Silas

CFD trader sharing a more philsophical side to the markets | $48k in payouts this year 📊
classical pianist & polyglot 🇯🇵🇩🇪🇨🇳🇦🇷🇨🇭

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

>be me
>win $1000 in a gaming competition
>ride it up to $550,000 in crypto, 2024

>2025. watch it vaporize. 99.63% gone
>stare at the last $2000 to my name
>use it to buy my first prop firm challenge

>pass first try. hit #2 on the FTMO leaderboard that month
>$48,000 payout
>I'm a genius. all that time developing a forex strategy really paid off

>buy 11 more prop accounts, stick remaining $37k into "safe" low leverage ETH
>boutta trade with 2.5 million in prop firm capital
>life is good.jpg

>margin called. crypto balance liquidated

>f*ck

>tilted. trade the prop accounts into the ground
>breached. absolute rock bottom.

>but there's still hope
>desperately search through various old crypto wallets
>$300. nice. now let's max out a $1000 credit card
>work on a potato farm for an extra $200 cash
>this is it. I've learned my lesson. the final recovery arc

>buy 2 prop accounts with the credit card
>pass first try. use the remaining $500 to buy a 3rd prop account
>pass that one too
>$21,000 in payouts pending on first 2 accounts. freshly funded 3rd account
>"man I should really just stick to forex"

>11:54 PM. one minute before market close
>have a trade running $2000 profit per account, time to use my bot to close all positions before rollover
>click the button
>...why are new trades opening?

>already too late. market closed and I pressed "open new" instead of "close all"
>rollover slippage turns $2000 profit into major loss
>violation emails hit my inbox one by one
>all three accounts, gone.

My third bankruptcy led me to realize something about trade psychology nobody ever articulates

Not discipline, not risk management, none of the obvious stuff you've heard a thousand times

I'm here to explain this insight and help shave a thousand hours off your learning curve. Bookmark and read this later if you have to. But read it

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@mkratsios47 nah I vibe with it. hate the big companies all you want but end of the day this is it, their IP is legit

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@awkwardgoogle when hitting a WR, are you not gonna go until you crash on the floor moments after the finish? does it not work like that? seems like he could’ve shaved another 1s if expending all the energy that was there afterwards

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@bryan_johnson I love you man this kind of thinking is peak

There are great people and then there are the rest

The only requirement to be the former is to rejoice in excellence rather than resent it

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

This puts a whole new dimension to the term "bugmen"

[Ellen Carmichael @ellencarmichael]

The most interesting part of the red card saga isn't the ruling. It's how differently Americans and Europeans process the idea that they might have been wronged.

Europeans are fundamentally different from Americans in one particular way: they expect life to be aggravating and at times unfair. It's just a fact of moving through the world. I joke that in Europe, the customer is always wrong. You didn't read the fine print. The only pharmacy in town is closed every other Tuesday for three hours, and even if the times weren't posted, that's still your problem. Too bad if you want the bill, because the waiter's on his union-mandated half-hour smoke break, and you're just going to have to wait.

To quote the great Mark Knopfler: sometimes you're the windshield, sometimes you're the bug. There's something freeing in that. Things are less in your control, so there's less angst in managing your expectations.

In America, things couldn't be more different. We simply can't accept a wrong left unrighted.

The flight attendant sneezed handing you a drink on your one-hour flight? 15,000 frequent flyer miles. Didn't like your appetizer? A replacement is on the way, and the whole course comes off the bill. There's a reason our interstates are lined with trial lawyer billboards.

Europeans have turned complaining into a continental pastime with no expectation that the universe owes them a remedy for their grief. You gripe about the train being late, your friends nod solemnly and everyone goes back to their apéro. In America, we launch a full-blown investigation of the train system, sue the government (and its contractors) that allowed for the tardiness and hold a Congressional hearing on the state of national infrastructure.

So to an objective observer, the red card shouldn't have happened, and VAR was a travesty. To Americans, our star player shouldn't be unfairly banned from a match we couldn't afford to lose for a card he so obviously didn't deserve.

