Stan.Crypto

🚀 #Bitcoin 🚀 #crypto 🚀

- Crypto Trader - Deff not trading advice!

[Hater Report @HaterReport]

“Dad…how good was UFC 250 at the White House”

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

MOST IMPORTANT BITCOIN SIGNAL SINCE THE START OF THE BEAR MARKET JUST FLASHED.

The weekly bullish $BTC divergence is confirmed.

Price: lower lows.
RSI: higher lows.

The last time this fired, $BTC ran over 700% and confirmed the bear market bottom.

It doesn't mean the exact low is in.

A double divergence with lower prices is still possible.

But this is the first major sign that momentum is shifting after months of pain.

We are closing in.

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

$btc about to fly!

[eye zen hour 🥶 @eyezenhour]

In 3 days, Kevin Warsh chairs his first FOMC meeting

For the first time, the Fed is being led by someone who has publicly framed Bitcoin as a market signal rather than a threat

Warsh has called Bitcoin a "very good policeman for policy"

Wash has consistently treated blockchain and digital assets as innovation infrastructure instead of something that needs to be regulated out of existence

He also enters the role after disclosing meaningful crypto-related exposure before taking office. Assets like $SOL and $BTC plus other investments, such as @brave, @polychain, @Polymarket, @dYdX, and @blast

Estimated at $100M in value...

That creates a different starting point than the Powell era

Rates will still dominate the headline

But the June 16-17 meeting may tell us something more important

Whether the Fed's posture toward digital assets is beginning to structurally change

[UFC @ufc]

A celebration fit for a champion 🔥

@Justin_Gaethje | #UFCWhiteHouse

[Joe Pompliano @JoePompliano]

The UFC is hosting fights at the White House tonight.

Here's what you need to know:

1. The UFC is spending $60 million to put on this event.

That's way more than the $3-4 million the company typically spends to put on an event and three times the $20 million it spent at the Las Vegas Sphere in 2024.

2. The UFC sold $30 million in corporate sponsorship deals — Ram Trucks, Crypto(.)com, Polymarket, Bud Light — with individual packages selling for $1.5 million.

3. Since tickets are being given out for free, the event is expected to lose about $30 million.

4. The UFC's $7.7 billion media rights deal with Paramount allows some fights to be simulcast on CBS, but tonight's entire event will only be available on the Paramount+ streaming service.

5. There will be 4,000 people on the South Lawn for the event — Trump controls about 1,000 tickets, with Dana White and Ari Emanuel controlling another 500 or so. The remaining seats were given to active duty military members. These military members had to meet body composition standards and pay for their own travel.

6. The UFC installed a giant arch over the octagon known as the Claw. The structure is massive — 60 tons, 154 feet wide, and 92 feet high, with a 100-by-100-foot canopy and 800 lighting fixtures — and since the UFC isn't allowed to dig into the South Lawn, engineers added 40 tons of weight to each leg to hold it down.

7. The Claw was flown from Belgium to Philadelphia, test-assembled in Philly, and then trucked down to DC. Each truck was placed in storage before being searched by the Secret Service, and the UFC needed 38 days to assemble everything (compared to their normal 2 days).

8. The UFC is covering all production costs, but taxpayers are still on the hook for $10-12 million in supplemental security costs. The White House says this money would have been spent anyway and that it comes from a federal fund (approved by Congress) specifically allocated for events surrounding the country's 250th birthday.

9. Since attendance on the South Lawn is invite-only (and limited to 4,000 people), the UFC is holding a watch party at the Eliipise. Roughly 85,000 tickets have been distributed for free, and while the UFC plans to sell food, beverages, and merchandise, Dana White told ESPN that "the government will get a piece of it."

10. Every fighter will be wearing custom red, white, and blue gloves with an American flag stitched on the wrist.

BONUS: Trump's latest financial disclosure indicates that he purchased up to $50,000 in TKO stock, the parent company of the UFC. Some say this is a conflict of interest, while others claim it is insignificant, given that his full financial disclosure included over 3,700 stock and bond trades worth more than $220 million.

That's it for today. Enjoy the event, and if you want to learn more about the business and money behind sports, join 135,000 others who read my newsletter.

Sign up: https://t.co/OgN8EYHbxw

[Coin Signals @CoinSignals_]

#BTC The chances of the same pattern playing out a third time are just 25%.

With rising open interest and increasing short positions, it suggests the market may move in the opposite direction.

[Robert ₿reedlove @Breedlove22]

I spent 7+ years studying money full time to understand how the financial system was designed to keep you poor forever.

