Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing

📊 SEBI-Registered Research Analyst | INH100008638
📈 Stock Market || Investing
🎯 Process over predictions. No tips.
📅 Weekly Analysis every Sunday 9 PM ↓

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

I don’t chase stocks. I wait for setups.

3 conditions need to align before I deploy capital.

When they do — I act.

When they don’t — I protect.
Every week I share:

→ My deployment checklist (what’s green, what’s not)

→ The setups I’m watching

→ The process behind every decision

Capital first. Returns follow.

SEBI Registered RA + Portfolio Manager.

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

VIX is up 25% today.

Seems like good days for Hedged option selling coming again.

Risk management is key here!

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Price is improving.

Conviction still isn’t.

Nifty closed below the 50 EMA again. Crude cooled because of Iran optimism, not because the macro picture suddenly improved.

Geopolitical rallies deserve smaller position sizes than earnings-led rallies.

SEBI RA INH100008638 • Research views, not advice

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Tuesday I asked which side breaks.
Wednesday: VIX cracked 18.

Thursday: FIIs started buying stock options.

Overnight: Brent broke $105. GIFT Nifty
touched 23,800.

Two of three triggers from my re-entry checklist just fired in 48 hours.

Today's open decides if the third follows.

SEBI RA INH100008638

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Yesterday: "FII selling — exit or hedge?"

Today's data answered it.

FIIs sold cash -₹1,891 Cr + index futures -₹1,349 Cr.

But BOUGHT stock futures +₹142 Cr, stock options +₹860 Cr, index options +₹686 Cr.

That's not exit. That's selective accumulation under hedge cover.

VIX cracked 18.

SEBI RA INH100008638

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Yesterday I asked which side breaks first.

Nifty is testing 23,800 again. Rejected again.
VIX cooling further from 18.44.

The tape is answering: nobody is breaking this range today.

Cooling VIX inside a stalled range = consensus, not conviction.

That's when I stay 60% cash.

SEBI RA INH100008638

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

8 sessions. Nifty stuck in 23,300-23,800.

FII positioning today is unusual:

Cash: -₹1,597 Cr
Index futures: -₹965 Cr
Stock futures: -₹930 Cr
Index options: -₹10,135 Cr (unwinding)

Yet VIX fell to 18.44.
DIIs absorbed ₹1,968 Cr.

Range break decides June. Which side?

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

8 sessions. Nifty stuck in 23,300-23,800.

FII positioning today is unusual:

Cash: -₹1,597 Cr
Index futures: -₹965 Cr
Stock futures: -₹930 Cr
Index options: -₹10,135 Cr (unwinding)

Yet VIX fell to 18.44.
DIIs absorbed ₹1,968 Cr.

Range break decides June. Which side?

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

@Pkjat340 @Stock_Precision @VishalJ31877206 @ArindamPramnk @InvestorCompass @Prouspering Going to hit century soon

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

@ichigo_077 Its almost over

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

FII sold ₹8,828 cr in cash today. Biggest single-day dump in weeks.

DII bought ₹4,701 cr back.

The index fell 1.1%. But the real story is one line down on the derivatives side.

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Bookmark this. Cash flow tells you what FIIs did.

Options positioning tells you what they think happens next.

Most of FinTwit only reads line 1.

Weekly Indian market reads: link in bio → Substack

SEBI RA INH100008638 • Research views, not advice

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

Monday’s watch:

23,800 is the line. Break = 23,400 visible

Reliance, IndusInd, Shriram Q4 digest

DII follow-through — does ₹4,700 cr repeat or was it one-day defense

VIX above 20 = different regime

The setup rewards patience, not conviction.

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

My terminal this morning: FMCG + Banking +

Metals all green simultaneously. Last time all three led on the same tape? Hunt back — it’s rare.

Your newsfeed is still on “IT earnings worry.” The gap is the signal.

#Techmahindra prints today. #Infy tomorrow. Watch the tone, not the number.

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

2026 — Third instance activated this month.
Rupee already moved 95 → 92.65 in two weeks. Phase 1 live.
Full 4-signal tracker : https://t.co/sy3WzAyIWf

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

On 16 April, the RBI opened a forex credit window for oil refiners.
In the past 13 years, they've done this exactly twice before.
Both times, what followed was a multi-quarter Nifty rally.

Here's the pattern. 🧵"
#StockMarketCrash #Nifty

[Sanyam Vaish | Disciplined Investing @Sanyamvaish]

2022 — Same playbook deployed during the Ukraine war.
Rupee stabilized. FII flows turned. Multi-quarter rally followed through 2023-24