Sayyes

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

The bond market situation is crazy.

While everyone focuses on AI, US borrowing rates just hit the highest level since June 2007.

Credit card "serious delinquencies" are at the highest since 2010 and mortgage rates could near 8%.

What's happening? Let us explain.

(a thread)

[₿Strategy 🟧 @MarsSTRonaut]

Eagle Line and real commercialization success will make this company. We just have to be patient.

That’s still the core of the $QS thesis.

What’s exciting is the technology itself. QuantumScape has already shown OEM-validated solid-state lithium-metal performance that most competitors are still only talking about. The ceramic separator is the real differentiator pure lithium-metal anode, fast charging potential, better thermal stability, and energy density that current lithium-ion can’t match. The science is further along than the market is giving it credit for right now.

But the stock is in a full free-fall.

Sentiment is completely broken. People are already asking if $3 is even the bottom. The selling has been relentless.

The insider activity isn’t helping either. In July alone we saw multiple Form 4s CTO Tim Holme sold over 137,000 shares and CFO Kevin Hettrich sold another 9,800 on the same day under their 10b5-1 plans. They’re pre-scheduled and not massive relative to total holdings, but the optics are still terrible when the stock is already getting destroyed.

None of that changes the long-term equation.

The only thing that will ultimately matter is whether they can scale the process. Clear progress on Eagle Line and actual commercialization steps are still the catalysts that can flip this narrative hard. We’ve already seen how violent the upside moves can be when the market starts believing the manufacturing is real.

Until then, the tape stays brutal.

And the macro is about to make it worse. Future rate hikes and ongoing pressure from the Bank of Japan will keep punishing high-beta, pre-revenue names. QuantumScape will get hit harder than most in that environment. Liquidity dries up and speculative premium disappears.

That’s exactly where I’m waiting.

Not chasing it in the middle of the freefall. Waiting for the rate-hike waves and risk-off punches to create a real dislocation where the long-term technology case is still intact but the price has been completely washed out.

Short-term death spiral.
Possible rocket ship if Eagle Line and commercialization deliver.
And a much better entry if the Fed and BOJ keep tightening the screws.

You’re panic-selling the current weakness… or are you waiting for the macro to hand you a better price on the same thesis?

$QS

[Blockchain Backer @BCBacker]

Prices Drift Up for Bitcoin Price Chart, Altcoin Market & XRP with Structure, Technicals & On-Chain

https://t.co/vmYHrVvIh6

[DeFi_Machine @DeFi_Machine]

🚨 THE US ECONOMY IS ONE LEVEL AWAY FROM BREAKING

$TLT — 20+ year US Treasuries.
The asset every pension fund, bank and central bank
called risk-free.

2021: ~$145
Today: $84

A 42% drawdown on the thing that was supposed
to protect you when everything else fell.

Now it's sitting on the last line that matters:
$83–84 support.

Break below it and here's what breaks with it:

1️⃣ BORROWING COSTS EXPLODE
Long-term yields already hit a 19-YEAR HIGH.
Every trillion the Treasury refinances costs more.
Interest payments start eating the budget alive.

2️⃣ THE SYSTEM'S COLLATERAL CRACKS
Treasuries are what the global financial system
pledges as collateral. When collateral loses value,
margin calls don't ask permission.

3️⃣ THE BUYERS ARE WALKING AWAY
China just cut its Treasury holdings to an
18-YEAR LOW. Foreign governments are offloading.
If the "safest asset on earth" keeps bleeding —
who's the marginal buyer?

Here's what nobody wants to say out loud:

This isn't a rate story. It's a TRUST story.

For 80 years the world lent to America because
not lending was unthinkable.

A 42% drawdown is the market quietly asking
whether that's still true.

$83 is the level. Watch it.

12 years in these markets — this is what I do.
Follow me and turn notifications on.

[babystep0227 @LamborZ1230]

$QS Got some exposure through leaps.
This one is simple, if it failed to hold above the red line, we going to fill the gap at least partially.

[Astekz @astekz]

Allegedly I am in possession of some of the most valuable secrets and information in the world

[AskLivermore @asklivermore]

This is all you need to time the stock market. Save this. Screenshot it. You will need it.

The put/call ratio tells you when everyone is panicking and when everyone is too comfortable.

Every single time the put/call ratio spiked above 1.0 since 2000, it marked a generational buying opportunity:
- Dot-com bottom (2002)
- GFC bottom (2009)
- COVID bottom (2020)
- Tariff crash (2025)

Every single time it collapsed below 0.70, a pullback followed:
- Pre-GFC top (2007)
- Pre-COVID top (2020)
- 2022 top
- Pre-tariff top (2025)

Right now? The put/call ratio just hit 0.61, the lowest since December 2020. That means options traders are the most bullish they've been in nearly 6 years.

Does that mean sell everything? No.

But it means this is the time to stay balanced, not all-in into one sector. The best buying opportunities will come soon, stay patient.

When everyone is greedy, be cautious.
When everyone is fearful, be aggressive.

[CooperBaggs 💰🍞 @edgaralandough]

Take your zinc in the morning, magnesium at night, and vitamin D with your first meal. Do it for 30 days and come back and tell me your energy, sleep, and mood didn't change 180 degrees.

[Sammy McCallum 🥇 @Honeystocks1]

The S&P 500 is putting in the cleanest looking base I've seen in a minute.

It's probably going to break out isn't it?
$SPY $SPX

[Sayyes @SayJesse123]

@SwingTraderQ @szntravel Which expiration on the calls?

[SwingTrader @SwingTraderQ]

when i see setup like this, i max out my position.
got a 6000 delta long position on $TLT

[Cassandra Unchained @michaeljburry]

Now, Class, repeat after me. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings. Say it again. I will never buy cyclicals at low PEs and record earnings.

[Blockchain Backer @BCBacker]

COMPLETED CRASHING STRUCTURE for Bitcoin Price Chart and Altcoin Market as Reversal Looms

https://t.co/KKX8FoHUWN

[@hydrogen2030 @wind4me]

A very WISE man told me to tell you Google “””BP Spain $PLUG Expansion “”””

[Burak @Tradingchannels]

There was a lot of excitement around $PLUG lately but we didn't buy it because of this blue + red double resistance. Only a breakout would convince me to tip my toes in.
https://t.co/v810bf4Eid

[Peter DiCarlo @pdicarlotrader]

$PLUG is already up 100% since we flagged the bull cycle 5 months ago.

We are now pushing into my first target… and I still see room for this to potentially 2x again over the next year.

In this video I break down my short and long term targets, plus exactly how I’m managing my position.

[Michael Edward @MikeEdward_TTG]

One of the largest mechanical selling events of the year is about to begin.

Roughly $165 Billion of stock could be sold over the next week.

Most investors have no idea it’s coming.

Here’s what’s happening, why it matters, and how I’m positioning for it:
#stockmarket #trading

[Sayyes @SayJesse123]

@MacroAlphaHQ Are you short? Good luck haha

[EliteOptionsTrader @EliteOptions2]

Ironically, trading gets easier the moment you drop the urgency to make money.

[Rohit @heyrohitai]

INSTEAD OF WATCHING AN HOUR OF NETFLIX TONIGHT.

This 1 hour Stanford lecture by Joel Peterson will teach you more about negotiation and getting what you want than most people learn in years.

Bookmark it and give it an hour, no matter what.