Whenever Warsh turns to specifics and get precise, it really stands out (because so much of the rest is fillers). Today he introduces another “Warsh” indicator for watching geopolitics.
The three things he has told us he watches:
1) share of the 199 pce components at >3% inflation at 6 and 12 month annualized
2) the second derivative of ai capex
3) and today, on watching the inflation spillovers from geopolitical – the difference between spot prices for corn, soybeans, wheat and so-called crack spreads.
Of those 3, the first likely came down in August, the second probably ex post will have proved to have peaked this year.
@tonytost Yeah, Forrest enjoyed doing what I took to be a convincing impression of Uncle Ez. The book's brilliant, but rigorous. I think you'd enjoy thumbing through it. I'm really enjoying and appreciating your contributions here and on Substack. Wish you continued success!
Know Forrest Read's '76: One World and the Cantos of Ezra Pound? Hugh Kenner called it "ingenious nonsense." Read was my mentor at UNC. He visited Pound at Rapallo during his silence and laid it out for him over dinner. Pound's reaction? He hissed at him like a cat. @tonytost
My kids found this West Point ring in the park in Princeton NJ yesterday. It has Patrick O’Neal USA engraved inside. Top says (class of) 1971. Help us find the owner! 🇺🇸
@RandyRRQuaid That was a great scene with Brando. He asks you, "What do you think life is like?" and you answer, "It's not like anything I've ever seen before."
One of USMA's priorities is to develop leaders of character who are committed to the values of Duty, Honor & Country. Peter Wang's actions on February 14 are an example of those principles & the academy honors his dream of being a West Point cadet with a 2025 letter of acceptance
FINAL: #Army 14, #Navy 13. Moehring's kick went just wide left. The Black Knights win it for the second year in a row. More details coming soon. #ArmyNavy
📷: Danny Wild