Here are the top 10 brutal truths no one will ever teach you (THREAD):

1. Every dollar is your life compressed into a token.

[Bull Theory @BullTheoryio]

THIS IS WHY BITCOIN DUMPED NON STOP FROM $126,000 TO $60,000.

Bitcoin has now crashed -53% in just 120 days without any major negative news or event and this is not normal.

Macro pressure plays a role, but it’s not the main reason Bitcoin keeps dumping. The real driver is something much bigger that most people aren’t talking about yet.

Bitcoin’s original valuation model was built on the idea that supply is fixed at 21 million coins and that price moves based on real buying and selling of those coins. In the early cycles, this was mostly true. But today, that structure has changed.

A large share of Bitcoin trading activity now happens through synthetic markets rather than spot markets.

This includes:

• Futures contracts
• Perpetual swaps
• Options markets
• ETFs
• Prime broker lending
• Wrapped BTC
• Structured products

All of these allow exposure to Bitcoin’s price without requiring actual Bitcoin to move on chain. This changes how price is discovered because now selling pressure can come from derivative positioning rather than real holders selling coins.

For example:

If institutions open large short positions in futures markets, price can fall even if no spot Bitcoin is sold.

If leveraged long traders get liquidated, forced selling happens through derivatives, accelerating downside moves. This creates cascade effects where liquidations drive price, not spot supply.

That is why recent sell offs look very structured. You see long liquidation waves, funding flips negative, open interest collapses, all signs that derivatives positioning is driving the move.

So while Bitcoin’s hard cap has not changed, the effective tradable supply influencing price has expanded through synthetic exposure.

Price today reacts to leverage, hedging flows, and positioning, not just spot demand.

Adding to this, there are other factors too driving the current dump.

GLOBAL ASSET SELL-OFF

Right now, selling is not isolated to crypto. Stocks are declining. Gold and silver have seen volatility. Risk assets across markets are correcting.

When global markets move into risk-off mode, capital exits high-risk assets first and crypto sits at the far end of the risk curve. So Bitcoin reacts more aggressively to global sell offs.

MACRO UNCERTAINTY & GEOPOLITICAL RISK

Tensions around global conflicts, especially U.S.–Iran developments, are creating uncertainty.

Whenever geopolitical risk rises, supply chain risks increase, and markets shift toward defensive positioning. That environment is not supportive for risk assets.

FED LIQUIDITY EXPECTATIONS

Markets had been pricing a more dovish liquidity backdrop. But expectations around future policy leadership and liquidity stance have shifted.

If investors believe future Fed policy will be tighter on liquidity even if rates eventually fall, risk assets reprice lower.

ECONOMIC DATA WEAKNESS

Recent economic indicators job market trends, housing demand, credit stress are pointing toward slowing growth conditions. When recession fears rise, markets derisk.

Crypto, being the most volatile asset class, sees outsized downside during those transitions.

STRUCTURED SELLING VS CAPITULATION

Another important observation:

This sell off does not look like panic capitulation. It looks structured.

Consecutive red candles, controlled downside moves, and derivative driven liquidations suggest large entities reducing exposure, not retail panic selling.

When institutional positioning unwinds, it suppresses bounce attempts because dip buyers wait for stability before re-entering.

PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER

It is a combination of:

• Derivatives driven price discovery
• Synthetic supply exposure
• Global risk-off flows
• Liquidity expectation shifts
• Geopolitical uncertainty
• Weak macro data
• Institutional positioning unwind

Until these pressures stabilize, relief rallies can happen, but sustained upside becomes harder.

[The Kobeissi Letter @KobeissiLetter]

This is absolutely insane:

Silver just swung nearly $2 TRILLION of market cap in 14 hours.

Between 9:00 AM ET and 1:00 PM ET, silver added +$500 billion of market cap.

Then, between 1:00 PM ET and 4:30 PM ET, silver lost -$950 billion.

Then, between 4:30 PM ET and 10:30 PM ET, silver added back +$500 billion of market cap.

Silver is quite literally throwing around Bitcoin's entire market cap in a matter of hours.

The current situation in silver will be referenced for decades to come.

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

@Punk2028 @grok Yoyo!

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

@indicatorfn hi!

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

@indicatorfn 15

[Crypto Fergani @cryptofergani]

STOCKS ARE FLYING.
GOLD IS PRINTING NEW HIGHS.
EVERY ASSET IS UP.
EXCEPT CRYPTO.

THAT’S EXACTLY HOW IT’S SUPPOSED TO BE.

RETAIL LEFT MONTHS AGO.
THEY CHASED TECH STOCKS.
THEY ALWAYS DO.
THEY ALWAYS LOSE.

