasy projections to try to find some NFL season-long outliers. So, to build up to the NFL season I am going to post 30 props in 30 days. Here's Day 2! 🔥

Disclaimer: Betting on season-long props is not always valuable due to the length of time your money is tied up. So, this is a fun project for the upcoming season. These will not be posted in any type of value-order.

Geno Smith o20.5 Passing Touchdowns🔒
Book: Fanduel

Model Blended Projection: 23.7
DFS Comp: 22.5 (Underdog)

Additional Analysis: The Seahawks added offensive coordinator Ryan Grubb (Washington Huskies), an aggressive downfield play caller. Healthier offensive line, and weapons in Smith-Njigba, Lockett, and Metcalf.
#NFL #NFLTop100 #NFL2024 #bettingtwitter

[huey @chueypicks]

30 days until the NFL season-opener, and here's a season long prop I think has value 🏈📈

I've compiled sportsbook data, DFS app data, and fantasy projections to try to find some NFL season-long outliers. So, to build up to the NFL season I am going to post 30 props in 30 days🔥

Disclaimer: Betting on season-long props is not always valuable due to the length of time your money is tied up. So, this is a fun project for the upcoming season. These will not be posted in any type of value-order.

Chris Olave o1025.5 Receiving Yards 💰
Book: DraftKings

Fantasy Blended Projection: 1230.3
Sportsbook Comp: 1050.5 (FD)
DFS Comp: 1099.5 (PrizePicks)

Additional Analysis: The Saints no longer have Michael Thomas, they have one of the easiest schedules this year and they added on new Offensive Coordinator Klint Kubiak.
#NFL #Saints #NFL2024 #bettingtips

[SWT @SWTDFS]

@chueypicks go saints

[SWT @SWTDFS]

More @MetroPassMike Olympic dubs 🔥

Currently sweating Australia +7.5 for another cash🏀
#OlympicGames #Olympics #Olympic2024

[Sports Shake @sports_shake]

July comeback total: +$2,922.32 ✅

Nightmarish end of the month, but always great to be in the green

The limited account grind continues in August

Shoutout as always to
@TCEBetting
@SWTDFS
@DGNLabs

#TheCrew #GamblingTwitter

[SWT @SWTDFS]

Olympic dart from the weekend 🎯 #Olympics

[huey @chueypicks]

Olympics Round 2 Recap 💰
Great rounds from Xander, Fleetwood and Rahm. Matsuyama double bogey on 18 brought some more guys into the mix for the remainder of the event. This is a no-cut event so we will see everyone tomorrow!

Assumption Analysis 💻
Went with a -1.0 average to par assumption for Round 2. The actual ended up at -1.20. That gives us back to back rounds at essentially the same average to par (-1.18 and -1.20). The weather continues to look good for scoring so we will see what lines we get for Round 3. 🎯

Betting Recap 📈
Overall, FanDuel lines went 9-5 on unders. If you look a little deeper, morning players went 4-1, afternoon 5-4. My suggested plays in the @SWTDFS discord went 5-1 🔥 Let's have a good Round 3!
#Olympia2024 #Olympics #OlympicGames #PGA #Golf #bettingsports #fanduel

[huey @chueypicks]

Round 2 Outlook 🔒 #OlympicGames

Secured some unders on opening FanDuel lines. Most have bumped down by now but here's a quick visualization comparing Round 1 Play to FanDuel's Round 2 Opening Lines. 📈

Sometimes its important to visualize the offered bets as a whole. This is less helpful when you expect volatility from round to round, but I am expecting a similar round tomorrow. I'm in on some unders!🫡
#Olympic2024 #golf #Golf #PGA #Olympics

[huey @chueypicks]

Olympics Round 1 Recap ⛳️
The first round concludes with Hideki Matsuyama atop the leaderboard. Hideki gained 6.8 strokes against the field and had a bogey-free round. 🔥

Assumption Analysis 💻
Early in the week, the forecast projected 15-20 mph gusts for the afternoon split of golfers. However, as the round neared, the gusts dropped off dramatically, leaving no real weather effects for Round 1. France has had a wet summer thus far, and we knew the course would play easier. Additionally, the skill level of this field compared to any DPWT historical field is significantly stronger. My final assumption for average to par for Round 1 was -0.4, with a slight advantage to the morning players.

Round 1 Stats 📈
Average to par: -1.18
Split: 0.93 advantage to the morning tee times

Round 2 Early Look 🏌️‍♂️
The weather continues to look ideal for the remainder of the event. I'll continue to monitor the wind leading up to Round 2. 🤝
#OlympicGames #Olympic2024 #golf #Golf #PGA

[SWT @SWTDFS]

👀👀
#TheOpenChampionship #TheOpen2024