Star Karabil

Author of “The Risk-Taker’s Black Book”
Amazon: Conatus Agile Coaching

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

The Risk-Taker’s Black Book is now live!

42 + 1 heuristic rules forged from own experiences, crises, and stolen fire.

For the unbreakable who execute.

Steal what works. Live it.
https://t.co/x4jK616ciF
#HeuristicRules #RiskTaker #UnbreakableMindset

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Hadi o aparatlik görevini yapıyor anladım da bu cilginca alkışlayan kalabaligi ne motive ediyor acaba? Aklima tek bir kelime geliyor: sefillik. Ahlaken, fikren, vicdanen sefiller. İzlerken midem bulandı bunlardan. Ne bir estetik, ne ince bir düsünce, ne akli başında bir soru.. burdan hiçbir şey çıkmaz.

[0xDipper @Dipper_pol]

Nassim Taleb: you don't need to predict the future. You need an option on it.

Thales got mocked for being a poor philosopher, so he put tiny deposits on every olive press in town before the harvest - nothing lost if he was wrong, a fortune if he was right.

"The opposite of fragile isn't robust. It's something that wants disorder - you write 'please mishandle' on the box."

"Jump 10 meters and you die. Jump one meter ten times and nothing happens. That's fragility."

"Convexity matters a lot more than knowledge - you can guess worse than random and still come out ahead."

bookmark and watch it today - an hour on fat tails, antifragility, and how to position so randomness pays you ↓

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@ayayciog @YouTube memleketin su anki siyasi atmosferini dusununce aklima böyle bir görüntü geliyor.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@ayayciog halkin iradesine karşı bir düzen zorla kurulabilir. Ama kalici olmaz.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Life is long gamma! So, stay on it and don't push *

* Translation: big moves and volatility are your friend if you’re positioned right. Chill, compound, let time do the work.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

If you can understand what Taleb says, it will change your life forever.

[0xDipper @Dipper_pol]

Nassim Taleb: pick two people at random

If their combined height is 4.1m, it's basically 2.05 + 2.05.
If their combined wealth is $36M, it's almost never 18 + 18 - it's ~$1,000 and ~$36M.

Height lives in "Mediocristan," where the average tells you everything.
Wealth - and markets - live in "Extremistan," where one event dominates the whole picture.

Ruin there never comes from a string of bad days.
It comes from a single one.

~1hr lecture, free. The Black Swan author at Cambridge on why the statistics you were taught break exactly where it matters.

Being right on average means nothing if one tail empties the account.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

sevgili Yektan, keske bütün paylasimlarini beğenebileceğim bir workflow imkani olsa bu platformda. Herhangi bir paylasimini begenmediysem bilki görmemisimdir. İyi ki varsin, iyi ki birikimlerini, duygu ve düsüncelerini bizlerle paylaşıyorsun. Benim icin çok degerlisin. Tesekkürler. Sevgiler, saygılar.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@yektantyilmaz İlk başta ilkelerinden biraz eğilmeni isterler. Sonra daha çok. Kısa süre sonra tanınmayacak bir hâle bürünürsün.

[Jeffrey West @mathoncbro]

Our "evolutionary antifragile therapy" paper is now posted online (Cancer Research):
https://t.co/QyGexLImV2

First experimental validation of antifragility in cancer (ALK inhibitors in lung)! An awesome collaboration involving @ara_anderson, @AndriyMarusyk, @Binadesai14 et al

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@medyascope bu hala yaşıyor mu

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@yektantyilmaz mhpnin en güzel yaptıgı is kendi sucunu başkasına yükleyerek suçlamasında. o isin ustası olmuşlar. yüz kızarması diye bir şey yok. allah korkusu filan hak getire. birini biseyle itham etmişlerse bilinki daha yeni olay mahallinden gelmişlerdir.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Routine coding, customer support flows, reporting, booking, shopping research, even basic app building — these are moving from “human does it” to “agent handles it in the background.”

What’s left for people?
Curiosity. Creativity. Optionality. System design. The ability to thrive in disorder.

In other words: exactly what antifragile organizations are built for.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Build your life in such a way that, when it ends, you’ll be happy that it happened.

Not sad that you were merely exposed to it and now it’s over.

Hint: Take some risks!

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

There’s no effort without mistakes — the real skill is choosing the right ones.

Fail forward, not backward.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Shocks should become innovation triggers instead of existential crises.

Think about it.

What would it mean for your life?

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Are you still buying “champion mindset” airport books that promise to coach you to win at life?

Stoicism can be a real key approach for you — but not the fluffy version they sell. It’s transforming fear into prudence, pain into transformation, and mistakes into initiation.

Read Seneca & Marcus Aurelius. Get skin in the game.
Expose yourself to actual risk and volatility. Stop consuming this survivorship bias nonsense from lucky survivors.

Skip the fragile, low-variance garbage.

#Antifragile #Stoicism

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@yektantyilmaz Baskin secim geliyor.

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

@balanuye Tam zamaninda onume cikti. Tesekkürler Ceto 🎈

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

Short blog article just finished 🔽

The Oregon Way as a living expression of mature agility.

https://t.co/kNcsrtILtd

[Star Karabil @StarKarabil]

https://t.co/YXbC2r4G7J