. $pi 📊Mbu

crypto lover ⬆️ digital marketer #follow💯for follow

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

Do you remember when you joined X? I do! #MyXAnniversary

✌️🥹

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@sofiasymondsovo 🔥🔥Wow smoking

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@skillstkr @AdrianBoysel @Sopman14
@AdrianBoysel
@HKpjKxnbKE9578

[Skill Stacker @skillstkr]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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Please 🙏
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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@Cryptoemperor06 Done

[Thomas Kralow @TKralow]

Ok, fine, Powell said more than usual and #crypto twitter is all hyped right now about the Fed buying short term bills. $40 billion first month starting December 12th.

But lets be brutally honest here! THIS MEANS ALMOST NOTHING (Yet.)!

Here is my reasoning:

T bill purchases are not QE. It’s just plumbing. It’s the Fed quietly admitting that liquidity is getting tight and reserves are almost scarce.

That’s it.

Yet, crypto people are celebrating the appetizer while thinking it’s the main course.

Every real QE in history came only after something broke. Always after pain. Never before.

Go back and look at the pattern.

In 2008 the S&P fell fifty five percent before QE1.

In 2010 the market dropped about 17% before QE2.

In 2011 it fell 21% before QE3.

In 2020 the S&P collapsed 35% before QE4.

Every time the Fed waits for a proper hit before launching real balance sheet expansion.

And look at 2019 because it’s the closest example to today.

In 2019 the Fed also said “this is not QE” and bought only T bills to fix the repo market.

Everyone ignored the warning signs because markets were at new highs.

Then things cracked, repo blew out, the mini crash came, and a few months later true QE started and risk assets went vertical.

That’s exactly the setup we’re repeating.

Right now we’re in the first stage: the Fed has stopped tightening and restarted small T bill purchases just to keep the system from seizing.

This is the signal that QT is basically dead and liquidity is nearing a stress point.

But this is NOT the pump phase 🤦🏻

Historically this phase is followed by a correction or a liquidity event because the system is still starved of reserves and the Fed hasn’t opened the floodgates yet.

My probability based on past cycles is simple: around an 80% chance we get some kind of crash or liquidity shock before the Fed has political and economic cover to launch real QE in 2026.

Could be a 10-20% equity drawdown, could be a repo spike, could be a Treasury auction issue, could be an outright recession signal. The Fed always reacts, never pre-acts.

Crypto twitter is celebrating the wrong thing, oups.

The real fun starts when the Fed stops buying T bills and starts buying duration again.

That’s the true QE moment.

That’s when the balance sheet expands meaningfully and liquidity returns in size.

That’s when the big moves happen. And historically bitcoin has always front-run the liquidity reversal, sold off during the crash, and then exploded when QE officially begins.

So yes, the T bill purchases matter because they tell you where we are in the cycle.

But they’re not the money printer moment everyone thinks they are.

They’re the warning.

The transition phase.

The exact same “not QE” moment we saw in 2019 right before the real thing.

If history rhymes, the timeline looks like this:

late 2025 to early 2026 we get market stress, a correction hits, the Fed panics, and mid to late 2026 they flip into full QE again.

That’s the part crypto people should be positioning for, not the tiny T bill buying spree.

The real fireworks come after the pain, not before it.

But if you do trade #Bitcoin now, trade it on https://t.co/SZuT13AXgY with self custody and privacy.

[LUCKY @Badboy1B]

Is your account still under 1K 👀

Say Hi, we follow you

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@0xSweep Gm

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@Cryptoemperor06 ✅

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@crypto_king34 DONE ✅
Thank you King
&
Good luck to me 🍀😀

[Andrew Leverage @Mr_LeverageX]

Champ moment!🏆

1st place in the tournament → iPhone 17 Pro Max 2TB

Grateful to @TKralow for the moment 🙌

[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

@Cryptoemperor06 ✅

[Self Taught Success @SelfTSuccess]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

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[. $pi 📊Mbu @Spi_mbu]

Trade smarter, not harder! 💡 Join EveDex and experience the future of trading, expert tools, got beginners community for more trading experience.
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