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There are still a good number of stocks forming bases following strong prior uptrends, and so far market pressure has not caused widespread technical damage. However, after running my stock screens, the dominant theme is right-side volatility — which often starts as pivot “leakage.” An increasing number of patterns have become volatile. For truly low-risk buy points to emerge, that volatility needs to subside. Patience is key. Let the setups come to you.
From a macro perspective, the backdrop remains supportive of a continued bull market, with the long-term trend still intact. The conditions typically associated with a secular bear market are not currently present. Corrections should be viewed as cyclical opportunities within an ongoing secular bull.
That said, the current environment is challenging for directional breakout trading. Our own STEM risk model has suggested maximum caution (RED) since Feb.4.
However, waiting for the war to end may not be the best course for timing individual stock trades. The market is a discounting mechanism. A bottom could occur before geopolitical clarity emerges. The best stocks tend to set up, emerge and lead the general market.
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Golden rule of options: Sell premium when IV is high (earnings, events), buy premium when IV is crushed (fear). Most retail traders do the opposite and bleed slowly. Theta is your friend if you're the seller. #OptionsTrading
"Never confuse your position with your best interest. Emotional attachment kills more accounts than bad analysis. If the thesis breaks, the stock doesn't care about your average. Cut it."
$ASML monopoly on EUV lithography intact. High-NA tools ramping for next-gen chips. AI demand endless. Buy the dip – target $1500 long-term. Essential for semis!
$PLTR breaking out to new highs! Commercial deals surging, government contracts locked in. This AI platform is sticky as hell. Palantir could 3x from here by 2028. Not financial advice, but...