Agyakaar Singh

Live&LetLive

England (UK)

[Mark @Mark4XX]

NATO CAN'T WIN WAR WITH RUSSIA: RETIRED COMMODORE WARNS EUROPE FACES TOTAL DEFEAT

Retired Royal Navy Commodore Steve Jeremy commanded warships in the Fifth Destroyer Squadron and Britain's Fleet Air Arm. He later served as strategy director in the British embassy in Afghanistan. He has just delivered a devastating warning that European leaders are sleepwalking into catastrophe. They assume Russia will wait quietly until 2030 while Europe arms Ukraine to strike deep inside Russian territory. That assumption is pure fantasy.

THE CORE PROBLEM: LEADERS MISREAD THE NATURE OF THE WAR
➡️ Russia sees this as an existential defensive war against NATO expansion right up to its borders.
➡️ European elites wrongly call it Russian imperialism and refuse to accept decades of clear Russian warnings.
➡️ Without understanding the true nature of the war Europe has no chance of planning for it.

THE DEADLY TIMELINE MISCALCULATION
➡️ European leaders think Russia will sit still until they finish preparing in 2030.
➡️ Retired Commodore Steve Jeremy says Russia will strike early to stop future attacks.
➡️ The same calculation that pushed Russia into Donbas in 2022 applies right now.

THE OPENING RUSSIAN RESPONSE
➡️ Russia hits the exact factories in Germany, France and Britain that build drones and cruise missiles for Ukraine.
➡️ Europe invokes Article Five but quickly learns it guarantees nothing and nations can simply opt out.
➡️ The United States steps back after its defeat in Iran and refuses to send American soldiers to die in Europe.

THE MILITARY REALITY CHECK
➡️ Europe's missiles and aircraft face Russia's highly effective S-400 and S-500 air defense systems.
➡️ Russia destroys most incoming attacks and takes a heavy toll on Western aircraft.
➡️ European land bases remain almost naked against hypersonic missiles.

THE ECONOMIC KNOCKOUT BLOW
➡️ Russia destroys Europe's energy infrastructure exactly as it did in Ukraine.
➡️ With Russian oil and gas already cut off by self-defeating sanctions the continent faces instant crisis.
➡️ Lorries stop running, farms shut down and industry collapses within days.

THE NUCLEAR DETERRENCE DILEMMA
➡️ The only truly open question left is what Britain and France will do with their nuclear deterrents.
➡️ Using them would be suicidal — that is the end of Britain, the end of France and probably the end of a lot of Europe.
➡️ After the irrational actions European leaders have already taken, this possibility cannot be dismissed.

THE BOTTOM LINE
European leaders are leading their people into a war they have never properly thought through, cannot win and cannot even define victory against a nuclear power fighting for survival. The only rational escape is urgent diplomacy before the first missiles are fired.

This is what happens when slogans replace strategy.

HT: YouTube Glenn Diesen

#NATOvsRussia #EuropeAtRisk #CommodoreWarning #StrategicFailure #DiplomacyNow #RussiaRedLines #NoVictoryPlan

[Claire Coutinho @ClaireCoutinho]

Britain is increasingly becoming an economic dictatorship – but it’s the judiciary, not a military junta, who are in control.

Last week, the GMB Union’s branch in Leeds announced that more than 4,000 women have begun a legal case against the City Council for ‘pay justice’.

These are not claims brought forward by women who are being paid less than their male counterparts for doing the same job. That has been unlawful since 1970 and rightly so.

This claim is the latest in a long series, based on the vague concept of ‘work of equal value’.

The argument is that completely different jobs – like teaching assistants and bin men – have ‘equal value’ and should be paid the same.

The arbiter is not the employer, nor the taxpayer who picks up the bill, nor the individuals who decide to apply or not apply to be teaching assistants or bin men. It is an unaccountable employment tribunal judge who gets to decide whether fundamentally different jobs are as ‘valuable’ as each other.

To state the obvious, bin men waking up at 4am to do manual and smelly work in all weathers is clearly not the same job as being a teaching assistant.

This is not to say that teaching assistants are paid enough for the work they do, often working with children with specialist needs.

However, there is no reasonable way to compare their jobs to those of bin men. They are fundamentally different, appealing to different people, and providing completely different services.

