Effective... at what? Preventing Iranian flagged vessels from transiting out of the Gulf of Oman? Sure. Now. After two months of being hilariously ineffective, which directly led to the duration of this conflict being extended by many more months. It also has led to the blockade line being forced hundreds of miles back because of accurate and sustained Iranian anti-ship fire.
A blockade is a strategy, not a goal. Can you honestly say any strategy undertaken so far has gotten the United States any closer to its stated goals? I can't. In fact I'd argue the entire conflict has pushed the US farther away from its stated goals, but that's another problem all together.
Is the war any closer to ending today than it was in May? No.
Is the Iranian regime any closer to losing its stranglehold on the country today than it was in May? No.
Has traffic through the Strait of Hormuz increased to anywhere near pre-war levels? No. Not even close.
Are oil exports out of the region anywhere near pre-war levels? No. Unless you believe that moronic "analysis" claiming exports are up to 93% of pre-war averages despite claiming export numbers that exceed the maximum operational capacity of some of the terminals listed.
Lastly, and this is the big one, do you actually believe Iran's exports are at 0? Because I don't. There is enough circumstantial evidence that Iranian oil is exiting blended with Iraqi oil aboard Iraqi vessels that I believe maybe 500Kb/d is getting out. Some days more, some days less. Wouldn't be the first time and it is awfully suspicious that not one Iraqi vessel has been targeted transiting the Strait. Of course no one would be able to prove it one way or another.
Meanwhile, the blockade costs between $30-40M per day and has irrevocably damaged the US Navy's ability to be combat effective for any future conflicts. We have very different definitions of the word effective.
Any analysis of the ongoing conflict that starts with "Iran has lost control of the Strait" is not credible analysis. Nor is any analysis claiming that the United States Navy has vessels in the Strait of Hormuz. That has been repeatedly and consistently proven false.
The source of the data in that article does not appear to be Kpler as it does not match their published numbers unless there has been a revision that I have not seen. It looks like the person assembling the data has doubled up in a number of places.
Fujairah is not capable of exporting 2.5MMb/d. The Strait of Hormuz transit numbers appear to be doubled up in the STS numbers since all STS transfers originate from the Strait. The Yanbu numbers are also not reflected in reality. Yanbu had no exports for 17 of 27 days this month. At maximum operational capacity, that amounts to closer to 1.5MMb/d not 2.2. The real numbers are closer to 70-75% of pre-war levels.
To be blunt, that analysis isn't worth the pixels it is typed on or the bandwidth used to publish it. The fact that it has been immediately picked up and regurgitated by FDD and Friends should tell you all you need to know about where the analysis originated from.