@charliebilello The recovery isn't the lesson.
The timing is. Six of the market's 10 best days happen within two weeks of its 10 worst.
Selling the panic guarantees you miss the bounce.
The market's whole job is making you flinch at the bottom.
@Invesquotes Leverage doesn't move to the chip, since MCP is an open standard.
The agent routes work to what it can't replace: data, models, workflow depth.
Apps that were only a UI facade lose. Apps with deep capability don't.
@Beth_Kindig Nvidia's claimed $100 to $150B Taiwan spend rivals TSMC's entire 2025 revenue (~$123B).
That's the full AI hardware stack built in Taiwan, mostly billed to Nvidia's customers.
Always check the numbers not just the quote.
@Brian_Stoffel_ Left's edge was never research. It was trust.
5 years of confident public calls. Quiet trades in the opposite direction. $21M in profit. His followers never saw the gap between what he said and what he did.
A claim you can't verify isn't analysis. It's bait.
@QCompounding Buffett's real edge: Knowing the gap between confidence and certainty.
AI has erased this gap: On a finance benchmark, top models got 81% of SEC-filing questions wrong. Delivered with total conviction.
Confidence is now free. Certainty is alpha.
@BrianSozzi Platform power here.
RTX Spark: Built with MediaTek on Arm. Sold by HP. Runs on HPE. Also Intel + AMD + Qualcomm's lane.
Agentic AI: Market reads it as bullish for SaaS. NOW +11%. CRM +7%.
One keynote. Eight stocks. Different directions.
@Mr_Derivatives Today's pop is Huang's COMPUTEX keynote. Pure event-driven.
NVDA's fiscal Q1 last week was blowout. Stock did not pop.
One catalyst, one bounce. The earnings non-pop is the signal worth watching.
@zerohedge No licensed vaccine exists for the Bundibugyo strain of Ebola. Hundreds dead in the current DRC outbreak.
mRNA delivered COVID vaccines in months, not years.
Same platform. Now pointed at diseases the world hasn't solved.
@BrianFeroldi Agreed and the 2x Rule undersells itself.
$400 in the S&P at the 10% historical average compounds to ~$7,000 in 30 years.
At 30 years, it is a 17x Rule.
@LizAnnSonders Only 10 prior times since 1945. 12 months later: Positive 80% of the time, average +10%.
The one streak that broke ugly: August 1989. Within a year, Iraq invaded Kuwait.
Is Iran the sequel?
@charliebilello Inflation, yes. Market returns too.
US net worth just hit a record $184 trillion. When assets compound this fast, people lean on the portfolio and save less from income.
A low savings rate can mean stress. It can also mean market confidence.
@Beth_Kindig The TPU number isn't just a Google story. It's an Nvidia story.
Every workload that runs on a TPU is one that doesn't run on a GPU. Custom ASIC sales are forecast to grow 45% this year. GPU shipments: 16%.
Doubling TPU volume is market share walking out Nvidia's door.
@Brian_Stoffel_ The name-drops are backed by substance. The numbers are the real flex.
$11.1B in revenue. EPS up 52%. $27.5B handed back to shareholders in a single quarter.
Benioff is adding sizzle to steak that already speaks for itself.
@QCompounding Gut feelings have a price. Odean measured it.
10,000 accounts. Investors sold their winners 50% more often than their losers. Those winners then beat the losers they kept by 3.4% a year.
Lynch is right. Discipline is the edge.
"Hallucination-free" AI legal tooling still hallucinates up to 1 in 3 answers, per Stanford.
If tooling built for lawyers fabricates citations, your stock-picking chatbot is worse.
Verification is non-negotiable.
https://t.co/QaYXiEJWVE
@BrianSozzi 1999 peaked at 44.2.
Today: 42.18.
CAPE has crossed 40 exactly once before.
The aftermath: -50% S&P over two years and zero returns for a decade.
Sample size of one.
Will sample generalize?
@Mr_Derivatives 2022 was worse than nominal shows.
S&P 500 lost 18%. Inflation took another 8%. Real return: -24%.
Warsh now inherits inflation at 3.8% and rising + a President demanding cuts.
That's not a 2022 setup.
This is 1978 again.
@BrianFeroldi Miss the 10 best days in the S&P 500 over 20 years and your return gets cut in half.
7 of those 10 best days happened within 15 days of the worst ones.
Panic sell → Lock in your loss → Miss the spike.
Source: JPMorgan
@unusual_whales Not a Trump story.
A Huawei story.
Beijing told buyers to wait.
ByteDance and peers shifted hundreds of billions to Ascend.
Nvidia's own forward guide assumes zero China data center revenue.
The "China comes back" thesis priced into NVDA is dead.