These cases are not always a great victory for the British worker either. The end result of the Birmingham City Council case was not higher wages for teaching assistants, but a proposal from the council to cut the pay of bin men by £8,000 per year.

A compensation claim was paid, but this was so unaffordable that it forced wider job losses and pay cuts and resulted in sky-high rubbish piles filling the streets for months on end.

The pursuit of equal outcomes did not lift the women up, it simply pulled the men down.

The absurdity of trying to compare completely different jobs can be seen in the Next case, where a judge ruled that retail workers on the shop floor should be paid the same as those working in the warehouse.

That was despite the company struggling to recruit for the warehouse roles and shop staff refusing to move to warehouse roles on higher wages when offered the chance.

One shop worker even told the tribunal that she would only have considered moving to the warehouse if she were paid “a lot more money”.

In a sane world that would be clear evidence that workers were not willing to do the two jobs for the same wage. Nevertheless, the court decided the two jobs were of ‘equal value’, leaving consumers to pick up the bill.

These vexatious claims undermine fairness and reward grievance. Even Barbara Castle, the architect of British equal pay laws, rejected ‘equal value’ claims as too abstract.

Many factors determine the value of a job: how many people are willing to do it, what qualifications they need, how unpleasant the work is, and what alternatives are available.

The most effective way of balancing these competing factors is through price signals in the market.

If employers advertise jobs and wages, employees are free to either accept or reject them. This is both more objective and fairer than a judge poring over thousands of pages of subjective ‘job evaluation studies’.

It is a Soviet method of setting levels of pay where the person choosing wages is absolved of any accountability for the impact.

Wages are not the only area where this is happening. Bad political decisions have piled up legislation and handed unelected court officials powers to set prices in huge swathes of the economy, from rents to energy costs to council budgets.

This is not only undermining democratic accountability, but it is also picking away at a fundamental truth: growth comes from economic freedom.

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

@sialgoraya @omarali50 Professor Pritam Singh (Economics Academic) from Oxford Brookes Uni has written about this extensively
Federalism, Nationalism and Development: India and the Punjab Economy - Pritam Singh - Google Books https://t.co/XvZLlOYtgj

[Dan Neidle @DanNeidle]

Andy Burnham is probably going to raise tax by at least £4.7bn, and maybe much more.

Here's my list of 37 ways he might do it: every potential tax rise, how much it would raise, and what the downside would be. There's always a downside.

Thread:

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

We raided the Foreign Aid budget to reallocate that money towards Ukraine ... our domestic energy bills are going up by another 13% this year because of the effects of prolonging a vanity war along with absurd 'green' energy policy ... its a bitter pill to swallow for many

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

The £15b hike in defence expenditure proposed by outgoing PM hasn't even been accounted for ... we're told £10b will come from abandoning Capital expenditure on infrastructure ( no new Hospitals/Schools/Prisons) ... still leaves £5b gap for new PM to fund from Taxes or Borrowing!

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

🇬🇧 is floundering .... Prisons full .. so it's now releasing prisoners early ... We're told there's no money in the treasury kitty for new prison! Our roads r full of pot holes ... no ££s.. yet we've committed to £3b+ per Yr to Ukraine till 2030 & just hiked defence by £15b!

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

We raided the Foreign Aid budget to reallocate that money towards Ukraine ... our domestic energy bills are going up by another 13% this year because of the effects of prolonging a vanity war along with absurd 'green' energy policy ... its a bitter pill to swallow for many

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

@Frankisalegend1 Yes, the size of territory scent marked and enforced by a Tigress is dependent on the prey density & source of water within it ranging from 20-40sqKm. A Tiger, however, roams across several female territories, thus will protect & enforce 150-200sqKm! Dispelling other males!

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

Why would u transit the Strait of Hormuz thru the 'Oman/US' shallow route whilst transit is free thru Iranian controlled route for the time being, unless there is a good reason to play Cat/Mouse or being bribed to circumvent Iranian controlled channel to test their resolve??

[The Hormuz Letter @HormuzLetter]

BREAKING: Iran releases footage of the foreign cargo ship stuck in the Strait of Hormuz after "attempting to transit using a US-suggested route" this morning, calling it "an incident even worse than sinking," per IRIB.

[Claire Coutinho @ClaireCoutinho]

Ed Miliband promised to cut energy bills by £300.

Today the energy price cap increases again and bills are now £300 HIGHER than when Labour took office.

