All the news about oil prices going up and down is pure market vibes at this point, because the "oil price" that gets commonly reported is a price for oil futures. It's speculatory.
Follow what people are paying for oil in a tank at their dock and you'll be alarmed.
The ceasefire isn’t “breaking down"
It’s doing exactly what zero-sum conflicts do:
revealing the next phase of war
What happens in the next 72 hours won’t be random.
It will follow a pattern
Here’s the framework almost no one is using
@CryptoVikingSWE@adamtaggart This is the bloodbath the left was screaming about in 2024 lol. Atrocities our world has never seen.
I think Iran will “let them” take a beachhead—get them all hopped up on hubris, let the America think they’re winning this easy.
Then boom—sacred defence.
@CryptoVikingSWE@adamtaggart Nuke ends the war which is the last thing Israel wants. I feel a nuke being deployed is super slim. The goal of the war is for it to continue—nuke ruins that.
@HenrikZeberg The sell in May and walk away scenario is starting to look the most plausible
especially with the RUT running
It looks like the end of the cycle with capital running through mid to low caps as Mag 7 lags
Tump likely to make a move considering its a long weekend which gives him an extra day to quell the markets.
Market is shockingly sanguine about all of this 😂