Slav Compounder

Slav Compounder | Long-term value investing • Stocks, valuations & charts | Patient compounding + some crypto | Not advice

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

Is $NVDA really going to replace Jensen Huang as CEO?

Reports say the board met last night. Nothing is official, and he never named a successor.

Hard to picture this company without the guy who built it.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@wallstengine People are front-running restrictions just to get access to the chips.

That's not what a product with a demand problem looks like. $NVDA

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@timoassi The Jensen headlines are drowning out everything, but $TSM just printed +59.7% YoY in October.

The AI capex numbers keep saying the same thing. Happy Thursday.🟢

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@StockMKTNewz Android, Chrome, Search, Workspace and now CarPlay.

Distribution is Google's quiet superpower. Gemini doesn't need to win users, it's already in front of them. $GOOG

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@wallstengine $TSM just printed +59.7% YoY October revenue and it's down 2.3% on a leadership headline at its biggest customer.

Demand didn't change overnight. Sentiment did.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

$160.54 overnight...

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

$NVDA heading towards $150-$140, right into the 200-week EMA at $137.

Last time we tagged this line was January 2023.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@FindleysFinance Again and again...😅

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

🚨NEWS : JD Vance reportedly wants face-to-face talks with Iran to end the war (WSJ).

Algos: buy everything
Me: enjoying the green

Iran, in about 2 hours: "lies" 🍿

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

$TSM just printed its biggest month ever.

October revenue NT$586.89B ($17.88 billion to $18.84 billion), +59.7% YoY 🏭

Next tell: $AMAT Thursday. Then $NVDA Nov 17.

Demand isn't the problem. Sentiment is.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@BrianFeroldi Biggest one for me: no one can force me to sell in a panic.

I can sit through a 25% drawdown in $NVDA and keep adding instead of answering to clients.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@unusual_whales Up 19% into the print with a 20% implied move. A lot of good news is already priced in today.

I'll be watching the guide more than the beat itself. $NBIS

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@saxena_puru And AWS is the one selling the picks and shovels for all of it.

Inference scaling is exactly why $AMZN is one of my highest-conviction names.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@KobeissiLetter +9% off the low in just 6 days.

Everyone who panic sold last week is now chasing it back up. Patience paid again.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@unusual_whales Down 25% in a month and the skew is screaming fear. That's usually when I want to be buying, not selling.

Still adding $NVDA in my $165-171 zone, so a bounce to $177 off that area is nice to see.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@StockMKTNewz A chip designer worth more than America's biggest bank. Says a lot about where the market thinks the next decade of profits will come from. 👀 $AMD

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@Mr_Derivatives Hot CPI print this morning, green for the month by the afternoon. The market loves shaking people out right before it turns.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

@Mr_Derivatives All that fear and $SPY never even got oversold. Shallow pullbacks like this one tend to get bought fast.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

$HIMS stock -16% on the print, so here's what actually happened:

Revenue $890M, +49% YoY
Record gross profit $509M
International $233M, up 4x+

The bear case: margin down to 57%, subs -100k QoQ.

Growth is real. Margins are the thing I'm watching.

[Slav Compounder @SlavCompounder]

🟢Mag 7 + $SPCX: Current vs Forward P/E 📊

$NVDA 21.4x → 13.9x
$META 21.9x → 19.5x
$GOOGL 15.0x → 20.8x
$MSFT 27.8x → 25.7x
$AMZN 21.9x → 27.4x
$AAPL 38.8x → 37.1x
$SPCX N/M → 47.4x
$TSLA 417x → 178x

Still most bullish on $META, $GOOG and $AMZN.