And Andy Burnham wants to reward Ed's failure by promoting him to Chancellor.

[David Shaw @David90shaw]

🚨 YOU LITERALLY HAVE TO READ THIS TO BELIEVE IT.

If you own a home, have a pension, or plan to leave an inheritance, Andy Burnham's leaked economic plans should terrify you. 🤡

He is planning to scrap the capital gains tax "uplift on death," meaning grieving families will be hit with double tax bills on inherited family homes.

Begbies Chartered Accountants confirmed this double levy will hit grieving families with an effective 62% tax rate!

But it gets even worse.

Burnham wants to replace council tax with a new annual property tax of 0.48% of your home's value.

If you live in an average £553,000 house, you will be forced to pay £2,654 every single year just for the privilege of living in your own home!

They want to tax you while you live, tax you when you die, and tax your children for mourning you.

RT to expose the ultimate Labour wealth grab and demand a general election NOW! 🔁🇬🇧🔥

[G.S.Goraya @sialgoraya]

I disagree with Sardar Ashok Singh on this, very substantially;

the creation of two nations also ensured that both nations would have persecutable minorities thus entrapping them into a cycle of perpetual acrimony.

There already were Muslim, Hindu, Sikh and even Buddhist and Christian states that functioned decently enough under the structure of the Government of India Act of 1935. A hard reset of that structure in 1947 was an imperial geopolitical gambit to perpetuate a neocolonial order in the subcontinent, from where, till the reality check of the Suez crisis, late British imperialists believed they could assert control over the straits of Hormuz and the Indian Ocean.

Their chosen agents played up the propaganda and unleashed the djinns of madness from the darker recesses of our tribal minds. We killed the possibility of a greater civilisational glory.

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

Sikhs hold an unshakeable opinion of Aurangzeb based on his intolerance, subjugation & suppression of not just dissent against his Islamic rule but inhuman treatment against Kith & Kin alike as epitomised in the Zafarnama penned in Farsi by our 10th master .. Pragmatist indeed!

[MrKao @MRKao76]

@DalrympleWill Dalrymple platforming a widely discredited crank like Audrey Trushke even by reference disappointing …. Why to rehabilitate the image of a man who sent the decapitated head of his brother to the father he imprisoned …what’s next a nuanced view on ISIS ? Garbage

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

@Frankisalegend1 Having said that, I'm amazed that despite visiting and staying in hot countries, many Brits lack the common sense of coping with high temperatures. Outside its 35.4C, inside my 4 story house with concrete floors & no AC, it's 26 on ground floor, 27 on top floor and 24 in basement

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

@Frankisalegend1 Admittedly, it's been hitting 35+ midday and remaining in upper twenties even at night. However, a little common sense of keeping well hydrated, staying indoors or in the the shade with curtains/blinds drawn and windows open for ventilation can make the house 7-8 degrees lower!

[Down To Earth @down2earthindia]

In Uttarakhand’s hill villages, wild boars and monkeys are turning farms barren.

Farmers who returned to revive abandoned land say crop-raiding animals are pushing them back towards the same crisis they tried to escape: migration, loss of income and empty fields.

In the Terai, elephants and nilgai are destroying crops at scale, while livestock rearers face losses from predators.

Despite spending on fencing, compensation and monkey sterilisation, farmers say protection remains weak and claims are hard to access, reports @rajusajwan for Conflict in The Backyard series

https://t.co/WZW7IUxKH3

#HumanWildlifeConflict #ConflictInTheBackyard #Uttarakhand #CropLoss #WildBoars #Monkeys #RuralMigration #CropCompensation

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

Future generations of Brits are unlikely to enjoy the Pension benefits afforded to current & previous generation pensioners who had it 'As Good as it Gets'
The exodus of Wealth creators is a direct consequence of Inheritance tax on relatively modest property owners with savings

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

Despite my love for my birth country, I regret to say that the future prospects for younger generations here don't bode well.
Mark my words, we aren't far from imposing absurd new taxes on the middle class/landlords/entrepreneurs & professionals to pay for ballooning welfare bill

[Agyakaar Singh @Singh_Mo]

The one truth known by all UK economists and most politicians is that a triple lock on inflationary formula for State Pension can't be sustained indefinitely with overburdening & over taxed workers funding higher state pensions for current pensioners.