Equity research in electric and autonomous vehicles, semiconductors, lithium, chemicals, and agriculture • Opinions are my own • Views not those of employer
Just published – 2Q 2025 US #Stock Market Outlook
From Overheated to Opportunity: Positioning for What’s Ahead
•Valuation post AI bear market
•Why we still favor Value even after beating Growth
•Small-caps attractive, but might not work for a while
https://t.co/HRHEPQRxUr
FOMC now projects core PCE inflation at 2.8% y/y in Q4 2024. By my estimates, that implies about a 2.5% annualized rate in the final six months of 2024. So virtually no progress compared to the 2.5-2.6% y/y rate for core PCE likely for May. This looks too pessimistic.
$TSLA up >12% before market open after #earnings - and we still think its undervalued.
Interested to learn why we increased our fair value estimate on this 4-star rated #stock?
Here are our 4 key takeaways on #Tesla:
https://t.co/Y0CrATFdZf
$LAC surges following commitment from US DoE for >$2B loan to fund capex for Thacker Pass #lithium project. We still think this 5-star rated #stock is undervalued.
https://t.co/DIr6fTSOz3
$TSLA #stock sliding after #earnings
Strategic shift to develop & ramp-up new affordable vehicles, while focusing on cost cuts for existing.
Updated #Tesla forecast to lower near-term growth & auto margins = reduced fair value by 5% to $200.
Details: https://t.co/XMAMLP8i41
@lhamtil@TakedownTed I haven't read anything published by an objective third party, most of what I read on the family history comes from either the company or the family. Please pass along if you find something.
Charlie Munger, who worked alongside Warren Buffett at Berkshire Hathaway for decades, died today at age 99, a little more than a month shy of his 100th birthday.
Look back on how this duo has influenced Morningstar and investors everywhere. https://t.co/ZaDDfZosv4
#Lithium#stocks hammered after sell-side downgrade
Our analyst team takes a different view. We forecast price rebound as strong demand from #EV & energy storage systems outpaces supply.
Additional details from @SethGMStar1 $ALB $LAC $LAAC $LTHM $SQM
https://t.co/tlxSCdBrq3
By 2030, we forecast #EV will account for 40% of global auto sales— over 5x # of EVs sold in 2022
Here we highlight our top #investing picks across the EV supply chain.
$BWA $ST $ALB $CHPT $CE $EIX
https://t.co/dHbFiAqihr
From undervalued at beginning of year to now overvalued, $TSLA sinking following earnings.
We maintained our $215 fair value estimate. At current prices, we view #Tesla#stock as overvalued, trading in 2-star territory.
Details here: https://t.co/Nng9GeOmSF
My comments on today's inflation report (linked). One thing I didn't mention is that while the Fed is still likely to hike in 2 weeks, it really shouldn't. There's plenty of reason to think that inflation can return to normal without a recession at all.
https://t.co/IJAbPQUOhn
#Lithium#stocks have dropped this year as falling spot prices leave investors worried.
We see strong demand growth ahead following temporary lull in demand from expiration of China’s EV subsidies providing attractive opportunities
$ALB $LAC $LTHM $SQM https://t.co/nHAvACIFOa
$ALB and $SQM regaining some of their losses from last Friday. Link below to our view on these #stocks from potential nationalization of the Chilean #lithium industry.
$SQM & $ALB both down hard today following Chilean President Gabriel Boric’s proposal to nationalize the Chilean #lithium industry.
Morningstar’s @SethGMStar1 lays out his views on impact to their #stock valuations
https://t.co/Nbm7B9eAWJ