I resigned from Athene today. I spent the last three years doing underwriting research at both Athene and Security Benefit. Neither company is acting responsibly. They are racing straight to state receivership and gambling with our life insurance. More thoughts below.
@origoinvest Life settlements aren’t illegal (everywhere) but they’re way shittier businesses than it appears. It’s structured to underperform but sold to investors like high yield strategies
$OWL with strong earnings, still proving street narrative is wrong. Those inside PC and Ins know how strong demand is for these products. Fee rebates though
The dominant mental model for the agentic economy is Coasean bargaining at scale, agents serving as tireless negotiators in order to reduce transaction costs to near-zero. Krier (DeepMind), Shahidi et al. (NBER), Rothschild et al. all assume coordination will emerge through prices + property rights executed at computational speed.
New paper argues this gets the problem wrong at the level of substrate. When agents with world models interact, the coordination medium itself becomes endogenous to their behavior. The problem now lies in the reflexive entanglement that exists between competing state-transition projections that no market mechanism can resolve.
I argue that the solution lies in constructing this environment: a world model of the multi-agent system itself.