ONLY INSTITUTIONS REMAIN.
BLACKROCK.
FIDELITY.
THE HEDGE FUNDS.
THEY’RE ACCUMULATING BITCOIN WHILE YOU SLEEP.

THEY DON’T TRADE.
THEY CONTROL.

ALTCOINS DIDN’T DIE BY ACCIDENT.
THEY WERE STARVED ON PURPOSE.
INSTITUTIONS DONT WANT RETAIL TO MAKE MONEY.

STOCKS WILL CONSOLIDATE.
CRYPTO WILL PUMP.
NO RETAIL.
NO WHALES.
NO WEAK HANDS LEFT.

JUST INSTITUTIONS.
AND THEY DON’T SELL CHEAP.

THE LAWS ARE READY.
THE BANKS ARE READY.
THE SYSTEM IS READY.

WHEN THEY PRESS GO,
THIS WON’T BE A BULL RUN.
IT WILL BE A FINANCIAL RESET.

THE RICH KNOW IT.
THE SMART ARE QUIETLY PREPARING.
EVERYONE ELSE IS ASLEEP.

I’M NOT GUESSING.
I’M TELLING YOU.

[Crypto Fergani @cryptofergani]

GM

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

This is the goal!

[Crypto Fergani @cryptofergani]

One day, your mom will ask you for $2K, and you’ll send her $100K instead.

This prayer isn’t about your current financial situation — it’s about your future blessings.

[Stan.Crypto @Stan_Raz]

What a gangster!

[Mario Nawfal @MarioNawfal]

🇺🇸 ELON JUST CALLED THE EU'S BLUFF - OPEN SOURCING X'S ALGORITHM IN 6 DAYS

@ElonMusk is making X's entire recommendation algorithm public January 17th. Every line of code showing what posts you see and why.

Then updating it every 4 weeks with developer notes.

This is a direct response to France classifying X as an "organized gang," the same legal designation they use for drug cartels and mafia, so they could wiretap employee phones and demand algorithm access.

The EU wants control over what people see online. They fined X $140 million last month, launched probes into "algorithm abuse," and demanded researchers get data access. France wants "experts" to analyze X's code to "uncover the truth" about the platform.

Elon's response: "You want the algorithm? Here's the algorithm. Everyone gets it."

This is 4D chess. EU regulators wanted private access to modify and control.

Instead they're getting public disclosure they can't manipulate. Every competing platform, every researcher, every government on Earth gets the same code at the same time.

You can't secretly pressure someone to censor when the censorship mechanism is open source.

My prediction: EU loses its mind, threatens more fines.

Elon doesn't care. Other platforms forced to follow or look like they're hiding something.

If that's not a classic Elon, what is?

Source: ZeroHedge, Epoch Times

[Matthew Hyland @MatthewHyland_]

#Altcoins are in the same position they were in late 2019/2020

Just like:
-Gold
-Silver
-FED Balance Sheet
-Russell 2000
-Russell/S&P 500
-Gold/Copper
-ETH
-BTC Dominance
-ETH/BTC
-PMI

"But this time is different" - No it's probably not

[TechDev @TechDev_52]

Why did a “bear market” bottom signal with 100% hit rate just fire?

[Quinten | 048.eth @QuintenFrancois]

2025 marks the end of the 4 year cycle.

Welcome to 2026.

18-year real estate cycle says 2026 = CYCLE PEAK 🚨

200 year old Benner cycle says 2026 = CYCLE PEAK 🚨

[Crypto Rover @cryptorover]

26 REASONS TO BE BULLISH ON CRYPTO IN 2026:

- CLARITY ACT APPROVAL
- ALTCOIN ETFs APPROVAL
- TRUMP $2,000 DIVIDEND
- FED LIQUIDITY INJECTION
- MORE RATE CUTS
- STOCKS STRONG UPTREND
- GLOBAL LIQUIDITY EXPANSION
- NEW FED CHAIR
- INSTITUTIONAL ONBOARDING
- RETIREMENT FUNDS CRYPTO ACCESS
- TAX REBATES
- BLACKROCK STAKING APPROVAL
- ISM ABOVE 50
- INFLATION DROPPING
- GDP GOING UP
- EXCHANGE RESERVES AT RECORD LOWS
- SLR EASING
- DXY WEAKNESS
- EVERYTHING TOKENIZATION
- NEVER 2 CONSECUTIVE RED YEARS FOR BITCOIN
- LONG-TERM HOLDERS DISTRIBUTION COMPLETED
- $8 TRILLION DEBT MATURING
- 12 MONTHS OF BTC/GOLD BEAR MARKET OVER
- ETH 2 MASSIVE UPGRADES
- TGA RELEASE
- PRECIOUS METALS LOCAL TOP