Who cares that FIFA used a little-used reversal to fix it. Who cares that other people are mad about it. We. Were. Wronged. It was unjust. It must be corrected. We would accept nothing less.

Europeans waxing poetic about the sanctity of the game are, of course, talking about a governing body whose last tournament host was decided via confirmed cash bribes — one that imposed dress codes on women, shrugged off widespread allegations of modern slavery and reconfigured the entire tournament calendar to suit the host country. Which is exactly the point. If you've made peace with all of that, at least enough to watch the tournament four years later, a probationary suspension isn't actually a scandal.

Maybe that's the real divide. Over millennia, Europeans have made peace with being the bug. Americans have never once considered it, and apparently, we're not about to start now.

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@ChristianHeiens rooting for such a scuffed country is impossible. I tough love england - they must face shame, not glory, in the face of their horrid departure from proper civilization.

I wish for them to return to glory

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@nosilverv is this bait or are you serious? glaring issues

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@ThomBrady5 Genuine question: this is great when we have Trumps or Vances in power, but is this not especially concerning if a democrat is in power? When they play, they don’t hold back, as we know

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@SCHIZO_FREQ @kenfarmer Average is irrelevant here; we are both using the same rigorous mathematical concept

The question is purely about what is the underlying distribution

If 4 people have $10k and one has $1M, the average is like $200k or whatever, and quite literally “most (4/5) are below average”

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@SCHIZO_FREQ @kenfarmer They fit the definition of "average" just fine on a positively skewed distribution. Why use a normal distribution here?

Human attraction is a relational property; to say "perception is reality" seems more than fair here. The market outcome IS the objective outcome

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

She's right.

Everyone saying otherwise are being the "well AKSHUALLY" excessively literal dude who fails to reason on the obvious meaning of the IDEA.

Men lie on a positively skewed distribution.

Most men are below average😉

[Lisa Fendragon @LisaFenDragon]

Incels keep accusing me of not knowing what "average" is, for a guy

Bullshit. I keep saying, over and over again, that the average guy is medium-ugly. That's why women rate most men as "below average"

They're still mad. So, I'm confused. Do you want me to be realistic, or not?

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@krichard121212 nobody realizing this is a joke

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@BasedBiohacker thoughts on epitalon if you're young and already get decent sleep?

I've been taking it 1h before bed, and while I sleep great, I find myself sleeping in more. even after popping a modafinil before heading back to sleep

I never had problems with sleeping in before

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@0xaporia not even applicable. clearly implying SpaceX, which has already passed that filter

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@glennwrites1 The channel name tells the whole story.

I don’t quite have the verbal IQ to express what exactly that is, but it’s a very specific something that is dreadful

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@scaling01 @dingchilling ?? the techy might call mythos better here because the visualizer is nicer and not glitched out

a musician will prefer the latter because the music is far more interesting and doesn't invoke a sense of eye-rolled "music theory 101 chord progressions put into practice"

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@zapatas_mom Utterly confused at the responses. They are both gorgeous and far above average, equally so or her arguably a bit more

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@iamgingertrash nonetheless. focus on progress. drown out the noise indeed.

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@iamgingertrash it's fair to say that as many prior examples may exist, this time *is* different though (speaking of capacity). the difference between a printing press and a pocket-genie with the knowledge to help a lone man build high-transmission bioweapons or the like

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@anonz011 @JethroToro @OneJKMolina Perhaps. I've been an MBTI dude for a while, open to a lot of systems, but CS Joseph has never instilled much confidence for me, can't put my finger on why.

It took a while to hop on board, but socionics (model G > model A) is actually the greatest find for functions I know of

[Silas @SilasOverNoise]

@anonz011 @JethroToro @OneJKMolina He's a toughie. He's closer to Ni-Ti as top two functions, which goes against standard typology, but that's just because standard typology landed on an average set of 16, a compromise between expressiveness and complexity